Some people think it’s inevitable that Hillary Clinton will be the next president.

Some think she’s a cinch to get the Democratic nomination.

Some think a Republican can’t win because of the changing demographics in the country and the way the culture has shifted so dramatically toward depravity.

Maybe all those folks are right.

But I’m not convinced.

Maybe I’m just an eternal optimist.

Or maybe I’m right.

There are so many reasons I don’t think Hillary can win in 2016, but let me lay out four big ones:

Point No. 1: She’s not a good candidate. We saw that in 2008 when she thought she was going to win in a cakewalk. She got beat by an unknown. I don’t even think Barack Obama expected to win that year. I think he was positioning himself for the future – much as Bill and Hillary Clinton were admittedly doing in 1992. They didn’t expect to win the first time out. But the competition was thin. And, much as I hate to say anything positive about Bill Clinton, he was a good campaigner – and still is.

Not only was she a lousy campaigner in 2008, she clearly hasn’t learned much since. Just look at her highly publicized and widely covered book tour. It’s been a disaster – one gaffe after another. She’s not that bright. She’s just a woman with a huge sense of entitlement. She’s got a chip on her shoulder that’s so big and so evident, it’s about all you see when you look at her or listen to her.

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Point No. 2: She’s got lots of baggage and keeps picking up more every day. Let’s face it: She has no accomplishments she can point to. But that’s not unusual with recent Democratic presidential candidates.

Bill Clinton had none. He was governor of Arkansas. Do you know how big Arkansas is? I don’t know what the population is today, but it was just over 2 million when Bill Clinton left office. Two million! Houston has more people. Would anyone suggest the presidency would be a natural next step for the mayor of Houston? Can anyone outside of Houston even name the mayor of Houston?

Likewise, Obama had no experience that would qualify him for the presidency. He had served in the U.S. Senate, not necessarily considered a great launching pad for the presidency, for less than two years when he ran.

So I get it. You don’t have to be qualified to be a Democratic president because most, maybe all, Democratic voters are not qualified to vote in a rational, discerning manner.

But you do have to be likeable. Hillary isn’t. I think even Democrats are self-aware enough to figure out she’s a shrew, a harpy, a battle-ax. There’s just not much to like about her.

She’s also not that smart. Just look what happens nearly every time she opens her mouth these days. Then, of course, there is her signature career move. After the Senate carpet-bagging experience, she took the job of secretary of state. And what did she do with it? Benghazi. And how did she explain the deaths of those Americans on her watch? “What difference does it make?”

This is not a woman who would be capable of managing the nation’s crises. This is a woman badly in need of a crisis-management specialist team every time she appears in public without a script.

Point No. 3: She’s a fraud, and more people are seeing it. Her strength was her womanhood. But she’s been exposed as the kind of women’s advocate who would defend a known child rapist by impugning the character of the victim – and laugh about it. I’ve got a lot of baggage, but I could make one TV commercial about that and beat Hillary myself, not that I’m thinking about it. She’s just not credible as a defender of women. She never was, but more people see it now. And any decent opposition candidate could make mincemeat out of her with the audio from the long deep-sixed Hillary recording sitting out in plain sight, until recently, at the Clinton Library. (You have to wonder if Bill set her up.)

Point No. 4: I don’t think she can get the nomination. I know what you’re thinking: Who’s going to beat her? The Democratic leadership back bench is not exactly deep. But, let’s face it: It wasn’t in 2008. And that’s when the unknown, undocumented, underachieving Barack Obama arose from nowhere.

Today, Obama remains the de facto leader of the Democratic Party, and he will remain so until the party nominates a new leader. He may not have much in the way of accomplishments as president to speak of, but he has done one thing in the last eight years: He has built a formidable political machine. Don’t you think he’s going to use it? Don’t you think Obama is going to have a say about who succeeds him? And do you think, with the animosity that is so palpable between the Obamas and the Clintons, he’s going to go with someone other than Hillary?

I don’t know who the Democratic nominee will be. But I doubt it is anyone commonly mentioned by the pundits today. That person is known to someone though. It’s known to Barack Obama.

That’s what I think. He’s going to find a clone. And they’re going to run the same drill they ran so successfully in 2008 and 2012.

Will the Obama clone win? I hope not. Depends who the Republicans nominate. If it’s Jeb Bush or Chris Christie, the unnamed Democrat wins – hands down. Even Hillary can beat either one of them.

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