Whatever impact the third and final presidential debate of the 2016 election season may have still is to come, but the day after the event, Rasmussen had GOP nominee Donald Trump up by three points in its polling.
“The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey finds Trump with 43 percent support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 40 percent,” the report said Thursday.
“Six percent still prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and three percent favor Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Another three percent like some other candidate, and six percent are undecided.”
Rasmussen had the two candidates tied the day of the debate.
“Clinton held a seven-point lead at the beginning of last week just after the airing of an 11-year-old video showing Trump making graphic sexual remarks, but she began losing ground after the second presidential debate,” the report said.
“Among the 87 percent of voters who say they are now sure how they will vote, it’s Trump 48 percent, Clinton 46 percent. Four percent of these voters choose Johnson, two percent Stein. Among the voters who say they still could change their minds between now and election day, it’s Trump 36 percent, Clinton 30 percent, Johnson 34 percent and Stein 11 percent.”
The USC Dornsife/LA Times “Daybreak” poll, which had the two candidates in a virtual dead heat on Wednesday, showed Trump extending his lead by fractions.
Trump was at 44.3 percent in the poll, to Clinton’s 43.6 percent. The day before, was Trump 44.1 to 43.9 for Clinton
The L.A. Times, however, published a report citing Ernie Tedeschi, an economist and former Treasury Department official, who “found that if he took the poll’s data and weighted it differently, what had been a tie between Trump and Clinton suddenly became a Clinton lead.”
The IDB-TIPP Poll, described as the most accurate over the course of the 2012 race, on Thursday had Trump at 41 percent and Clinton at 40 percent, virtually the same as the day before.
Johnson and Stein had 7 and 5 percent, respectively.
Explained the poll publishers: “The second day’s results of the IBD-TIPP poll don’t reflect any impact of the spirited presidential debate Wednesday night, which covered a wide range of issues, from the Supreme Court, to abortion, to ISIS, to economic policy and entitlement reform.
“During the debate, Clinton repeatedly struggled to defend her policy positions and the Clinton Foundation scandal against sharp questioning from moderator Chris Wallace. When asked, for example, about conflicts of interest involving the foundation while she was secretary of state, Clinton tried to turn to focus on what she described were the strengths of the nonprofit. She also had difficulty defending her position on gun control and explaining how her economic policies were different from President Obama'[s] failed stimulus package.”
The Daily Caller reported the most recent polling among U.S. military voters, by Military Times, had Trump leading all candidates with 40 percent of the vote.
The instant, unscientific polls on the debate produced predictable results. The left-leaning CNN tally had Clinton winning the debate 52 percent to 39 percent for Trump.
The Drudge Report’s instant poll – which collected opinions from more than half a million people, not just the few hundred CNN garnered – had Trump winning the debate 86 percent to 13 percent.