UNITED STATES
Form 10-Q
|
(Mark One)
|
||
|
þ
|
QUARTERLY REPORT UNDER SECTION 13 OR
15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
|
| For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2005 | ||
| or | ||
|
o
|
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13
OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
|
| For the transition period from to | ||
Commission File Number 1-8787
American International Group, Inc.
|
Delaware
|
13-2592361 | |
|
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
|
|
70 Pine Street, New York, New York (Address of principal executive offices) |
10270 (Zip Code) |
|
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (212) 770-7000
Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report: None
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ü No
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ü No
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of March 31, 2005: 2,594,907,032.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(in millions) (unaudited)
| March 31, | December 31, | ||||||||||
| 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||
| Investments, financial services assets and cash: | |||||||||||
| Fixed maturities: | |||||||||||
|
Bonds available for sale, at market value
(amortized cost: 2005 $338,161; 2004
$329,838)
|
$ | 350,400 | $ | 344,399 | |||||||
|
Bonds held to maturity, at amortized cost (market
value: 2005 $21,734; 2004 $18,791)
|
21,477 | 18,294 | |||||||||
|
Bond trading securities, at market value
(cost: 2005 $3,562; 2004 $2,973)
|
3,580 | 2,984 | |||||||||
| Equity securities: | |||||||||||
|
Common stocks available for sale, at market value
(cost: 2005 $9,220; 2004 $8,569)
|
10,896 | 9,917 | |||||||||
|
Common stocks trading, at market value
(cost: 2005 $5,947; 2004 $5,651)
|
6,379 | 5,894 | |||||||||
|
Preferred stocks, at market value
(cost: 2005 $2,272; 2004 $2,017)
|
2,280 | 2,040 | |||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, net of allowance
(2005 $62; 2004 $65)
|
14,065 | 13,146 | |||||||||
|
Policy loans
|
7,109 | 7,035 | |||||||||
|
Collateral and guaranteed loans, net of allowance
(2005 $16; 2004 $18)
|
2,261 | 2,282 | |||||||||
| Financial services assets: | |||||||||||
|
Flight equipment primarily under operating
leases, net of accumulated depreciation (2005
$6,718; 2004 $6,390)
|
34,550 | 32,705 | |||||||||
|
Securities available for sale, at market value
(cost: 2005 $28,652; 2004 $28,845)
|
29,332 | 30,448 | |||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
3,485 | 3,142 | |||||||||
|
Spot commodities, at market value
|
98 | 95 | |||||||||
|
Unrealized gain on swaps, options and forward
transactions
|
20,149 | 22,670 | |||||||||
|
Trading assets
|
1,372 | 3,331 | |||||||||
|
Securities purchased under agreements to resell,
at contract value
|
32,593 | 26,272 | |||||||||
|
Finance receivables, net of allowance
(2005 $573; 2004 $571)
|
24,929 | 23,574 | |||||||||
| Securities lending collateral, at cost (approximates market value) | 52,693 | 49,972 | |||||||||
| Other invested assets | 24,532 | 22,527 | |||||||||
| Short-term investments, at cost (approximates market value) | 22,017 | 16,102 | |||||||||
| Cash | 2,361 | 2,009 | |||||||||
| Total investments, financial services assets and cash | 666,558 | 638,838 | |||||||||
| Investment income due and accrued | 5,653 | 5,588 | |||||||||
|
Premiums and insurance balances receivable, net
of allowance (2005 $220; 2004 $225)
|
15,724 | 15,137 | |||||||||
| Reinsurance assets, net | 19,719 | 19,958 | |||||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | 31,536 | 29,736 | |||||||||
| Investments in partially owned companies | 1,469 | 1,452 | |||||||||
|
Real estate and other fixed assets, net of
accumulated depreciation (2005 $4,688;
2004 $4,650)
|
6,190 | 6,192 | |||||||||
| Separate and variable accounts | 57,417 | 57,741 | |||||||||
| Goodwill | 8,577 | 8,601 | |||||||||
| Income taxes receivable current | | 95 | |||||||||
| Other assets | 15,413 | 15,322 | |||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 828,256 | $ | 798,660 | |||||||
1
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET (continued)
(in millions, except share
amounts) (unaudited)
| March 31, | December 31, | |||||||||
| 2005 | 2004 | |||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses
|
$ | 64,061 | $ | 62,371 | ||||||
|
Reserve for unearned premiums
|
23,764 | 23,094 | ||||||||
|
Future policy benefits for life and accident and
health insurance contracts
|
108,182 | 104,737 | ||||||||
|
Policyholders contract deposits
|
225,860 | 216,655 | ||||||||
|
Other policyholders funds
|
10,212 | 10,280 | ||||||||
|
Reserve for commissions, expenses and taxes
|
4,783 | 4,583 | ||||||||
|
Insurance balances payable
|
4,307 | 3,703 | ||||||||
|
Funds held by companies under reinsurance treaties
|
3,137 | 3,404 | ||||||||
|
Income taxes payable:
|
||||||||||
|
Current
|
667 | | ||||||||
|
Deferred
|
6,622 | 7,042 | ||||||||
|
Financial services liabilities:
|
||||||||||
|
Borrowings under obligations of guaranteed
investment agreements
|
22,691 | 18,919 | ||||||||
|
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase,
at contract value
|
19,463 | 21,264 | ||||||||
|
Trading liabilities
|
1,283 | 2,304 | ||||||||
|
Securities and spot commodities sold but not yet
purchased, at market value
|
4,881 | 4,866 | ||||||||
|
Unrealized loss on swaps, options and forward
transactions
|
14,751 | 18,132 | ||||||||
|
Trust deposits and deposits due to banks and
other depositors
|
4,612 | 4,248 | ||||||||
|
Commercial paper
|
8,477 | 6,724 | ||||||||
|
Notes, bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
63,082 | 59,663 | ||||||||
|
Commercial paper
|
3,479 | 2,969 | ||||||||
|
Notes, bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
5,557 | 5,499 | ||||||||
|
Liabilities connected to trust preferred stock
|
1,489 | 1,489 | ||||||||
|
Separate and variable accounts
|
57,417 | 57,741 | ||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
4,960 | 4,584 | ||||||||
|
Securities lending payable
|
52,693 | 49,972 | ||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
28,945 | 23,611 | ||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
745,375 | 717,854 | ||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in
subsidiary companies
|
198 | 199 | ||||||||
|
Shareholders equity:
|
||||||||||
|
Common stock, $2.50 par value;
5,000,000,000 shares authorized; shares issued
2005 2,751,327,476; 2004 2,751,327,476
|
6,878 | 6,878 | ||||||||
|
Additional paid-in capital
|
1,991 | 1,954 | ||||||||
|
Retained earnings
|
67,752 | 64,393 | ||||||||
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
|
8,374 | 9,593 | ||||||||
|
Treasury stock, at cost; 2005
156,420,444; 2004 154,904,286 shares of common
stock
|
(2,312 | ) | (2,211 | ) | ||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
82,683 | 80,607 | ||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred
shareholders equity in subsidiary companies and
shareholders equity
|
$ | 828,256 | $ | 798,660 | ||||||
2
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF INCOME
| (in millions, except per share amounts) (unaudited) | ||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||
|
Revenues:
|
||||||||||
|
Premiums and other considerations
|
$ | 17,682 | $ | 15,982 | ||||||
|
Net investment income
|
5,292 | 4,575 | ||||||||
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
88 | 115 | ||||||||
|
Other revenues
|
4,050 | 2,703 | ||||||||
|
Total revenues
|
27,112 | 23,375 | ||||||||
|
Benefits and expenses:
|
||||||||||
|
Incurred policy losses and benefits
|
14,865 | 13,597 | ||||||||
|
Insurance acquisition and other operating expenses
|
6,804 | 5,839 | ||||||||
|
Total benefits and expenses
|
21,669 | 19,436 | ||||||||
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest
and cumulative effect of an accounting change
|
5,443 | 3,939 | ||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits):
|
||||||||||
|
Current
|
987 | 1,322 | ||||||||
|
Deferred
|
626 | (153 | ) | |||||||
| 1,613 | 1,169 | |||||||||
|
Income before minority interest and cumulative
effect of an accounting change
|
3,830 | 2,770 | ||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
(146 | ) | (70 | ) | ||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an
accounting change
|
3,684 | 2,700 | ||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net
