WASHINGTON – The U.S. Congress ultimately will fail to adopt an amnesty plan that Barack Obama is seeking, and the real “victory” will rest on “red state Democrats” who will oppose it, according to a spokeswoman for NumbersUSA, which supports immigration reform as an education and research foundation.

Spokeswoman Rosemary Jenks says Sens. “Mark Pryor, Mary Landrieu and Max Baucus will not be able to vote for this due to their upcoming reelection in 2014.”

The districts they represent, she said, are too conservative for them to adopt a far-left position on the controversy.

She referenced the “red state” designation, meaning conservative- or GOP-leaning states, although the original meaning for that designation was a Democrat stronghold. Networks originally in reporting on political leanings used red for Democrat and blue for GOP; a standard that was reversed some years ago.

The opposition of some of those Democrats in conservative locations is well documented, she said.

Landrieu, from Louisiana, previously voted in favor of declaring English as the official language of the U.S. government and in favor of building a fence along the U.S.-Mexican border. She also has voted against continuing federal funding to sanctuary cities, voted against allowing illegal aliens to cash in on welfare benefits and and perhaps most relevant, voted against the Bush-McCain-Kennedy amnesty plan of 2006-2007.

Baucus, from Montana, and Pryor, of Arkansas, also have “B” ratings on NumbersUSA’s “Congressional report card,” indicating their significant support for the integrity of the U.S. border.

These are among the reasons Jenks, the director of government relations at the organization, believes “amnesty will not pass.”

It will come down to the same arguments as the last time the issue was before Congress, she said.

“The people who support amnesty can only get it in ‘comprehension immigration reform,'” meaning that both sides will have to find a means to compromise, which Jenks says “isn’t going to happen.”

She says, “The Democrats will not go along with anything that doesn’t end up with citizenship for illegal aliens and Republicans will not compromise on anything that does give citizenship to illegal aliens.”

She said in addition, the compromise will be so convoluted that Congress will “end up overreaching and draft a 2,000-page bill that everybody hates.”

Her prediction on the Democrat position was confirmed recently when Sen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., told the Las Vegas Sun, “There will be nothing done in my Senate [on immigration reform] without a pathway to citizenship.”

That came on the heels of Sen. Patrick Leahy D-Vt., announcing last Wednesday in his “Agenda of the Senate Judiciary Committee for the 113th Congress” that he “expects … the Judiciary Committee will devote most of our time this spring [to] working to pass comprehensive immigration reform.”

Jenks warned the Republican Party if they do compromise on amnesty and it is passed, “You would see a third party come to life because there is no way the American people would put up with it.”

That move also would be a “huge disaster” for the GOP, she said.

She said the demographics of virtually unrestricted immigration-to-citizenship paths would be a problem for the GOP because “70 percent of this new citizen body would vote Democrat.”

She additionally notes that the problem will worsen even more for the GOP, for she says, “Illegal immigration begets more illegal immigration and amnesty begets more amnesty. If you give amnesty, you give out a message that says come in illegally, you’ll eventually get your turn.”

At the same time, another group, Americans for Legal Immigration PAC, announced it is launching an effort to determine which GOP members of the House “may be a part of the secret negotiations and agreements being crafted for a group of Republican lawmakers to join with Democrats to pass amnesty legislation for illegal immigrants in a pattern similar to the recent ‘Fiscal Cliff’ compromise in which 85 Republicans voted with Democrats to pass the measure.”

“We know that [House] Speaker John Boehner and Paul Ryan are working with Obama to legalize millions of illegal aliens who will eventually displace millions of American workers and conservative voters,” said William Gheen, president of ALIPAC. “We are doing our best to determine which Republicans will follow them so we can alert voters to lobby these lawmakers to abandon the Amnesty negotiations.”

The group said senators whose actions are being reviewed include Sens. Marco Rubio, John McCain and Lindsey Graham, along with John Boehner and Paul Ryan.

“We are going to accurately inform voters about which GOP lawmakers are holding secret negotiations with Obama’s representatives and then these Republican sellouts can learn what it feels like to offend over 80 percent of their base supporters,” said Gheen.

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