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Barack Obama speaks about sanctions against Iran

The winner in the turmoil sweeping the Middle East from the Sunni-dominated countries of Egypt, Jordan and Tunisia to Lebanon is Shiite Iran, according to analysts quoted in a report from Joseph Farah’s G2 Bulletin.

The Islamic republic’s leadership already has expressed support for the popular uprisings seen in the past few weeks in Tunis first, then Amman and now Cairo.

Last month, Iran won a significant victory in Lebanon when the Western-backed government of Sunni Prime Minister Raad Hariri was replaced by Najib Miqati, the candidate of the Iranian-backed Hezbollah.

The United States and Israel regard Hezbollah as a terrorist group. The immediate Israeli reaction to the appointment of Miqati was one of concern, with Vice-Prime Minister Silvan Shalom describing Miqati’s selection as “an Iranian government on Israel’s northern border.”

Now regional analysts say that Tel Aviv didn’t anticipate protests in Cairo would lead to the uprising that now has prompted Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak to announce he will not run for re-election in September.

Sources said that Aviv Kochavi, Israel’s new chief of military intelligence, had just told the Knesset committee on foreign affairs and defense that Mubarak wasn’t under any threat and that the Muslim Brotherhood wasn’t organized enough to threaten the regime.

But the Iranian influences on events, first in Lebanon and now Cairo, have shown an “evolutionary trend that regional revolution has surprised the dictatorial governments” that have transcended boundaries of nationalism, said Iranian parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani.

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