According to Ravi Batra, Ph.D. in Economics, all societies fall victim to the cycle of: democracy, socialism, chaos, tyranny, and then back to democracy. This diagram is from my book “Save America Now:”

The values of a society determine where it is in the cycle. So what are the values of the USA?

• Government (federal and local) spending for the last 50 years has increased two times faster than the increase to the economy; 24 percent of the GDP is federal spending, which is up from 18 percent (a 33 percent increase). The combined total of federal/local spending is approaching 50 percent.

• More than 50 percent of adult Americans pay no income taxes, and 47 percent of adult Americans receive some type of payments from the government.
• The number of government workers has grown to more than the number of combined construction/manufacturing workers. Government work is more prestigious and lucrative.
• There are three times more lawyers than there are soldiers. The U.S. graduates four times more lawyers per capita than other countries … lawyers who demonize/rationalize/justify.
• Americans demonize others to justify their own actions. Americans rationalize why their particular actions are not sins. Perception of what is good and bad is more important than truth. Americans rationalize their actions as if everyone is a lawyer.
• More than half of adults commit adultery. One-fourth of adults under 35 contracted an STD. Adultery, lying, coveting, cheating on tests, lying on applications, using performance-enhancing drugs (steroids, Viagra, estrogen, etc.), government-supplied birth control and cheating on taxes have become excusable, rationalized behavior.
• Jesus explained that Moses allowed divorce because Moses saw that the people had hardened hearts. More than half of all marriages end in divorce in America even though both parties took a vow for “better or worse, until death do us part.” Americans developed hardened hearts that allow them to break their promises to each other.
• Appearance, sexiness and being “cool” are valued more than character or content.
• Gay marriages are treated the same as traditional marriage even though the commandment reads: “Honor your father and mother.”
• The number of births to unwed mothers has increased almost four times in 40 years to where 70 percent of children born in the inner cities are fatherless, of which the majority are supported by government.
• Education about the impacts of God and religion on the nation has been replaced by education about sex and alternate lifestyles. Remarks by historic leaders and our history books have been altered to remove religion from our society.
• The U.S. ranks first in cost per child for education and last in performance in science, engineering and math, with only one-fourth of the engineering graduates per capita as in the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China), Germany and Eastern Europe.
• 55 million abortions have been performed in the U.S. since Roe v. Wade, including infanticide and late-term abortions. Even though the unborn child has a different DNA and different blood than the mother, courts rule that it is a mother’s right to choose because women can vote and unborn children cannot.
• The birthrate of the majority population has dropped in the last 40 years to less than half of what is needed to maintain the population and the culture. Growth to the U.S. population has come from immigration and its offspring. Without immigration, the population would have actually decreased. “Things” and “lifestyle” are more important to Americans than bringing life into the world.
• Hollywood makes lots of money glamorizing violence and then demonizes gun owners.
• America is a Babylonian economy of lots more debt than it produces in wealth. The beneficiaries of this are the moneychangers, the banks and Wall Street just like during the time of Jesus. Those who suffer are those who worked hard and saved.
• America selected Obama as president and rejected the moral candidate because Obama promised “redistribution of wealth” and more goodies to those who pay no taxes by increasing the taxes on the producers in society.
• The government is trying to cut Social Security benefits and health care to the elderly rather than repay its IOUs to the Social Security trust fund. And it is trying to confiscate the retirement accounts of those who saved so it can pay its bills.

So where is the USA now? Increasing socialism. When a people change or interpret the words in the Torah, the Bible and the Constitution to fit their desires, then that society is bending the intent of those documents to fit its own values. That creates socialism, secularism and decline.

And where is the USA headed? Batra said that the cycle could be stopped. It could be slowed down, but that it could not be reversed. Much like the Jews at the time of Jesus, the Romans of A.D. 500, the Germans of 1932 and Russians in the 1990s, Americans are making choices that accelerate the speed of the cycle. Just like those others, America could soon be in chaos.

1. The swing states (Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin and Colorado), except for North Carolina, have Republican governors. But only North Carolina, the state with a Democratic governor, voted for Romney. All of the swing states run by Republican governors voted for Obama. Not one of those Republican governors delivered his state for Romney – and that is one of the jobs of a governor for his party. The odds of that being a coincidence is less than 3 percent.

   Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey personally handed 3 points to Obama by his fawning over BHO the week before the election. Before the storm that ravaged the East Coast, Romney had 52 percent of the electorate as measured by Gallup and Rasmussen. By the time of the election, the poll numbers for Romney dropped to 49 percent as the world watched Christie become the major reference for Obama. Christie was more interested in his personal political needs than in saving America by stopping the Obama agenda.