of tax
|
| (144 | ) | |||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,556 | ||||||
|
Earnings per common share:
|
||||||||||
|
Basic
|
||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 1.42 | $ | 1.04 | ||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (0.06 | ) | |||||||
|
Net income
|
1.42 | 0.98 | ||||||||
|
Diluted
|
||||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 1.40 | $ | 1.03 | ||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (0.06 | ) | |||||||
|
Net income
|
1.40 | 0.97 | ||||||||
|
Cash dividends per common share
|
$ | 0.125 | $ | 0.065 | ||||||
|
Average shares outstanding:
|
||||||||||
|
Basic
|
2,597 | 2,610 | ||||||||
|
Diluted
|
2,624 | 2,642 | ||||||||
3
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
| (in millions) (unaudited) | |||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||||
|
Summary:
|
|||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating
activities
|
$ | 654 | $ | 8,719 | |||||||
|
Net cash used in investing
activities
|
(18,801 | ) | (19,725 | ) | |||||||
|
Net cash provided by financing
activities
|
18,620 | 11,802 | |||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation
adjustments
|
(121 | ) | 202 | ||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
352 | 998 | |||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
2,009 | 922 | |||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 2,361 | $ | 1,920 | |||||||
|
Cash flows from operating
activities:
|
|||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,556 | |||||||
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net
cash provided by operating activities:
|
|||||||||||
|
Noncash revenues, expenses, gains and losses
included in income:
|
|||||||||||
|
Change in:
|
|||||||||||
|
General and life insurance reserves
|
5,584 | 6,700 | |||||||||
|
Premiums and insurance balances receivable and
payable net
|
17 | (670 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reinsurance assets
|
239 | (411 | ) | ||||||||
|
Deferred policy acquisition costs
|
(936 | ) | (1,081 | ) | |||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
(65 | ) | (339 | ) | |||||||
|
Funds held under reinsurance treaties
|
(267 | ) | 102 | ||||||||
|
Other policyholders funds
|
(68 | ) | 473 | ||||||||
|
Current and deferred income taxes net
|
1,385 | 1,204 | |||||||||
|
Reserve for commissions, expenses and taxes
|
200 | 443 | |||||||||
|
Other assets and liabilities net
|
(683 | ) | (544 | ) | |||||||
|
Trading assets and liabilities net
|
938 | (672 | ) | ||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
(343 | ) | (962 | ) | |||||||
|
Spot commodities, at market value
|
(3 | ) | 67 | ||||||||
|
Net unrealized (gain) loss on swaps, options and
forward transactions
|
(860 | ) | (309 | ) | |||||||
|
Securities purchased under agreements to resell
|
(6,321 | ) | 1,819 | ||||||||
|
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase
|
(1,801 | ) | 388 | ||||||||
|
Securities and spot commodities sold but not yet
purchased, at market value
|
15 | (231 | ) | ||||||||
|
Realized capital (gains) losses
|
(88 | ) | (115 | ) | |||||||
|
Equity in income of partially owned companies and
other invested assets
|
(390 | ) | (325 | ) | |||||||
|
Amortization of premium and discount on securities
|
113 | 74 | |||||||||
|
Depreciation expenses, principally flight
equipment
|
526 | 486 | |||||||||
|
Provision for finance receivable losses
|
86 | 90 | |||||||||
|
Other net
|
(308 | ) | (24 | ) | |||||||
|
Total adjustments
|
(3,030 | ) | 6,163 | ||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating
activities
|
$ | 654 | $ | 8,719 | |||||||
See Accompanying Notes to Financial Statements.
4
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS (Continued)
| (in millions) (unaudited) | ||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||
|
Cash flows from investing
activities:
|
||||||||
|
Cost of bonds, at market
sold
|
$ | 29,895 | $ | 30,088 | ||||
|
Cost of bonds, at market
matured or redeemed
|
2,980 | 4,122 | ||||||
|
Cost of equity securities
sold
|
2,971 | 3,664 | ||||||
|
Realized capital gains
(losses)
|
88 | 115 | ||||||
|
Purchases of fixed
maturities
|
(45,165 | ) | (48,863 | ) | ||||
|
Purchases of equity
securities
|
(4,130 | ) | (4,797 | ) | ||||
|
Mortgage, policy and
collateral loans granted
|
(1,551 | ) | (537 | ) | ||||
|
Repayments of mortgage,
policy and collateral loans
|
575 | 539 | ||||||
|
Sales of securities
available for sale
|
804 | 620 | ||||||
|
Maturities of securities
available for sale
|
2,164 | 324 | ||||||
|
Purchases of securities
available for sale
|
(2,765 | ) | (2,853 | ) | ||||
|
Sales of flight equipment
|
41 | 1,080 | ||||||
|
Purchases of flight
equipment
|
(2,220 | ) | (1,843 | ) | ||||
|
Net additions to real
estate and other fixed assets
|
(188 | ) | (182 | ) | ||||
|
Sales or distributions of
other invested assets
|
2,163 | 2,171 | ||||||
|
Investments in other
invested assets
|
(3,327 | ) | (3,748 | ) | ||||
|
Change in short-term
investments
|
301 | 1,356 | ||||||
|
Investments in partially
owned companies
|
4 | (6 | ) | |||||
|
Finance receivable
originations and purchases
|
(10,605 | ) | (5,579 | ) | ||||
|
Finance receivable
principal payments received
|
9,164 | 4,604 | ||||||
|
Net cash used in investing
activities
|
$ | (18,801 | ) | $ | (19,725 | ) | ||
|
Cash flows from financing
activities:
|
||||||||
|
Receipts from
policyholders contract deposits
|
$ | 16,269 | $ | 13,093 | ||||
|
Withdrawals from
policyholders contract deposits
|
(7,149 | ) | (4,507 | ) | ||||
|
Change in trust deposits
and deposits due to banks and other depositors
|
364 | 50 | ||||||
|
Change in commercial paper
|
2,263 | 1,875 | ||||||
|
Proceeds from notes,
bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
16,575 | 6,732 | ||||||
|
Repayments on notes,
bonds, loans and mortgages payable
|
(13,022 | ) | (5,297 | ) | ||||
|
Proceeds from guaranteed
investment agreements
|
4,955 | 1,505 | ||||||
|
Maturities of guaranteed
investment agreements
|
(1,183 | ) | (1,428 | ) | ||||
|
Proceeds from common
stock issued
|
31 | 40 | ||||||
|
Cash dividends to
shareholders
|
(325 | ) | (170 | ) | ||||
|
Acquisition of treasury
stock
|
(166 | ) | (92 | ) | ||||
|
Other net
|
8 | 1 | ||||||
|
Net cash provided by financing
activities
|
$ | 18,620 | $ | 11,802 | ||||
|
Supplementary information:
|
||||||||
|
Taxes paid
|
$ | 382 | $ | 493 | ||||
|
Interest paid
|
$ | 1,147 | $ | 1,032 | ||||
5
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
| (in millions) (unaudited) | ||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||
|
Comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,556 | ||||||
|
Other comprehensive income:
|
||||||||||
|
Unrealized (depreciation) appreciation of
investments net of reclassification adjustments
|
(2,416 | ) | 4,669 | |||||||
|
Deferred income tax benefit (expense) on above
changes
|
1,147 | (1,494 | ) | |||||||
|
Foreign currency translation adjustments
|
(117 | ) | 202 | |||||||
|
Applicable income tax benefit on above changes
|
18 | 2 | ||||||||
|
Net derivative gains (losses) arising from cash
flow hedging activities
|
385 | (57 | ) | |||||||
|
Deferred income tax (expense) benefit on above
changes
|
(206 | ) | 49 | |||||||
|
Retirement plan liabilities adjustment, net of tax
|
(30 | ) | (27 | ) | ||||||
|
Other comprehensive income (loss)
|
(1,219 | ) | 3,344 | |||||||
|
Comprehensive income
|
$ | 2,465 | $ | 5,900 | ||||||
6
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
| 1. | Financial Statement Presentation |
These statements are unaudited. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals have been made for a fair statement of the results presented herein. All material intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. Certain accounts have been reclassified in the 2004 financial statements to conform to their 2005 presentation. For further information, refer to the Annual Report on Form 10-K of American International Group, Inc. (AIG) for the year ended December 31, 2004 (2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K). As more fully described in AIGs 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K, and AIGs Form 10-Q/A for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2004, AIG restated the accounting for certain transactions and certain relationships for the quarter ended March 31, 2004.
