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'Someone new' leads Obama in polling

Posted By -NO AUTHOR- On 06/23/2011 @ 12:45 am In Front Page | Comments Disabled

A new poll shows that Americans are demanding “change,” and even though President Obama campaigned on the theme in 2008, he might not like how Americans view it this time.

It’s because 53.5 percent of likely voters are saying that want someone new in the White House.

The new poll was commissioned by The O’Leary Report and conducted by IBOPE Zogby International June 17-21.

It asked voters, “Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?”

The results show support for Obama’s re-election continue to erode in battleground “Green” states, and a plurality of voters of “Blue” states now say they want someone new in the White House.

“Green” states are states won by Obama in 2008 but now are in play for both Republicans and Democrats, while “Blue” states went solidly for Obama in 2008.

According to the poll, a majority of the voters, 53.5 percent, “say they think it’s time for someone new while only 39.9 percent of voters say they would re-elect the president.”

The survey report continued, “Support for President Obama in Green states – those states won by President Obama in 2008 but are now in play for both Republicans and Democrats – dropped by 4 percentage points since last month with 36.9 percent saying they would re-elect the president compared to 55.6 percent of Green state voters that would vote for someone new.”

The report said Blue states are surprisingly competitive, with a plurality of voters there, 48.5 percent, continuing to favor someone new compared with 43.7 percent who say they would vote to re-elect the power structure now running the White House.

Among the results of the poll is that 99 percent of tea party members want someone new in the White House. Among Republicans, the figure is 96 percent, while 55 percent of independents and 16 percent of Democrats agree.

The percentage among those who attend church weekly was 66 percent, 51 percent for those who attend church occasionally, 49 percent for those who rarely attend church and 34 percent for those who never attend church.

Among other identifiable groups, the percentage who want someone new as president, were:

  • NRA members, 91 percent

  • Gun owners, 71 percent
  • Veterans, 66 percent
  • Asians, 72 percent
  • Married couples, 60 percent
  • Investors in the stock market, 58 percent
  • Small business owners, 59 percent
  • Men, 60 percent
  • Homeowners, 57 percent

The poll surveyed 2,013 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

Identified as Green states are Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

States identified as Blue are California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington.

O’Leary is publisher of The O’Leary Report, a best-selling author, and is a former NBC Westwood One talk show host.

The O’Leary Report is an independent monthly newsletter covering events on Capitol Hill, adding commentary and providing polling data.

O’Leary also is author of the books “The Audacity of Deceit” and “Shut Up, America.”


In addition, O’Leary recently teamed up with New York Times best-selling author Jerome Corsi, Ph.D., to present evidence that Obama not only can be beaten by a Republican in 2012, he will be if the GOP nominee plays it by the numbers.

“How Obama Can Be Defeated in 2012 – A Battle Plan Based on Statistical Political Realities” puts the reader square in the campaign director’s chair and gives the kind of in-depth polling and analysis that is rarely seen outside of campaign war rooms. The book also shows that, contrary to popular belief and to the dismay of many in the liberal media, President Obama may very well be the underdog in 2012.

The centerpiece of the analytical masterpiece by Corsi and O’Leary is a massive, 50-question poll commissioned exclusively for the book. Conducted by IBOPE Zogby International, the poll surveyed 10,000 likely voters, which is a huge sample size that only the most well-funded political campaigns would ever commission.

The result is a far-reaching exposé of the American political landscape – segmented into key states, regions and demographic groups – that takes the reader far beyond the typical surface-scratching exercise common in the daily press.

O’Leary and Corsi zero in on the new political battleground in America: Green states. These are critical battleground states that voted for President Obama in 2008 but are now tracking with GOP Red states on a host of important issues.

How Obama Can Be Defeated shows you:

  • The emerging battleground “Green” states and why they hold the key to victory in 2012;

  • Why the 2010 midterm election results at the state and local level could come back to bite Obama and Democrats again in 2012;
  • The key economic figures that could push 12 states that voted for Obama into the GOP camp;
  • How the voter mobilization efforts of the National Rifle Association and the tea party could be devastating for Obama;
  • Which key demographic groups that helped Obama in 2008 now stand poised to doom his re-election bid.

The new book has also spawned a website at BarackObamaTest.com. Visitors to the site can answer a sampling of the poll questions in the book and then see where they agree with the rest of America as well as the president himself.

More poll information is available at the O’Leary Report.


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