   Why did Romney not get the same 57 percent vote in Virginia Bob McDonnell got for governor? It was not because of Romney. Romney won North Carolina, which had a Democratic governor. McDonnell, Christie and the other Republican governors did not bet their jobs on Romney. They did not go to the mat for their party’s standard-bearer.

2. 47 percent. Romney said that he was not interested in the 47 percent of the electorate that did not pay taxes. That sound bite was played over and over in all of the swing states. It was taken out of context. It helped reinforce the image of Romney presented by Democrats, that he’s rich and not interested in people who need help. Romney was wrong in what he said. He did not consider all those older people who would vote for him who do not pay taxes, or the military, or conservatives in low= paying jobs. He was wrong, and he never recovered from it.
3. All polls showed for the last three years that 55 percent of Americans want Obamacare repealed. Did you ever hear Romney say that the only way to repeal Obamacare was to get rid of Obama? Did you hear him discuss it daily the way Obama discussed Romney’s tax reductions for the rich? Romney should have won the election 55 to 45 on just this one issue.
4. Wisconsin has 9 electoral votes, Ohio has 18, and Florida has 29. So why did Romney pick Paul Ryan, from Wisconsin, as his running mate? Why didn’t he pick Rubio from Florida or Portman from Ohio? Rubio could have also increased Hispanic votes for Romney in other states. And Ryan did not even deliver Wisconsin as a swing state. Even JFK was smart enough to pick LBJ, his enemy, as his running mate to secure the votes of Texas; Reagan picked George H.W. Bush for New England, military and oil support; and Obama picked Biden for the union vote. Picking Ryan had the same impact as when McCain picked Palin. Romney put his personal chemistry with Ryan ahead of what was needed to win.
5. 53 percent of males voted for Romney; 54 percent of females voted for Obama. Obama had as much of a gender gap with men as Romney had with women. They offset each other. Five percent more women voted than did men. Romney did not get out the male vote as well as Obama got out the female vote. Obama gave women a reason to go vote. That was the difference in the election – 3 percent. If Romney had gotten 57 percent of the male vote or 1 percent more turnout of men as women, he would have won. Romney neglected the male vote.
6. Half of the conservatives who vote for Republicans are tea-party people. That is about 20 percent of the electorate. They were the energy of the 2010 midterm elections. They got Rubio elected. They won back the House of Representatives for the Republican Party. They were active in the local elections of 2012 and held the congressional seats they won in 2010. But they were absent from the presidential election. There was no march on D.C. of 2 million people like in 2009. There was no big event from Dick Armey to push national momentum for Romney. The Republican Party and Dick Armey deliberately neutralized the impact of the tea party in the presidential election … and that hurt Romney.

So what can we learn from this?

Many conservative activists will stay home in the future as their hopes were crushed by the performances of Romney in 2012 and McCain in 2008. But maybe, just maybe, those who fight against the evil presented by the Obama/Alinsky type of politicians will learn to:

• Fight the demonization quickly before it becomes fact.
• Demand loyalty from the Republican governors and establishment.
• Stop making stupid comments that can be used out of context by the media and the opposition.
• Make decisions based on good business information.
• Embrace the grass-roots activists.

Then, maybe conservatives will learn how to win.

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From January 2007 to January 2009, the last two years of President Bush’s term, the economy fell apart as the Democrats ran Congress. Even with that, the U-3 unemployment rate for the eight years of Bush averaged 5.2 percent (including the recession left by Clinton at the end of his term and the recession caused by 9/11) as compared to an average unemployment rate for the eight years of Clinton of 5.1 percent.

Despite the statistical facts, many Americans have the misconception that the economy was better under Clinton than under Bush. And many of them are making excuses about the negative results from this Obama administration.

Obama promised in 2008 that he would keep the unemployment rate (U-3) under 8 percent if he were elected. As a member of the Senate, he was well aware of what he would inherit in the economy when he made that promise. He also promised to cut the federal deficit in half, to bring more transparency to government, to unify America and to eliminate cronyism.

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For his first 43 months in office, Obama had a Democrat-controlled Senate. For the first 24 months, he had a House that was controlled by Democrats and a super majority of Democrats in the Senate that was filibuster proof. That Democrat-controlled Congress of 2009-2010 passed Obamacare without any Republican support. It could have given Obama anything that he wanted.