| 2. | Segment Information |
The following table summarizes the operations by major operating segment for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| Operating Segments | |||||||||
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Revenues(a):
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance(b)
|
$ | 11,263 | $ | 10,075 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services(c)
|
11,820 | 10,523 | |||||||
|
Financial Services(d)
|
2,449 | 1,788 | |||||||
|
Asset Management(e)
|
1,375 | 1,032 | |||||||
|
Other
|
205 | (43 | ) | ||||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 27,112 | $ | 23,375 | |||||
|
Operating income(a)(f):
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance
|
$ | 1,697 | $ | 1,441 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
2,223 | 1,785 | |||||||
|
Financial Services
|
1,043 | 545 | |||||||
|
Asset Management
|
526 | 353 | |||||||
|
Other(g)
|
(46 | ) | (185 | ) | |||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 5,443 | $ | 3,939 | |||||
| (a) | Revenues and operating income reflect changes in market or estimated fair value associated with derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting pursuant to FAS 133. |
| (b) | Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (c) | Represents the sum of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (d) | Represents interest, lease and finance charges. |
| (e) | Represents management and advisory fees and net investment income with respect to GICs. |
| (f) | Represents income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change. |
| (g) | Represents other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses). |
The following table summarizes AIGs General Insurance operations by major internal reporting unit for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| General Insurance | |||||||||
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||
|
Domestic Brokerage Group
|
$ | 6,289 | $ | 5,514 | |||||
|
Transatlantic
|
982 | 972 | |||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
1,172 | 1,089 | |||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
168 | 162 | |||||||
|
Foreign General
|
2,646 | 2,331 | |||||||
|
Reclassifications and Eliminations
|
6 | 7 | |||||||
|
Total General Insurance
|
$ | 11,263 | $ | 10,075 | |||||
|
Operating Income:
|
|||||||||
|
Domestic Brokerage Group
|
$ | 721 | * | $ | 556 | ||||
|
Transatlantic
|
114 | 117 | |||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
109 | 98 | |||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
104 | 96 | |||||||
|
Foreign General
|
643 | 568 | |||||||
|
Reclassifications and Eliminations
|
6 | 6 | |||||||
|
Total General Insurance
|
$ | 1,697 | $ | 1,441 | |||||
| * | Includes $118 million of additional losses incurred resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes. |
The following table summarizes AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations by major internal reporting unit for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| Life Insurance & Retirement Services | ||||||||||
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||
|
Revenues(a):
|
||||||||||
|
Foreign:
|
||||||||||
|
AIA, AIRCO and Nan Shan
|
$ | 4,167 | $ | 3,741 | ||||||
|
ALICO, AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life
|
3,579 | 2,865 | ||||||||
|
Philamlife and Other
|
129 | 117 | ||||||||
|
Domestic:
|
||||||||||
|
AGLA and AG Life(b)
|
2,271 | 2,094 | ||||||||
|
VALIC, AIG Annuity and AIG
SunAmerica(c)
|
1,674 | 1,706 | ||||||||
|
Total Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
|
$ | 11,820 | $ | 10,523 | ||||||
|
Operating Income:
|
||||||||||
|
Foreign:
|
||||||||||
|
AIA, AIRCO and Nan Shan
|
$ | 687 | $ | 491 | ||||||
|
ALICO, AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life
|
660 | 377 | ||||||||
|
Philamlife and Other
|
16 | 28 | ||||||||
|
Domestic:
|
||||||||||
|
AGLA and AG Life(b)
|
344 | 257 | ||||||||
|
VALIC, AIG Annuity and AIG
SunAmerica(c)
|
516 | 632 | ||||||||
|
Total Life Insurance & Retirement
Services
|
$ | 2,223 | $ | 1,785 | ||||||
| (a) | Represents the sum of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (b) | Includes the life operations of AIG Life Insurance Company and American International Life Assurance Company of New York. |
| (c) | AIG SunAmerica represents the annuity operations of AIG SunAmerica Life Assurance Company, as well as those of First SunAmerica Life Insurance Company and SunAmerica Life Insurance Company. |
7
| 2. | Segment Information (continued) |
The following table summarizes AIGs Financial Services operations by major internal reporting unit for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| Financial Services | |||||||||
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Revenues(a):
|
|||||||||
|
Aircraft Finance(b)
|
$ | 858 | $ | 752 | |||||
|
Capital Markets(c)(d)
|
738 | 317 | |||||||
|
Consumer Finance(e)
|
833 | 693 | |||||||
|
Other
|
20 | 26 | |||||||
|
Total Financial Services
|
$ | 2,449 | $ | 1,788 | |||||
|
Operating income(a):
|
|||||||||
|
Aircraft Finance
|
$ | 206 | $ | 180 | |||||
|
Capital Markets(d)
|
599 | 167 | |||||||
|
Consumer Finance
|
231 | 183 | |||||||
|
Other
|
7 | 15 | |||||||
|
Total Financial Services
|
$ | 1,043 | $ | 545 | |||||
| (a) | Includes the unrealized gain (loss) attributable to economic hedges not qualifying for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133, including the related foreign exchange gains and losses. For the first three months of 2005 and 2004, the effect was $15 million and $20 million, respectively, in operating income for Aircraft Finance and $449 million and $37 million in both revenues and operating income for Capital Markets. |
| (b) | Revenues were primarily from ILFC aircraft lease rentals. |
| (c) | Revenues, shown net of interest expense, were primarily from hedged proprietary positions entered into in connection with counterparty transactions and the effect of not qualifying for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133 described in (a) above. |
| (d) | Certain transactions entered into by AIGFP generate tax credits and benefits which are shown in the income tax line on the consolidated statement of income. The amount of tax credits and benefits for the first three months of March 31, 2005 and 2004 are $19 million, and $35 million, respectively. |
| (e) | Revenues were primarily finance charges. |
The following table summarizes AIGs Asset Management revenues and operating income for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Revenues:
|
|||||||||
|
Guaranteed investment contracts
|
$ | 896 | $ | 730 | |||||
|
Institutional Asset
Management(a)
|
317 | 183 | |||||||
|
Brokerage Services and Mutual Funds
|
63 | 61 | |||||||
|
Other
|
99 | 58 | |||||||
|
Total Asset Management
|
$ | 1,375 | $ | 1,032 | |||||
|
Operating income:
|
|||||||||
|
Guaranteed investment contracts
|
$ | 257 | $ | 223 | |||||
|
Institutional Asset
Management(a)(b)
|
159 | 55 | |||||||
|
Brokerage Services and Mutual Funds
|
13 | 20 | |||||||
|
Other
|
97 | 55 | |||||||
|
Total Asset Management
|
$ | 526 | $ | 353 | |||||
| (a) | Includes AIG Global Investment Group and certain smaller asset management operations. |
| (b) | Includes the results of certain AIG managed private equity and real estate funds that are consolidated effective December 31, 2003 pursuant to FIN46R, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities. For the first three months of 2005 and 2004, operating income includes $75 million and $4 million of third-party limited partner earnings offset in Minority interest expense. |
| 3. | Earnings Per Share |
Earnings per share of AIG are based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period.
