By Jonathon Moseley
The stakes are higher than most conservatives realize. When the fraud of man-made global warming finally dies, folks will start themselves to a-thinking: What else were we lied to about? How could the high priests of modern knowledge have confidently insisted something that was never remotely plausible?
A key element of progressivism is having wise philosopher-kings who make benevolent decisions for the masses. It is a core element of conservatism that you can make decisions for yourself. But for progressives, it is essential to convince the public that the designated authorities know better than you do, including what to eat, how to raise your kids, how to educate children, whom to vote for, etc. Elites ruling the masses because elites know better is central to the progressive movement.
Who will control society is up for grabs. The entire progressive religion depends upon maintaining public belief that their self-declared experts are all-knowing. Liberals move with a herd mentality, and defying the authority of the herd is a great sin to liberals, drawing scoffing attacks. Conformity is more important than truth. So desperate Warmists are intensifying their efforts even as their argument collapses in full view of everyone. Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom are now warning the BBC to censor the views of “climate skeptics” and get special permission before airing dissenting views on global warming.
But a scientist with an opinion is not a scientist. A real scientist is cheerfully open to being proven wrong, eager for discovery more than for satisfying his ego. Many of the most important discoveries were not what a researcher was expecting. A scientist will have suspicions and a working hypothesis, but only with an open mind. A real scientist works very hard to eliminate personal bias.
Instead, modern science has become a festival of speculation. Progressives simply speculate about what might be true and then read tea leaves for any hint consistent with their imagination.
Modern scientists are “Imagineers.” We have special-effects television shows about dinosaurs showing the coloring of dinosaurs whose skin we have never seen and the sounds they make which we have never heard. Science shows tell us that the mother dinosaur is starting to worry that day about the storm approaching, and that the young dinosaurs are feeling playful. I kid you not, I have watched many such episodes (with my hand slapped on my forehead) reporting things we do not know as fact.
Such tripe should be condemned because it encourages the modern attitude that speculation equals science. A culture of unbridled speculation permeates every aspect of today’s scientific world. If you read the most sophisticated scientific papers and analyses, you would see guesswork transformed into fact there in black and white. That is science fiction, not science. Flights of imagination have become popular under “thought experiments,” a contradiction in terms.
Real science is governed by the Scientific Method. Unless a hypothesis can be proven true or false by repeatable and repeated experiments it isn’t science. Results must be verified by independent teams of unbiased researchers, by experiments conducted under varying conditions and in different locations. Anything less doesn’t qualify as science. (Now, to be fair, probably 99 percent of the work of science is the thankless drudgery of collecting raw data out in the field. But those heroes who do the leg work are not drawing conclusions.)
A perfect example is Galileo. Aristotle and other Greek philosophers determined – by pure imagination or thought experiments – that if you drop a large and small cannonball, the larger one will fall faster. But nobody tried it until Galilei Galileo dropped cannonballs off the leaning tower of Pisa. The great Aristotle was wrong. Aristotle was brilliant, but totally wrong. Aristotle was highly educated, but wrong. And the physics Galileo discovered helped transform our understanding of nature. We would not have the orbital mechanics needed to land a man on the moon if Galileo hadn’t tested Aristotle’s conclusions. It doesn’t matter if someone is wise or educated; his opinion is meaningless without putting it to the test.
Another example is cold fusion. In 1989, chemists Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann made headlines by announcing that they had achieved fusion at room temperature – “cold” fusion. That would mean the generation of limitless, clean energy from water under relatively simple conditions. But when other researchers tried to repeat the experiments, no one could reproduce their positive results.
That is real science. Other teams have to be able to reproduce the same results. You can’t get from here all the way to science without repeating the experiment many times. Cold fusion was disproven at the stage of other teams trying to reproduce the results.
But that’s the problem: No one can ever perform even a single experiment to prove man-made global warming or evolution (meaning life springing from non-life) true or false. For certain, no experiment could be repeated.
The Earth’s worldwide atmosphere is too complex to say that any scaled-down experiment tells us the behavior of an entire planet. Life was created on Earth only once. No experiment can be performed to test how it happened. Science cannot determine the origin of life without a time machine to go back and watch. Progressives confuse mere possibilities with proof.
Science is now dead. American society is at risk economically and culturally because we no longer teach science. Oh, sure, we still have engineering capabilities to build new gadgets in China or Taiwan for sale to Americans and Europeans who don’t understand how their cool gadgets work or how to make them. But mere technology isn’t science.
This is a battle progressives know they have to win. Just when Democrats should be backing away from climate hysteria, Senate Democrats held an all-night talk-a-thon March 5. On March 6, U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told a roundtable of reporters, “Climate change is the worst problem facing the world today.” President Barack Obama declared that “Climate change is a fact” and “The debate is settled” in his 2014 State of the Union address.
The United Nations IPPC just released its latest report. The U.N. very conspicuously escalates its hysterical warnings despite having no new information and even though nothing has changed in that direction. On the contrary, any risks are vanishing from the dramatic mismatch between computer models and real-world events.
If the masses start to realize that the magnificent and terrifying Oz breathing fire is just a little man behind the curtain, if they start to question the experts as self-appointed philosopher-kings, the entire progressive power structure is in trouble. A democracy of ideas threatens the elitist dream of egotists planning all our lives.
[Author note: Some claim others tried the cannonball experiment before Galileo. That often happens in science as researchers are debating ideas. Some claim Galileo didn’t use the Leaning Tower of Pisa. But it was the obvious choice while Galileo was teaching mathematics at the University of Pisa from 1589 to 1592. Rather than build a tower from scratch, the tilt of the tower offered the obvious choice and the safest way to avoid hitting a building while dropping cannonballs.]
Jonathon Moseley is a Virginia business and criminal defense attorney. Moseley is also a co-host with the “Conservative Commandos” radio show and an active member of the Northern Virginia Tea Party. He studied Physics at Hampshire College, Finance at the University of Florida and Law at George Mason University in Virginia. Moseley promoted Reagan’s policies at High Frontier and the Center for Peace in Freedom. He worked at the U.S. Department of Education, including at the Center for Choice in Education. He can be reached at [email protected].