During these 43 months of Obama, the U-3 unemployment rate averaged 9.1 percent and exceeded 10 percent at times (today, it is 8.3 percent), compared to Clinton at 5.1, Bush at 5.2 and his promise not to let it exceed 8 percent. The federal debt has grown by more than $1 trillion per year.

But that is not the whole story. Even though there are 11 million more people in America than when Obama took office, there are 2 million fewer people who are working. The Labor Department, which reports to the White House, has systematically taken off the rolls people available for work to artificially hold down the U-3 unemployment rate. If the same number of people available for work was held constant to January 2009, with the additional 11 million in population, then the unemployment rate would be over 11 percent. But the Obama-controlled Labor Department is spinning the numbers for political reasons.

John Carney, in his article for CNBC on Aug 3, 2012, “Real Unemployment Rate Shows far more Jobless,” states that the real unemployment rate (U-6) is more like 15 percent. That means that one out of every seven people who qualify to work is unemployed. Estimates of the underemployment/unemployment rate are around 25 percent. One out of four Americans in the labor pool are either unemployed or underemployed. One out of four.

On top of that, in 2008, Obama demonized Bush as being “unpatriotic” for allowing the national debt to grow $4 trillion during the eight years of Bush. The national debt increased more than $5 trillion in the 43 months of Obama. So is Obama more “unpatriotic” for letting the debt grow more than twice as fast as Bush?

What do we have from the 43 months of Obama?

1. Obamacare. The OMB states that Obamacare will increase costs to America by another $2.6 trillion over the next 10 years. While an additional 11 million people will have “insurance,” no additional people will receive “health care” that did not have “health care” before Obamacare. And Obamacare was passed by Democrats without any compromises to Republicans to get bipartisan approval.
2. More government, more government debt and more government spending.
3. A more polarized America. Attacks on religion. Pandering to feminists. Race bating. Class warfare. Solyndra. GM bailout (current stock price of 19 vs IPO of 31).
4. Fewer people working.
5. GDP growth that is about the same as inflation; therefore, real GDP growth is stagnant.
6. A complete lack of transparency (Fast and Furious, White House security leaks, passports, college transcripts, college applications).
7. Decrease to the personal wealth of the average American of about 40 percent – especially to home values.
8. Decrease to real wages of 10 percent.
9. Broken promises while Obama blames everyone except himself for his failures.
10. According to Rasmussen Polls, an all-time low in the confidence for the future of America.

How did this happen? Obama is the first president in history without any executive experience before taking office. America can never let that happen again. President of the United States is an executive position, and that requires executive experience to do a good job.

America used a lower set of criteria to elect the first black president (affirmative action), and America is now paying a price for its bad decision. America did not even demand to see his sealed college transcripts to see how smart he really is.

Barack Hussein Obama, the first president without any executive experience of any kind, must be removed from office so we can save America from any more of his destruction.

Why does Bill continually compare this economy to when he was president, to the detriment of Obama?

The Democrats had complete control of the House and the Senate for the last two years of Bush and the first two years of Obama. The Republicans passed dozens of bills and two budgets since taking control of the House in 2011 that the Democrat-controlled Senate refuses even to consider. Congress sets the budgets, makes the laws and spends the money.

The downturns to employment in the last 20 years happened when the Democrats controlled the Senate (1993-1994, 2001-2002, 2007-present). The increases to employment happened when Republicans controlled the Senate (1995-2000, 2003-2006). Increases to the deficit happened when Democrats controlled the Senate. Surpluses happened when Republicans controlled the Senate. There is less than a 3 percent probability that these things happened by random chance.

While Democrats like to say that 700,000 jobs were lost in the last month of Bush’s term, the truth is that Democrats were in control of Congress for that last month and for the 23 months before that. And Obama was part of that Congress. They made the laws, they passed the budgets, and they spent the money. Barney Frank, Chris Dodd and Chuck Schumer blocked any attempts requested by Bush to investigate/regulate Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Obama knew exactly what happened (he was part of it) and he knew exactly what he inherited before he made his promise not to allow the unemployment rate to exceed 8 percent.

Money Magazine of June 2012 just posted the statistics about jobs for the last three and a half years, on page 104. Those statistics show that the United States lost 5.2 million jobs under Obama with a gain of 635,000 for a net loss of 4.2 million. That does not include the increase to the workforce of 7.4 million, for a total of 12 million additional people out of work under Obama. That should have increased the unemployment rate by 9 points – to 16 percent.