Computation of Earnings Per Share:
| Three Months Ended March 31, | |||||||||
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Numerator for basic earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,700 | |||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (144 | ) | ||||||
|
Net income applicable to common stock
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,556 | |||||
|
Denominator for basic earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding used in the
computation of per share earnings:
|
|||||||||
|
Common stock issued
|
2,752 | 2,752 | |||||||
|
Common stock in treasury
|
(155 | ) | (142 | ) | |||||
|
Average shares outstanding basic
|
2,597 | 2,610 | |||||||
|
Numerator for diluted earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,700 | |||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (144 | ) | ||||||
|
Net income applicable to common stock
|
3,684 | 2,556 | |||||||
|
Interest on contingently convertible bonds, net
of tax (a)
|
3 | 3 | |||||||
|
Adjusted net income applicable to common
stock(a)
|
$ | 3,687 | $ | 2,559 | |||||
8
| 3. | Earnings Per Share (continued) |
| Three Months Ended March 31, | |||||||||
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Denominator for diluted earnings per
share:
|
|||||||||
|
Average shares outstanding
|
2,597 | 2,610 | |||||||
|
Incremental shares from potential common stock:
|
|||||||||
|
Average number of shares arising from outstanding
employee stock plans (treasury stock method)(b)
|
18 | 23 | |||||||
|
Contingently convertible
bonds(a)
|
9 | 9 | |||||||
|
Adjusted average shares outstanding
diluted(a)
|
2,624 | 2,642 | |||||||
|
Earnings per share:
|
|||||||||
|
Basic:
|
|||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 1.42 | $ | 1.04 | |||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (0.06 | ) | ||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 1.42 | $ | 0.98 | |||||
|
Diluted:
|
|||||||||
|
Income before cumulative effect of an accounting
change
|
$ | 1.40 | $ | 1.03 | |||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| (0.06 | ) | ||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 1.40 | $ | 0.97 | |||||
| (a) | Assumes conversion of contingently convertible bonds due to the adoption of EITF Issue No. 04-8 Accounting Issues Related to Certain Features of Contingently Convertible Debt and the Effect on Diluted Earnings per Share. |
| (b) | Certain shares arising from employee stock plans were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share where the exercise price of the options exceeded the average market price and would have been antidilutive. The number of shares excluded were 22 million and 8 million for the first three months of 2005 and 2004, respectively. |
Pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 148, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation Transition and Disclosure, an amendment to FASB Statement No. 123 (FAS 148), AIG adopted the Prospective Method of accounting for stock-based employee compensation effective January 1, 2003. FAS 148 also requires that AIG disclose the effect of stock-based compensation expense that would have been recognized if the fair value based method had been applied to all the awards vesting in the current period.
The effect with respect to stock-based compensation expense that would have been recognized if the fair value based method had been applied to all the awards vesting in both the first three months of 2005 and 2004 was less than $0.005 per share.
The quarterly dividend rate per common share, commencing with the dividend paid March 18, 2005 is $0.125.
| 4. | Benefits Provided by Starr International Company, Inc. |
Starr International Company, Inc. (SICO) has provided a series of two-year Deferred Compensation Profit Participation Plans (SICO Plans) to certain AIG employees. The SICO Plans came into being in 1975 when the voting shareholders and Board of Directors of SICO, a private holding company whose principal asset is AIG common stock, decided that a portion of the capital value of SICO should be used to provide an incentive plan for the current and succeeding managements of all American International companies, including AIG.
Participation in the SICO Plans by any person, and the amount of such participation, has been at the sole discretion of SICOs Board of Directors. None of the costs of the various benefits provided under the SICO Plans has been paid by AIG, although AIG has recorded a charge to reported earnings for the deferred compensation amounts paid to AIG employees by SICO, with an offsetting entry to additional paid-in capital reflecting amounts deemed contributed by SICO. The SICO Plans provide that shares currently owned by SICO may be set aside by SICO for the benefit of the participant and distributed upon retirement. The SICO Board of Directors currently may permit an early payout of units under certain circumstances. Prior to payout, the participant is not entitled to vote, dispose of or receive dividends with respect to such shares, and shares are subject to forfeiture under certain conditions, including but not limited to the participants voluntary termination of employment with AIG prior to normal retirement age. In addition, SICOs Board of Directors currently may elect to pay a participant cash in lieu of shares of AIG common stock. See also Note 6(f) herein.
SICO has also provided certain personal benefits to AIG employees. The cost of such benefits, primarily attributable to personal use of corporate aircraft, has not been included in compensation expense.
Compensation expense with respect to the SICO Plans aggregated $34 million and $14 million for the first three months of 2005 and 2004, respectively.
| 5. | Ownership and Transactions With Related Parties |
(a) Ownership: The directors and officers of AIG, together with C.V. Starr & Co., Inc. (Starr), a private holding company, The Starr Foundation, and SICO, a private holding company, owned or otherwise controlled approximately 19 percent of the voting stock of AIG at March 31, 2005. Five directors of AIG served as directors of Starr and SICO as of March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004. As of April 30, 2005, no director of AIG serving as an executive officer of AIG served as a director of Starr or SICO.
9
| 5. | Ownership and Transactions With Related Parties (continued) |
(b) Transactions with Related Parties: During the ordinary course of business, AIG and its subsidiaries pay commissions to Starr and its subsidiaries for the production and management of insurance business. There are no significant receivables from/payables to related parties at March 31, 2005.
| 6. | Commitments and Contingent Liabilities |
In the normal course of business, various commitments and contingent liabilities are entered into by AIG and certain of its subsidiaries. In addition, AIG guarantees various obligations of certain subsidiaries.
(a) AIG and certain of its subsidiaries become parties to derivative financial instruments with market risk resulting from both dealer and end user activities and to reduce currency, interest rate, equity and commodity exposures. These instruments are carried at their estimated fair values in the consolidated balance sheet. The vast majority of AIGs derivative activity is transacted by AIG Financial Products Corp. and its subsidiaries (AIGFP). (See also Note 20 in AIGs 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K.)
(b) Securities sold, but not yet purchased and spot commodities sold but not yet purchased represent obligations of Capital Markets operations to deliver specified securities and spot commodities at their contracted prices. Capital Markets records a liability to repurchase the securities and spot commodities in the market at prevailing prices.
AIG has issued unconditional guarantees with respect to the prompt payment, when due, of all present and future payment obligations and liabilities of AIGFP arising from transactions entered into by AIGFP. Net revenues for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 from Capital Markets operations were $738 million and $317 million, respectively.
(c) At March 31, 2005, International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC) had committed to purchase 322 new aircraft deliverable from 2005 through 2010 at an estimated aggregate purchase price of $19.5 billion and had options to purchase 6 new aircraft deliverable through 2007 at an estimated aggregate purchase price of $361 million. ILFC will be required to find customers for any aircraft acquired, and it must arrange financing for portions of the purchase price of such equipment.
(d) AIG and its subsidiaries, in common with the insurance industry in general, are subject to litigation, including claims for punitive damages, in the normal course of their business. The recent trend of increasing jury awards and settlements makes it difficult to assess the ultimate outcome of such litigation.
AIG continues to receive claims asserting injuries from toxic waste, hazardous substances, and other environmental pollutants and alleged damages to cover the cleanup costs of hazardous waste dump sites (hereinafter collectively referred to as environmental claims) and indemnity claims asserting injuries from asbestos. Estimation of asbestos and environmental claims loss reserves is a difficult process, as these claims, which emanate from policies written in 1984 and prior years, cannot be estimated by conventional reserving techniques. Asbestos and environmental claims development is affected by factors such as inconsistent court resolutions, the broadening of the intent of policies and scope of coverage and increasing number of new claims. AIG, together with other industry members, has and will continue to litigate the broadening judicial interpretation of policy coverage and the liability issues. If the courts continue in the future to expand the intent of the policies and the scope of the coverage, as they have in the past, additional liabilities would emerge for amounts in excess of reserves held. This emergence cannot now be reasonably estimated, but could have a material effect on AIGs future operating results. The reserves carried for these claims at March 31, 2005 ($3.48 billion gross; $1.49 billion net) are believed to be adequate as these reserves are based on known facts and current law.
