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Why I don't advocate war between Israel and Iran
Posted By Jerome R. Corsi On 12/16/2009 @ 12:00 am In Commentary | Comments Disabled
In a reference to my book “Why Israel Can’t Wait: The Coming War Between Israel and Iran,” Meir Javedanfar wrote on the Huffington Post, “Dr. Corsi, together with former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton, belongs to a cadre of American Republicans who have taken it upon themselves to champion an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear installation as the only viable solution to the Iranian nuclear conundrum.”
“Why Israel Can’t Wait” predicts that a war between Iran and Israel is imminent, but it does not recommend a war.
Clearly, Javedanfar fails to appreciate the distinction between predicting a war and advocating a war.
He suggests that marginalized and frustrated right-wingers “want to desperately see” a failure of President Obama’s policies, at home and abroad, “as a vindication for their own policies and worldview.”
Again, Javedarfur fails to appreciate the difference between predicting President Obama’s policies at home and abroad will fail and wanting those policies to fail.
In “Why Israel Can’t Wait,” I predicted President Obama’s policy of negotiating directly with the Ahmadinejad regime would fail because Iran would game the negotiations, just as Iran has done for years, if not decades.
I further predicted in “Why Israel Can’t Wait” that President Obama would not obtain meaningful additional sanctions through the United Nations because of Russia and China’s support for Iran.
Now that Lebanon has been voted onto the Security Council, the reality is that Hezbollah will block any adverse action that body contemplates in the form of more onerous sanctions applied against Iran.
In authoring two books on Iran during the Bush administration and in scores of radio and television interviews, I have argued consistently that peaceful regime change from within is by far the best solution to stopping Iran’s nuclear-weapons program.
In June, when thousands of protesters poured into the streets of Tehran to protest the fraudulent re-election of President Ahmadinejad, President Obama once again failed to act in a way that produced positive policy results.
Never did Obama demand new presidential elections in Iran to be held under meaningful international inspection.
What was lost by the president’s uncharacteristic loss for words during the Iranian protests in June was perhaps the one most meaningful opportunity for peaceful democratic change from within that Iran has seen since 1979.
The crux of Javedanfar’s argument appears to be that the United States could utilize against Iran the type of containment policy George Kennan designed against the Soviet Union in the postwar 1940s.
He wrote: “Instead of wishing for a military strike, the United States may instead focus on containing a nuclear Iran.”
With that sentence Javedanfar appears to concede there is no way any Obama administration policies articulated from the White House have any chance whatsoever of thwarting Iran in its secretive drive to develop nuclear weapons.
Javedanfar seems to argue that a nuclear-armed Iran will or should be acceptable to the United States, to Israel and to the Sunni nations in the region, so long as it is contained.
This is where we disagree.
The problem with containing Iran is that the Khamenei-Ahmadinejad regime is not the rational actor George Kennan faced in a Soviet Union ruled by Stalin and his successors, regimes that Kennan, and subsequently Henry Kissinger, properly calculated would comprehend Metternich rules of nation-state balance-of-power politics.
Repeatedly when writing about Iran, I have stressed what I wrote in the concluding sentences of “Why Israel Can’t Wait”: “Terrorists typically do not stockpile weapons – they use them.”
Iran continues to support financially and supply with rockets and missiles Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza, two groups the Obama administration yet properly characterizes as terrorist organizations.
In writing “Why Israel Can’t Wait,” I traveled to Israel and spent three weeks in May and June of this year interviewing top officials in the Netanyahu government.
I began the book by reporting on an interview I conducted with Gen. Yaalon in his Jerusalem office.
In that interview, Yaalon conveyed to me that Israel views a nuclear-armed Iran as an existential threat and that Israel would exercise its right of self-defense to attack Iran, realizing fully the resulting war would be costly in terms of Israeli casualties and by no means assured of success.
My point in “Why Israel Can’t Wait” is to report that Israel has already decided to launch a pre-emptive military attack on Iran, with or without the permission of the Obama administration, once Israeli intelligence tells the Israeli government that Iran has the capability of delivering a nuclear weapon on Tel Aviv.
Again, there is an important distinction between reporting and advocating.
If Israel does attack Iran, it will be because President Obama’s policies have failed, not because I have encouraged Israel to attack anyone.
Finally, in reviewing Javedanfar’s various mischaracterizations, I must insist that I am not a Republican.
I have stated many times very publicly that I have never been a member of the Republican Party; the only political party I have ever joined is the Constitution Party, as I have declared openly in writing on WorldNetDaily, where I am a senior staff reporter.
That declaration is readily available for anyone to read, provided the reporter or commentator wanted to do a little research before writing accurately about my views or me.
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