(Popular Mechanics) Hazardous asteroids are 10 times more likely to hit Earth than previously thought, according to new research by Peter Brown of the University of Western Ontario.

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The physicist crunched 20 years’ worth of data on meteor airbursts instead of using only telescopic surveys and lunar-crater data to make the new assessment. He also studied videos from last year’s blast in Chelyabinsk, Russia. Here’s what the threat looks like.

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