One of the ultimate Washington insiders – who played the game successfully for years – sees Barack Obama as a one-term president, despite the “fraud and intimidation” he expects to see during the 2012 presidential election.
The comments to WND come from Jack Abramoff, author of the newly released “Capitol Punishment.”
He was asked what he sees coming in the nation’s capitol in the next year, even as Iowa Republicans kickoff tomorrow the process to decide Obama’s chief challenger.
Obama’s approval ratings consistently have been more negative than positive in recent polls. In fact, about the only group with significantly lower approval ratings than Obama is Congress.
“It is always dangerous to try to predict what may happen in American politics,” he told WND, “since there are so many variables. Only a true prophet, guided by the Almighty, would have an ability to see clearly through the maze.”
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But he said he does believe that a number of developments – “some of them are my fears. Some of them are my hopes” – are at least possible.
Among them is that conservative Republicans in the U.S. House will force a vote on retaining Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, in that post, after the Republicans “pick up only a half dozen new congressional seats in the 2012 election.”
However, they won’t have enough influence yet to “name a conservative congressman in his place,” Abramoff said.
The Republican nomination will go to a longtime frontrunner – Mitt Romney – and he’ll win in November, Abramoff believes.
“Mitt Romney will secure the Republican nomination in June and, days before the convention, name a female or minority vice presidential candidate who is not a former governor of Alaska, but is acceptable to traditional conservatives,” he said. “Mitt Romney will be elected president of the United States in an election which will be very close. The election will see large scale fraud and intimidation by the Obama forces, though none will be prosecuted.”
But he said that before then, the GOP will have to deal with Ron Paul.
“Ron Paul will threaten a third party run, which will force the Republicans to alot him a prime speaking slot at their 2012 convention. Reaction will be tempered, however, since most Republicans understand that not giving Paul a chance to speak at the Republican convention will ensure he does speak – and possibly accepts the nomination – at the Libertarian convention,” he said.
Obama, besides being plagued by a low approval rating and a constituency that polling has shown is willing to pick just about anyone but him, also will trip over his own strategies, Abramoff said.
“President Obama, seeking to secure the Jewish vote in Florida, will exert extreme pressure on [Israeli] Prime Minister Netanyahu to commence intense negotiations with the terrorists who run Palestinian authority. Netanyahu will delay the talks but eventually cave to Obama’s demands when pressure is brought by some of Obama’s American Jewish supporters, and Israel is offered significant defense concessions,” Abramoff said.
But he added, “Obama’s strategy will backfire, as the Jewish community of Florida leans toward a more hard line on Israel.”
And he said the U.S. Supreme Court will affirm Obamacare (5-4), but the real result will be to “energize the conservative base to turn out in record numbers, which will, in turn, ensure Republican control of the U.S. Senate.”
“Justice Clarence Thomas will pen a dissent to the opinion which will form the basis of a national movement to reinterpret the Commerce Clause of the Constitution more in line with the pre-FDR limitations on the federal government,” he wrote.
Voters won’t be stopping there, either, he said.
“A coalition of conservative and liberal organizations will extract a pledge for most congressional candidates to enact serious reform of the corruption in Washington,” he said.
Abramoff, who succeeded as a leading lobbyist in Washington for years, now is shaking the city’s foundations.
Once Washington, D.C.’s most powerful lobbyist, when Abramoff was fingered for corruption, many inside the Beltway sought to distance themselves from him. But now that Abramoff is out of prison, he’s turned over a new leaf and is determined to expose just how deep the capital’s culture of corruption has become.
After years of congressmen lining up to do his bidding, executives heeding his every word and heads of government giving him attention, he ended up in prison, and his name became synonymous with government corruption.
But he took the fall as a wake-up call, and he now admits he did wrong.
In his book, Abramoff not only “outs” senators and members of Congress and sets out the details of insider deals previously unknown to most, but he also sets forth a Capitol Hill reform plan to rock the fraternal inside-the-Beltway culture.