(CJR) — Will The New York Times Company survive as a stand-alone firm past 2015?

That’s unknowable, of course. A lot can happen between now and then. But extrapolating from current trends can give us an idea of where things are going.

That’s what Ironfire Capital’s Eric Jackson does for Forbes, arguing that trendlines suggest that the “basket-case” of a company likely will either be in bankruptcy or forced to sell to someone else within three years.

Certainly this is not a healthy business. Forbes, for one, knows better than most about being a financial basket-case.

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