(THE WEEK) — If the entire nation were one big New Jersey, Chris Christie would have the 2016 Republican presidential nomination in the bag.

Except there is only one New Jersey and, as a result, Christie’s hypothetical path to the nomination will have to wind through far less favorable territory than solely the Garden State. And while it’s tempting to extrapolate Christie’s blowout re-election last week as a sign of his superior electability and presumed frontrunner status, there are questions about whether the New Jersey governor’s broad support will extend beyond his home turf.

In the latest such indicator, an NBC poll out Tuesday found that Christie was the preferred candidate of GOP voters in just one region, the Northeast. There, 57 percent of Republicans said they would support Christie in a GOP primary versus 22 percent who said they would not.

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