(e) SAI Deferred Compensation Holdings, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of AIG, has established a deferred compensation plan for registered representatives of certain AIG subsidiaries, pursuant to which participants have the opportunity to invest deferred commissions and fees on a notional basis. The value of the deferred compensation fluctuates with the value of the deferred investment alternatives chosen. AIG has provided a full and unconditional guarantee of the obligations of SAI Deferred Compensation Holdings, Inc. to pay the deferred compensation under the plan.
(f) On May 18, 2005, the AIG Board of Directors passed resolutions (Resolutions) pursuant to which AIG agrees, subject to certain conditions, to (i) make any payment that is not promptly paid with respect to the benefits accrued by current employees of AIG and its subsidiaries under the SICO Plans (as defined in Note 4) and (ii) make any payment to the extent not promptly paid by Starr with respect to amounts that become payable to current employees of AIG and its subsidiaries who are also stockholders of Starr after the giving of a notice of repurchase or redemption under Starrs organizational documents. On June 27, 2005, AIG entered into definitive documentation of these agreements. AIG will accrue approximately $1 million for 2005 for these contingent liabilities.
10
| 6. | Commitments and Contingent Liabilities (continued) |
(g) AIG and certain of its subsidiaries have been named defendants in two putative class actions in state court in Alabama that arise out of the 1999 settlement of class and derivative litigation involving Caremark Rx, Inc. (Caremark). An excess policy issued by a subsidiary of AIG with respect to the 1999 litigation was expressly stated to be without limit of liability. In the current actions, plaintiffs allege that the judge approving the 1999 settlement was misled as to the extent of available insurance coverage and would not have approved the settlement had he known of the existence and/or unlimited nature of the excess policy. They further allege that AIG, its subsidiaries, and Caremark are liable for fraud and suppression for misrepresenting and/or concealing the nature and extent of coverage. In their complaint, plaintiffs request compensatory damages for the 1999 class in the amount of $3.2 billion, plus punitive damages. AIG and its subsidiaries deny the allegations of fraud and suppression and have asserted, inter alia, that information concerning the excess policy was publicly disclosed months prior to the approval of the settlement. AIG and its subsidiaries further assert that the current claims are barred by the statute of limitations and that plaintiffs assertions that the statute was tolled cannot stand against the public disclosure of the excess coverage. Plaintiffs, in turn, have asserted that the disclosure was insufficient to inform them of the nature of the coverage and did not start the running of the statute of limitations. On January 28, 2005, the Alabama trial court determined that one of the current actions may proceed as a class action on behalf of the 1999 classes that were allegedly defrauded by the settlement. AIG, its subsidiaries, and Caremark are seeking appellate relief from the Alabama Supreme Court. AIG cannot now estimate either the likelihood of its prevailing in these actions or the potential damages in the event liability is determined.
(h) On December 30, 2004, an arbitration panel issued its ruling in connection with a 1998 workers compensation quota share reinsurance agreement under which Superior National Insurance Company, among others, was reinsured by The United States Life Insurance Company in the City of New York (USLIFE), a subsidiary of American General Corporation. In its 2-1 ruling the arbitration panel refused to rescind the contract as requested by USLIFE. Instead, the panel reformed the contract to reduce USLIFEs participation by ten percent. USLIFE disagrees with the ruling and is pursuing all appropriate legal remedies. USLIFE has certain reinsurance recoverables in connection with the contract and the arbitration ruling established a second phase or arbitration in which USLIFE will present its challenges to cessions to the contract.
AIG recorded approximately a $178 million pre-tax charge in the fourth quarter of 2004 related to this matter and holds a reserve of approximately $349 million as of March 31, 2005.
(i) On October 14, 2004, the Office of the Attorney General of the State of New York (NYAG) brought a lawsuit challenging certain insurance brokerage practices related to contingent commissions. Neither AIG nor any of its subsidiaries is a defendant in that action, although two employees of an AIG subsidiary pleaded guilty in connection with the NYAGs investigation in October 2004 and two additional employees of the same subsidiary pleaded guilty in February 2005. AIG has cooperated, and will continue to cooperate, in the investigation. Regulators from several additional states have commenced investigations into the same matters, and AIG expects there will be additional investigations as well. Various parties, including insureds and shareholders, have also asserted putative class action and other claims against AIG or its subsidiaries alleging, among other things, violations of the antitrust and federal securities laws, and AIG expects that additional claims may be made.
Various federal and state regulatory agencies are reviewing certain other transactions and practices of AIG and its subsidiaries in connection with industry-wide and other inquiries.
In February 2005, AIG received subpoenas from the NYAG and the SEC relating to investigations into the use of non-traditional insurance products and certain assumed reinsurance transactions and AIGs accounting for such transactions. The United States Department of Justice and various state regulators are also investigating related issues. AIG has cooperated, and will continue to cooperate, in producing documents and other information in response to the subpoenas.
A number of lawsuits have been filed regarding the subject matter of the investigations of insurance brokerage practices and non-traditional insurance products, including derivative actions in New York state courts and civil actions under the federal securities laws and the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) in the U.S. district court for the Southern District of New York. These actions are in the early pleadings stage.
In addition, in late 2002, a shareholder derivative action was filed in Delaware Chancery Court alleging breaches of fiduciary duty of loyalty and care against AIGs directors. AIGs Board of Directors appointed a special committee of independent directors to review the complaint and respond to the lawsuit. The special committee has issued a report that concluded that it was not in the best interests of AIG or its shareholders to pursue the litigation and moved the Delaware Chancery Court to terminate the litigation. The Plaintiff filed
11
| 6. | Commitments and Contingent Liabilities (continued) |
an amended complaint on May 17, 2005. The amendment includes additional claims of breach of fiduciary duty by current and former directors of AIG based on, among other things, AIGs transactions with reinsurers (including reinsurers in which AIG has an ownership interest) and accounting for these transactions, AIGs broker compensation practices, and AIGs sale of finite insurance products.
On May 26, 2005, the NYAG and the New York Superintendent of Insurance filed a civil complaint against AIG as well as its former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer M.R. Greenberg, and former Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer Howard Smith, in the Supreme Court of the State of New York. The complaint asserts claims under New Yorks Martin Act and Insurance Law, among others, and makes allegations concerning certain of the transactions discussed more fully in the 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. The complaint seeks disgorgement, injunctive relief, punitive damages and costs, among other things.
