(WASHINGTON EXAMINER) An authoritative new analysis of the fall Electoral College vote finds President Obama just 23 Electoral Votes shy of reelection, and he could lose up to five states won in 2008 and still beat Mitt Romney.

But his hold is so weak and and the economy such a threat that Romney could win it all just by taking Virginia, a finding that should vault Gov. Bob McDonnell into the top tier of potential vice presidential nominees.

On Thursday morning, Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball team at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics will reveal a map that gives Obama 247 Electoral Votes and Romney 206. Some 270 are needed for victory. They previewed the analysis with Secrets.

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