The total number of Americans out of work under the Democrat Congress since 2006 is close to 16 million.

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The only reason the unemployment rate is 8.2 percent is because the Labor Department has arbitrarily taken people off the rolls of those who are available to work. The Labor Department reports to the White House. If the same number of available workers was used to calculate the unemployment rate as were available at the start of 2009, then even that unemployment rate would be 11 percent, without adding more people because of the increase to the working population since 2008.

In addition, Money Magazine points out that 6.3 percent of the workforce is underemployed, or an additional 8 million, for a total of 24 million people unemployed or underemployed.

Obama has increased the debt, increased the deficit, operated without a budget, had his budget rejected by both the House and the Senate without getting even one Democrat to vote for it, and pushed Obamacare without any compromises with Republicans to obtain Republican votes.

As pointed out by Conservative Action Alerts on June 12, 2012:

• Ten former presidential advisers are warning that the coming crisis could “DWARF 2008.”
• JP Morgan just warned America is about to plunge off the “fiscal cliff” and is going “head-first into the fiscal meat grinder.”
• Sen. Mark Warner says, “We’re approaching financial Armageddon.”
• Sen. Joe Manchin calls it “a fiscal Titanic.”
• Sen. Mike Crapo says it is “a threat to not just our way of life, but to our national survival.”
• And Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke just warned: “There’s … absolutely no chance that the Federal Reserve could or would have any ability whatsoever to offset that effect on the economy.”

It is obvious to me that Obama cannot win a re-election on his record. George Soros, Ted Turner, Jeff Immelt, SEIU, NEA and many other powerful Democrats must be worried about Democrats losing the Senate on the coattails of Obama. So it is my prediction that Obama will not be the Democratic candidate for president in 2012. The candidate will be Hillary Clinton.

As I stated about a year and a half ago, a deal was made. This is a tag team. Obama’s mission right now is to beat up on Romney to diminish Romney’s likability factor. Then in August, Obama will opt out of the contest. The Democrats will then draft Hillary at the convention where she will announce a plan to fix things, which will give her a huge bounce.

What’s in it for Obama? A nomination to be secretary general of the United Nations using his apparent Kenya or Indonesian dual citizenship. This would be obvious if only we could see Obama’s college applications and his passports.

If you are paying attention, you could see this coming. The media have been selling Hillary for the last three years. Hillary made many of the announcements a president would normally make, about Egypt, Syria and Libya. Look at the coverage of her by Newsweek, Time, the Washington Post, the New York Times, CNN, NBC and the rest of the liberal media. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta and Hillary were presented as the real decision makers concerning Osama bin Laden. And the media deliberately ignored all those emails from WikiLeaks concerning Hillary and the State Department … and are deliberately ignoring her past uses of FBI files and her condemnation of a “vast right-wing conspiracy.”

So, why is Bill Clinton saying what he is saying? Because he is selling Hillary for 2012. Listen to his words closely. Bill is working to get the Clintons back into the White House … now! This is all another con job on the American public that was set in place long before now.

Read these slowly:

1. A prison inmate from Texas just won 40 percent of the votes in the West Virginia Democratic primary against Obama without having any campaign in West Virginia. A prison inmate in Texas. A primary election in West Virginia. Forty percent of Democrats voted against Obama.
2. Indiana voted 61 to 39 in the Indiana Republican primary for the tea-party candidate. Republicans ousted Richard Lugar after his 36 years in the Senate because he is a friend/compromiser to Obama and Democrats.
3. North Carolina voted by 61 percent to join 30 other states in defining marriage as between one man and one woman and eliminate any other types of “unions,” “contracts,” or arrangements that dilute that definition. California voted the same in 2008. Conservative states on this issue outnumber the liberal states by 31 to 19.
4. In the Democratic primary in North Carolina, 21 percent of the votes were cast for “other” on the ballot, against Obama.
5. The Wisconsin Democratic primary to select a candidate to run against Gov. Scott Walker in the June recall just elected the same person who lost to Walker in the last election by 6 points. Democrats selected the mayor of Milwaukee. He was not the choice of the teacher’s union that instigated the recall. The NEA union candidate lost in their own primary. The total votes for all the Democrats in this primary election were less than the votes received by Walker.

Hmm. In each of these cases, the media polls like CNN/Gallup/USA Today predicted outcomes that were much more favorable to Democrats and Obama. They continually post polling information that overstates the position of Obama and the Democrats. They are trying to affect the elections rather than just report about them. Only Rasmussen picked all of them correctly. Rasmussen now says that Romney leads Obama 49 to 44 and that Romney leads Obama in Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Wisconsin and Ohio. Obama won all five of those states in 2008 and cannot afford to lose them in 2012.