AIG cannot at this time predict the outcome of the matters described above or estimate the potential costs related to these matters and, accordingly, no reserve is being established in AIGs financial statements at this time. In the opinion of AIG management, AIGs ultimate liability for the matters referred to above is not likely to have a material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated financial condition, although it is possible that the effect would be material to AIGs consolidated results of operations for an individual reporting period.
| 7. | Employee Benefits |
The following table presents the components of the net periodic benefit costs with respect to pensions and other benefits for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| Pensions | Postretirement | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Non-U.S. | U.S. | Non-U.S. | U.S. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| (In millions) | Plans | Plans | Total | Plans | Plans | Total | |||||||||||||||||||
|
2005
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 19 | $ | 26 | $ | 45 | $ | 1 | $ | 2 | $ | 3 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
8 | 37 | 45 | | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(5 | ) | (41 | ) | (46 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(3 | ) | (1 | ) | (4 | ) | | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | ||||||||||||||
|
FAS 88 loss due to settlements
|
1 | | 1 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
6 | 16 | 22 | | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 26 | $ | 37 | $ | 63 | $ | 1 | $ | 5 | $ | 6 | |||||||||||||
|
2004
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Components of net period benefit cost:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Service cost
|
$ | 15 | $ | 23 | $ | 38 | $ | | $ | 1 | $ | 1 | |||||||||||||
|
Interest cost
|
8 | 40 | 48 | | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Expected return on assets
|
(5 | ) | (43 | ) | (48 | ) | | | | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of prior service cost
|
(1 | ) | 1 | | | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
|
Amortization of transitional liability
|
1 | | 1 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Recognized actuarial loss
|
5 | 14 | 19 | | | | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Net period benefit cost
|
$ | 23 | $ | 35 | $ | 58 | $ | | $ | 4 | $ | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 8. | Recent Accounting Standards |
At the March 2004 meeting, the Emerging Issue Task Force (EITF) reached a consensus with respect to Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments. On September 30, 2004, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position (FSP) EITF No. 03-1-1, Effective Date of Paragraphs 10-20 of EITF Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments delaying the effective date of this guidance until the FASB has resolved certain implementation issues with respect to this guidance. The disclosure requirements of EITF 03-1 were previously adopted by AIG as of December 31, 2003 and reflected in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for that year for investments accounted for under FAS No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities. For all other investments within the scope of this Issue, the disclosures are effective for the year ended December 31, 2004.
12
| 8. | Recent Accounting Standards (continued) |
At the September 2004 meeting, the EITF reached a consensus with respect to Issue No. 04-8, Accounting Issues Related to Certain Features of Contingently Convertible Debt and the Effect on Diluted Earnings per Share. This Issue addresses when the dilutive effect of contingently convertible debt (Co-Cos) with a market price trigger should be included in diluted earnings per share (EPS). The EITF concluded that these securities should be treated as convertible securities and included in a dilutive EPS calculation (if dilutive), regardless of whether the market price triggers (or other contingent features) have been met. Co-Cos are generally convertible into common shares of the issuer after the common stock has exceeded a predetermined threshold for a specific time period. The predetermined threshold is greater than the conversion price of the debt. The guidance is effective for the year ending December 31, 2004; AIG has applied the guidance retroactively and has restated previously reported EPS. The adoption of Issue No. 04-8 did not have a material effect on AIGs diluted EPS.
In December 2004, the FASB issued Statement No. 123 (revised 2004) (FAS 123R), Share-Based Payment. FAS 123R replaces FASB Statement No. 123 (FAS 123), Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation, and supersedes APB Opinion No. 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees. FAS 123, as originally issued in 1995, established as preferable a fair-value-based method of accounting for share-based payment transactions with employees. On January 1, 2003, AIG adopted the recognition provisions of FAS 123. In April 2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delayed the effective date for FAS 123R until the first fiscal year beginning after June 15, 2005. As a result, AIG expects to adopt the provisions of the revised FAS 123R in the first quarter of 2006. AIG is currently assessing the effect of FAS 123R and believes the effect will not be material to AIGs financial condition or results of operations.
In March 2005, FASB issued FSP FIN46R-5 Implicit Variable Interests under FASB Interpretation No. 46 (revised December 2003), Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities (FSP FIN46R-5) to address whether a reporting enterprise has an implicit variable interest in a variable interest entity (VIE) or potential VIE when specific conditions exist. Although implicit variable interests are mentioned in FIN46(R), the term is not defined and only one example is provided. This FSP FIN46R-5 offers additional guidance, stating that implicit variable interests are implied financial interests in an entity that change with changes in the fair value of the entitys net assets exclusive of variable interests. An implicit variable interest acts the same as an explicit variable interest except it involves the absorbing and/or receiving of variability indirectly from the entity (rather than directly). The identification of an implicit variable interest is a matter of judgment that depends on the relevant facts and circumstances. FSP FIN46R-5 is effective for the second quarter of 2005, and AIG is currently assessing the effect, if any, of FSP FIN46R-5. AIG believes the effect of FSP FIN 46R-5 will not be material to AIGs financial condition or results of operations.
13
| 9. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt |
The following condensed consolidating financial statements are provided in compliance with Regulation S-X of the Securities and Exchange Commission.
(a) American General Corporation (AGC) is a holding company and a wholly owned subsidiary of AIG. AIG provides a full and unconditional guarantee of all outstanding debt of AGC.
American General Corporation:
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheet
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||||||
| March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,131 | $ | | $ | 675,001 | $ | (11,935 | ) | $ | 664,197 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
150 | | 2,211 | | 2,361 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
83,614 | 25,881 | 15,043 | (123,069 | ) | 1,469 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,803 | 2,691 | 159,807 | (5,072 | ) | 160,229 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 87,698 | $ | 28,572 | $ | 852,062 | $ | (140,076 | ) | $ | 828,256 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 391 | $ | | $ | 443,986 | $ | (71 | ) | $ | 444,306 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,650 | 2,483 | 110,912 | (12,270 | ) | 104,775 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
974 | 4,264 | 195,867 | (4,811 | ) | 196,294 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,015 | 6,747 | 750,765 | (17,152 | ) | 745,375 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 198 | | 198 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
82,683 | 21,825 | 101,099 | (122,924 | ) | 82,683 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 87,698 | $ | 28,572 | $ | 852,062 | $ | (140,076 | ) | $ | 828,256 | ||||||||||
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,394 | $ | | $ | 647,610 | $ | (12,175 | ) | $ | 636,829 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
17 | | 1,992 | | 2,009 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
81,610 | 26,165 | 12,076 | (118,399 | ) | 1,452 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,753 | 2,546 | 154,269 | (1,198 | ) | 158,370 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 85,774 | $ | 28,711 | $ | 815,947 | $ | (131,772 | ) | $ | 798,660 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 405 | $ | | $ | 428,491 | $ | (69 | ) | $ | 428,827 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,647 | 2,482 | 101,391 | (12,257 | ) | 95,263 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
1,115 | 4,076 | 189,779 | (1,206 | ) | 193,764 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,167 | 6,558 | 719,661 | (13,532 | ) | 717,854 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 199 | | 199 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
80,607 | 22,153 | 96,087 | (118,240 | ) | 80,607 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 85,774 | $ | 28,711 | $ | 815,947 | $ | (131,772 | ) | $ | 798,660 | ||||||||||
14
| 9. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
Condensed Consolidating Statement of Income
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | (38 | )(a) | $ | (37 | ) (b) | $ | 5,518 | (c) | $ | | $ | 5,443 | (d) | ||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
3,552 | 633 | | (4,185 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
271 | | | (271 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
101 | (13 | ) | 1,525 | | 1,613 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (146 | ) | | (146 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 609 | $ | 3,847 | $ | (4,456 | ) | $ | 3,684 | |||||||||
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 98 | (e) | $ | (30 | ) (f) | $ | 3,871 | (g) | $ | | $ | 3,939 | (h) | ||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
2,297 | 566 | | (2,863 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
322 | 24 | | (346 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Income taxes (benefits)
|
161 | (11 | ) | 1,019 | | 1,169 | ||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (70 | ) | | (70 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| | (144 | ) | | (144 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 2,556 | $ | 571 | $ | 2,638 | $ | (3,209 | ) | $ | 2,556 | |||||||||
| (a) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(127) million. |
| (b) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(37) million. |
| (c) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $118 million. |
| (d) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(46) million. |
| (e) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $17 million. |
| (f) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(30) million. |
| (g) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(172) million. |
| (h) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(185) million. |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flow
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 346 | $ | 155 | $ | 153 | $ | 654 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
265 | | 50,885 | 51,150 | |||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
| | (69,763 | ) | (69,763 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Other
|
(72 | ) | (120 | ) | 4 | (188 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
193 | (120 | ) | (18,874 | ) | (18,801 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(34 | ) | 1 | 9,621 | 9,588 | ||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(402 | ) | (36 | ) | 9,470 | 9,032 | |||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by (used in) financing
activities
|
(436 | ) | (35 | ) | 19,091 | 18,620 | |||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
30 | | (151 | ) | (121 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
133 | | 219 | 352 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
17 | | 1,992 | 2,009 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 150 | $ | | $ | 2,211 | $ | 2,361 | |||||||||
15
| 9. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | |||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | AGC | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Issuer | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 527 | $ | 468 | $ | 7,724 | $ | 8,719 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
315 | | 48,362 | 48,677 | |||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
(176 | ) | | (68,044 | ) | (68,220 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other
|
(345 | ) | (302 | ) | 465 | (182 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(206 | ) | (302 | ) | (19,217 | ) | (19,725 | ) | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(24 | ) | (147 | ) | 3,558 | 3,387 | |||||||||||
|
Other
|
(192 | ) | (19 | ) | 8,626 | 8,415 | |||||||||||
|
Net cash (used in) provided by financing
activities
|
(216 | ) | (166 | ) | 12,184 | 11,802 | |||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
(120 | ) | | 322 | 202 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
(15 | ) | | 1,013 | 998 | ||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
19 | | 903 | 922 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 4 | $ | | $ | 1,916 | $ | 1,920 | |||||||||
(b) AIG Liquidity Corp. is a wholly owned subsidiary of AIG. AIG provides a full and unconditional guarantee of all obligations of AIG Liquidity Corp., which commenced operations in 2003.
