In history, there are certain years that bear special significance. Every educated individual understands the importance of 1066, of 1776 and of 1913. And while the Mayan calendar-based eschatology has garnered an amount of media interest and Mexican tourism, there are some reasons to suspect that 2012 will be more historically momentous than the mere fact of it being a presidential election year would tend to indicate.
The reason for this is that a number of recognizable, large-scale historical patterns that have been playing out for years all appear to be coming to a head at approximately the same time. There are four of these distinct trends, which, although inextricably intertwined to some degree, can nevertheless be identified as the economic, political, geo-strategic and demographic patterns.
The economic trend is probably the most important. It has been in what amounts to a holding pattern for the last three years as the five major central banks of the world, including the International Monetary Fund, have battled desperately to prevent the global credit supply, and consequently the global economy, from contracting. Since 2008, they have successfully substituted public debt for private financial and household sector debt, which in the United States has contracted by 20 percent and 5 percent respectively, but the introduction of austerity programs across Europe and the improbability of successfully quadrupling the amount of U.S. federal debt in the next three years tends to suggest that the central banks will be forced to abandon this futile debt-swapping program in 2012.
On the political front, 2011 has already witnessed the abandonment of democracy in two nations on the periphery of the European Union, Greece and Italy. As other governments across the West run out of money while continuing to rig the electoral systems in order to continue forcing increasingly unpopular pro-bank bailouts and pro-immigration measures down the throats of an unwilling populace, it is highly probable that other nations will embrace post-democratic forms of government. But instead of providing stability, this will only add to the political pressure as even the thin veil of representative sham-democracy is removed and it becomes obvious to even the most naïve individual that the electorate is no longer being permitted any voice in its own governance.
The geo-strategic aspect is becoming ever clearer with every co-opted Arab revolution and murderous Islamic attack from Ghana to Grapevine, Texas. The great clash of civilizations predicted by Samuel Huntington is already well underway, even though many on the Islamic side and the vast majority of those on the Western side still refuse to recognize it. The key is the Secular Party, which until very recently has sided instinctively with Islam due to its own long struggle for dominance in the West. However, an increasing awareness among Seculars that the Arab proverb about the enemy of one’s enemy being one’s friend is not neither true nor beneficial, the economic ravages that mass migration have imposed upon the populations of the West, and the epic failure of multiculturalism means that traditional concepts of nationhood and the national interest will once more become influential. It will probably take a few more years before mass expulsions begin across the West, but the first signs of them should become apparent in 2012.
And finally, these trends will all be magnified by the great demographic crisis of the West. Primarily created by feminism and exacerbated with every political attempt to control an increasingly uncooperative male sex, the growing unwillingness of young men to marry under a legal regime that deprives them of even their most basic human and constitutional rights is going to spawn a whole host of objectively insane government policies before the entire structure collapses under the weight of its reality-defying contradictions. Civilization has always depended upon two great pillars – the first being the willingness of young women to bear children and the second being the willingness of men to transfer their resources to women and children. The first great pillar has already collapsed to the extent that Western women no longer replace the native populations, and now the second great pillar is showing tremendous cracks.
All societies and civilizations fall in time. But while both American and European societies are in terminal decline, there is still genuine reason to believe in the coming revival of Western civilization. Although many of these large-scale societal developments are negative, in most cases the societal structures that are failing are the cancerous modern aspects of society that have been endangering Western civilization for decades, if not centuries. One must always be careful not to mistake the map for the territory it describes. Just as the collapse of the European Union is not equivalent to the end of Europe, the economic, political and demographic destruction of the United States of America should never be confused with the end of the ideas of freedom and human liberty that were intrinsic to revolutionary, constitutional America.
2012 will not be the year Western civilization is revived. But it should be a year in which we see encouraging signs that its revival is coming.