Two weeks ago, I wrote a column with some of my early New Year’s predictions. This week, I asked our staff at Talk Radio News Service to give me their predictions for the New Year. Our staff members have a wide variety of backgrounds and range from liberal to conservative. So, here are their predictions for the New Year!
Justin Duckham, our youngest staff member and our Pentagon correspondent, says:
- After being denied a speaking spot at the 2012 Republican convention, Ron Paul will irk the GOP establishment by announcing plans to host a competing event on the same days. The drama surrounding the move and the resulting media narrative of a schism within the party will overshadow anything that happens at the Republican convention.
- Sen. Kelly Ayotte, R-N.H., and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley make the vice presidential shortlist, with one of the two ultimately landing on the ticket.
- There’s serious talk among House Republicans over removing Boehner from his role as speaker and replacing him with Cantor. However, Boehner maintains his position after the bulk of the conference realizes that a sharp turn to the right will alienate general election
- Mark Kelly will run for the congressional seat currently held by his wife, Gabrielle Giffords.
Richard Miller, who is both our military correspondent and a military historian, has the following predictions for 2012:
- Obama will lose, period. It will not be as easy as some righties think, but he will not win. The history isn’t with him.
- No blockade of Homuz. The real story there isn’t intentional war but the risk of accident or action by a rogue IRG element looking to start a war and no red line between Washington and Tehran to settle things.
- The euro folds for good. It either splits into two currencies or just folds.
- Look for an October surprise by an increasingly desperate Obama. The only sustained bump he’s had in two years came when he killed Osama. He might ramp up a military confrontation against Iran.
- No-brainer: Republicans take the Senate and keep the House.
- Supreme Court hears Obamacare arguments in March and narrowly upholds the law. But if Obama loses, the law will be waived or repealed.
Victoria Jones, our White House correspondent, says the following abut 2012:
- Syria’s Bashar al-Assad will fall a victim to the Arab Spring
- So-called voter fraud will make its way to the Supreme Court. The Court will ultimately issue mixed rulings, but leaning toward increased scrutiny
- The Democrats will make gains in the House and have losses in the Senate.
From our U.N. correspondent, Sam Trudeau:
- At the U.N., Israeli settlement expansion issue will go back to the Security Council, and the U.S. will have to use or threaten to use veto. Next year will be a particularly unproductive year for the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.
- Assad manages to stay in power, despite increasing pressure.
- Sarkozy loses the French presidency in May.
- Putin is back as Russian president, handily.
- Saif Gaddafi won’t be turned over to the Hague. He’ll be tried in a makeshift court in Libya and sentenced to death before the end of 2012.
- Julian Assange will be extradited to Sweden by March and eventually indicted on spying charges in the U.S. This will kick off serious debate in 2012 about whether or not he should be extradited from Sweden to the U.S. for trial.
Do you have any predictions? We’d love to hear about them! Please write me, and we’ll post the most unusual and creative!
Have a happy, healthy and successful New Year!