AIG Liquidity Corp.:
Condensed Consolidating Balance Sheet
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||||||
| March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,131 | $ | * | $ | 675,001 | $ | (11,935 | ) | $ | 664,197 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
150 | * | 2,211 | | 2,361 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
83,614 | | 40,924 | (123,069 | ) | 1,469 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,803 | * | 162,498 | (5,072 | ) | 160,229 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 87,698 | $ | * | $ | 880,634 | $ | (140,076 | ) | $ | 828,256 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 391 | $ | | $ | 443,986 | $ | (71 | ) | $ | 444,306 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,650 | * | 113,395 | (12,270 | ) | 104,775 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
974 | * | 200,131 | (4,811 | ) | 196,294 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,015 | * | 757,512 | (17,152 | ) | 745,375 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 198 | | 198 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
82,683 | * | 122,924 | (122,924 | ) | 82,683 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 87,698 | $ | * | $ | 880,634 | $ | (140,076 | ) | $ | 828,256 | ||||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
16
| 9. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
| American | |||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
|
Assets:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets
|
$ | 1,394 | $ | * | $ | 647,610 | $ | (12,175 | ) | $ | 636,829 | ||||||||||
|
Cash
|
17 | * | 1,992 | | 2,009 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Carrying value of subsidiaries and partially
owned companies, at equity
|
81,610 | | 38,241 | (118,399 | ) | 1,452 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other assets
|
2,753 | * | 156,815 | (1,198 | ) | 158,370 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total assets
|
$ | 85,774 | $ | * | $ | 844,658 | $ | (131,772 | ) | $ | 798,660 | ||||||||||
|
Liabilities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
|
Insurance liabilities
|
$ | 405 | $ | | $ | 428,491 | $ | (69 | ) | $ | 428,827 | ||||||||||
|
Debt
|
3,647 | * | 103,873 | (12,257 | ) | 95,263 | |||||||||||||||
|
Other liabilities
|
1,115 | * | 193,855 | (1,206 | ) | 193,764 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
5,167 | * | 726,219 | (13,532 | ) | 717,854 | |||||||||||||||
|
Preferred shareholders equity in subsidiary
companies
|
| | 199 | | 199 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Total shareholders equity
|
80,607 | * | 118,240 | (118,240 | ) | 80,607 | |||||||||||||||
|
Total liabilities, preferred shareholders
equity in subsidiary companies and shareholders equity
|
$ | 85,774 | $ | * | $ | 844,658 | $ | (131,772 | ) | $ | 798,660 | ||||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
Condensed Consolidating Statement of Income
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | |||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | (38 | )(a) | $ | * | $ | 5,481 | (b) | $ | | $ | 5,443 | (c) | |||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
3,552 | | 633 | (4,185 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
271 | | | (271 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Income taxes
|
101 | * | 1,512 | | 1,613 | |||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (146 | ) | | (146 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | * | $ | 4,456 | $ | (4,456 | ) | $ | 3,684 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
| American | ||||||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | |||||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | ||||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | Eliminations | AIG | |||||||||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 98 | (d) | $ | * | $ | 3,841 | (e) | $ | | $ | 3,939 | (f) | |||||||
|
Equity in undistributed net income of
consolidated subsidiaries
|
2,297 | | 566 | (2,863 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Dividend income from consolidated subsidiaries
|
322 | | 24 | (346 | ) | | ||||||||||||||
|
Income taxes
|
161 | * | 1,008 | | 1,169 | |||||||||||||||
|
Minority interest
|
| | (70 | ) | | (70 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Cumulative effect of an accounting change, net of
tax
|
| | (144 | ) | | (144 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Net income (loss)
|
$ | 2,556 | $ | * | $ | 3,209 | $ | (3,209 | ) | $ | 2,556 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
| (a) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(127) million. |
| (b) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $81 million. |
| (c) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(46) million. |
| (d) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $17 million. |
| (e) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(202) million. |
| (f) | Includes other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses) of $(185) million. |
17
| 9. | Information Provided in Connection with Outstanding Debt (continued) |
Condensed Consolidating Statements of Cash Flow
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2005 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 346 | $ | * | $ | 308 | $ | 654 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
265 | | 50,885 | 51,150 | |||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
| | (69,763 | ) | (69,763 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Other
|
(72 | ) | * | (116 | ) | (188 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
193 | * | (18,994 | ) | (18,801 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(34 | ) | | 9,622 | 9,588 | ||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(402 | ) | * | 9,434 | 9,032 | ||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by financing activities
|
(436 | ) | * | 19,056 | 18,620 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
30 | | (151 | ) | (121 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
133 | * | 219 | 352 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
17 | | 1,992 | 2,009 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 150 | $ | * | $ | 2,211 | $ | 2,361 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
| American | |||||||||||||||||
| International | AIG | ||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2004 | Group, Inc. | Liquidity | Other | Consolidated | |||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Guarantor | Corp. | Subsidiaries | AIG | |||||||||||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
$ | 527 | $ | * | $ | 8,192 | $ | 8,719 | |||||||||
|
Cash flows from investing:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Invested assets disposed
|
315 | | 48,362 | 48,677 | |||||||||||||
|
Invested assets acquired
|
(176 | ) | | (68,044 | ) | (68,220 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Other
|
(345 | ) | * | 163 | (182 | ) | |||||||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(206 | ) | * | (19,519 | ) | (19,725 | ) | ||||||||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
Change in debts
|
(24 | ) | | 3,411 | 3,387 | ||||||||||||
|
Other
|
(192 | ) | * | 8,607 | 8,415 | ||||||||||||
|
Net cash (used in) provided by financing
activities
|
(216 | ) | * | 12,018 | 11,802 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cumulative translation adjustments
|
(120 | ) | | 322 | 202 | ||||||||||||
|
Change in cash
|
(15 | ) | * | 1,013 | 998 | ||||||||||||
|
Cash at beginning of period
|
19 | | 903 | 922 | |||||||||||||
|
Cash at end of period
|
$ | 4 | $ | * | $ | 1,916 | $ | 1,920 | |||||||||
| * | Amounts significantly less than $1 million. |
18
MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is designed to provide the reader a narrative with respect to AIGs operations, financial condition and liquidity and certain other significant matters.