My prediction: In August, Hillary will be named to replace either Obama or Biden to firm up the single female vote for Democrats. Then Romney will announce Rubio as his running mate. Checkmate.

Obama won 75 percent of the Latino vote and 55 percent of the Catholic vote in 2008. Catholics are 40 percent of all voters. Right now, Rasmussen says that Catholic voters are split 49/49 between Obama and Romney. Rubio will take a third of the Latino vote from Obama. Cardinal Dolan is hammering away at Obama for lying to him. Obama will probably drop to less than 45 percent of Catholic votes by November. Those reductions to Catholics and Hispanics will cut 6 points from Obama.

Do the math. A 6-point reduction cuts Obama to 47 percent from his 53 percent in 2008. Hillary is the only hope for Democrats – and they will pull her out in August to help them. Bill and Hillary are assessing the situation right now. Will she do it? Only if she thinks she can win. Watch closely.

Help me understand: How did the unemployment rate “drop”?

According to that very same Department of Labor, a net of 170,000 additional people join the workforce every month as the population grows and as students graduate. That is a net of 170,000 more than those who retire from the workforce.

So, how did the unemployment rate drop from 8.3 to 8.2 percent when more people (net) entered the workforce than the number of net new jobs created?

The Department of Labor says that fewer people are looking for jobs – they gave up looking – so there are fewer people available to work when it calculates the unemployment rate.

Huh?

Let’s look at this another way. According to the Labor Department, 131 million people are working. Some are part-time, and many are underemployed. But if we work backwards from their 8.2 percent unemployment rate, that means the government believes that there are 143 million people available for work. At the end of 2008, there were145 million people available for work, with134 million employed (according to the Departmentof Labor). The unemployment rate was 7.6 percent.

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So, what happened to 2 million people since December 2008? And what happened to the net of 170,000 people who entered the workforce each month (2.5 million total since December, 2008)? Where are those 4.5 million workers? What happened to them? There should be 147.5 million available for work, not the 143 million the Department of Labor is using. And the real unemployment rate should be 11.2 percent with an underemployment, part-time and unemployment rate that is really about 23 percent. Almost one out of every 4 people is underemployed, unemployed, or only working part time.

So how could this difference in the unemployment rate be possible? How could the bureaucrats decrease the number of people available for work by 4.5 million people in calculating the unemployment rate?

The Department of Labor reports to the president. Is the president conning America again … this time through his Department of Labor? Add this to the long list of deceptions perpetrated by Obama through the government agencies that report to him – e.g., Department of Justice (Holder), Department of Homeland Security (Napolitano), Treasury Department (Geithner), EPA (Jackson), Department of Energy (Chu) – just for a start.

And for those who think the economy is doing better because the stock market is improving … not so. As I stated a couple of years ago, the stock market is increasing in value because:

• low interest rates drive up the price of stocks;

• more available money (printing it) creates more money to buy stocks, which increases stock prices.; and
• other competitive investments (like real estate) are unattractive, so there is more money for stocks.

If the economy stays as it is right now, the stock market will crater when the U.S. stops printing money, increases interest rates, or has an improved real estate market.

The Obama administration is deceiving America again. The economy is no better. If we only use the same number of available people for work as there were at the end of 2008 (145 million), then the unemployment rate right now is more like 9.1 percent … and Obama promised to keep it under 8 percent. We citizens and taxpayers assumed he meant 8 percent at the same number of available workers plus the additional people entering the workforce. He inherited an unemployment rate of 7.6 percent and turned it into 11.2 percent. That is almost a 50 percent increase.

The programs of the Obama administration failed. And why? Because they focus on financial solutions and legislation, rather than helping free enterprise flourish. Obama’s programs do not motivate the wealth creators in America; instead, his programs redistribute wealth. And wealth redistribution does not create anything; it just moves the money around like moving the deck chairs on the Titanic.

The government needs to get out of the way. It needs to cut regulations, cut taxes, cut restrictions on private enterprise and be a consumer of products rather than an investor in crony-owned companies like Solyndra, so the wealth creators can do their thing and create more wealth opportunity and more jobs for everyone in our economy.

Obama will never do this because he does not believe in free enterprise – he believes in a government centered society where decisions are made by an elite ruling class. Therefore, the U.S. economy will stay stuck as long as Obama is in the White House.