INDEX
| Page | ||||||
|
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING
INFORMATION
|
19 | |||||
|
RESTATEMENT OF PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS
|
20 | |||||
|
OVERVIEW OF OPERATIONS AND BUSINESS RESULTS
|
20 | |||||
|
Consolidated Results
|
21 | |||||
|
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
|
24 | |||||
|
OPERATING REVIEW
|
25 | |||||
|
General Insurance Operations
|
25 | |||||
|
General Insurance Results
|
27 | |||||
|
Reinsurance
|
28 | |||||
|
Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
|
29 | |||||
|
Asbestos and Environmental Reserves
|
34 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
Operations
|
38 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
Results
|
39 | |||||
|
Underwriting and Investment Risk
|
40 | |||||
|
Insurance and Asset Management Invested
Assets
|
41 | |||||
|
Credit Quality
|
42 | |||||
|
Valuation of Invested Assets
|
42 | |||||
|
Financial Services Operations
|
45 | |||||
|
Financial Services Results
|
46 | |||||
|
Financial Services Invested Assets
|
47 | |||||
|
Asset Management Operations
|
49 | |||||
|
Asset Management Results
|
49 | |||||
|
Other Operations
|
50 | |||||
| CAPITAL RESOURCES | 50 | |||||
|
Borrowings
|
50 | |||||
|
Contractual Obligations and Other Commercial
Commitments
|
53 | |||||
|
Shareholders Equity
|
54 | |||||
|
Stock Purchase
|
54 | |||||
|
Dividends from Insurance
Subsidiaries
|
54 | |||||
|
Regulation and Supervision
|
54 | |||||
| LIQUIDITY | 55 | |||||
|
SPECIAL PURPOSE VEHICLES AND OFF BALANCE SHEET
ARRANGEMENTS
|
56 | |||||
| DERIVATIVES | 56 | |||||
| MANAGING MARKET RISK | 57 | |||||
|
Insurance
|
57 | |||||
|
Financial Services
|
58 | |||||
| RECENT ACCOUNTING STANDARDS | 59 | |||||
| CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES | 60 | |||||
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
This Quarterly Report and other publicly available documents may include, and AIGs officers and representatives may from time to time make, statements which may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not historical facts but instead represent only AIGs belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside AIGs control. These statements may address, among other things, the status and potential future outcome of the current regulatory and civil proceedings against AIG and their potential effect on AIGs businesses, financial position, results of operations, cash flows and liquidity, the effect of the credit rating downgrades on AIGs businesses and competitive position, the unwinding and resolving of various relationships between AIG and Starr and SICO, AIGs strategy for growth, product development, market position, financial results and reserves. It is possible that AIGs actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause AIGs actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those in the specific forward-looking statements are discussed throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations. AIG is not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligations) to update or alter any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
19
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIG presents its operations in the way it believes will be most meaningful. Statutory underwriting profit (loss) and combined ratios are presented in accordance with accounting principles prescribed by insurance regulatory authorities because these are standard measures of performance used in the insurance industry and thus allow more meaningful comparisons with AIGs insurance competitors. AIG has also incorporated into this discussion a number of cross-references to additional information included throughout this Form 10-Q to assist readers seeking related information on a particular subject.
Restatement of Previously Issued Financial Statements
AIG restated its financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2003, 2002, 2001 and 2000, the quarters ended March 31, June 30 and September 30, 2004 and 2003 and the quarter ended December 31, 2003 in conjunction with filing its 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K. In connection with the preparation of AIGs consolidated financial statements included in the 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K, AIGs current management initiated an internal review of AIGs books and records, which was substantially expanded in mid-March 2005. Management believes that the scope and process of its internal review was sufficient to identify issues of a material nature that could affect AIGs financial statements. For further discussion, see the 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Overview of Operations and Business Results
AIGs operations in 2005 are conducted by its subsidiaries principally through four operating segments: General Insurance, Life Insurance and Retirement Services, Financial Services and Asset Management. Through these segments, AIG provides insurance and investment products and services to both businesses and individuals in more than 130 countries and jurisdictions. This geographic, product and service diversification is one of AIGs major strengths and sets it apart from its competitors. The importance of this diversification was especially evident in 2004, when record catastrophe losses in certain insurance operations were more than offset by profitability in those operations as well as in other segments and product lines. Although regional economic downturns or political upheaval could negatively affect parts of AIGs operations, AIG believes that its diversification makes it unlikely that regional difficulties would have a material effect on its operating results, financial condition or liquidity.
AIGs subsidiaries serve commercial, institutional and individual customers through an extensive property-casualty and life insurance and retirement services network. In the United States, AIG companies are the largest underwriters of commercial and industrial insurance and one of the largest life insurance and retirement services operations as well. AIGs Financial Services businesses include commercial aircraft and equipment leasing, capital markets operations and consumer finance, both in the United States and abroad. AIG also provides asset management services and offers guaranteed investment contracts, also known as funding agreements, (GICs) to institutions and individuals.
AIGs operating performance reflects implementation of various long-term strategies and defined goals in its various operating segments.
A primary goal of AIG in managing its General Insurance operations is to achieve an underwriting profit. To achieve this goal, AIG must be disciplined in its risk selection and premiums must be adequate and terms and conditions appropriate to cover the risk accepted. AIG believes in strict control of expenses.
Another central focus of AIG operations in current years is the development and expansion of new distribution channels. In 2004, AIG expanded its distribution channels in many Asian countries, which now include banks, credit card companies and television-media home shopping. In late 2003, AIG entered into an agreement with PICC Property and Casualty Company, Limited (PICC), which will enable the marketing of accident and health products throughout China through PICCs branch networks and agency system. AIG participates in the underwriting results through a reinsurance agreement and also holds a 9.9 percent ownership interest in PICC. Other examples of new distribution channels used both domestically and overseas include banks, affinity groups, direct response and e-commerce.
AIG patiently builds relationships in markets around the world where it sees long-term growth opportunities. For example, the fact that AIG has the only wholly-owned foreign life insurance operations in eight cities in China is the result of relationships developed over nearly 30 years. AIGs more recent extensions of operations into India, Vietnam, Russia and other emerging markets reflect the same growth strategy. Moreover, AIG believes in investing in the economies and infrastructures of these countries and growing with them. When AIG companies enter a new jurisdiction, they typically offer both basic protection and savings products. As the economies evolve, AIGs products evolve with them, to more complex and investment-oriented models.
Growth for AIG may be generated both internally and through acquisitions which both fulfill strategic goals and offer adequate return on investment. In recent years, the acquisitions of AIG Star Life and AIG Edison Life have broadened AIGs penetration of the Japanese market through new distribution channels and will result in operating efficiencies as they are integrated into AIGs previously existing companies operating in Japan.
20
AIG provides leadership on issues of concern to the global and local economies as well as the insurance and financial services industries. In recent years, efforts to reform the tort system and class action litigation procedures, legislation to deal with the asbestos problem and the renewal of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act have been key issues, while in prior years trade legislation and Superfund had been issues of concern.
The following table summarizes AIGs revenues, income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change and net income for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||
|
Total revenues
|
$ | 27,112 | $ | 23,375 | ||||
|
Income before income taxes, minority interest and
cumulative effect of an accounting change
|
5,443 | 3,939 | ||||||
|
Net income
|
$ | 3,684 | $ | 2,556 | ||||
Consolidated Results
The 16.0 percent growth in revenues in the first three months of 2005 was primarily attributable to the growth in net premiums earned from global General Insurance operations as well as growth in both General Insurance and Life Insurance & Retirement Services net investment income and Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums.
AIGs income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change increased 38.2 percent in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004. General Insurance, Life Insurance & Retirement Services, Financial Services, and Asset Management operating income gains were the primary factors for the increase over 2004 in both pretax income and net income.
The following table summarizes the operations of each principal segment for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004. (See also Note 2 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Revenues(a):
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance(b)
|
$ | 11,263 | $ | 10,075 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement
Services(c)
|
11,820 | 10,523 | |||||||
|
Financial Services(d)
|
2,449 | 1,788 | |||||||
|
Asset Management(e)
|
1,375 | 1,032 | |||||||
|
Other
|
205 | (43 | ) | ||||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 27,112 | $ | 23,375 | |||||
|
Operating Income(a)(f):
|
|||||||||
|
General Insurance
|
$ | 1,697 | $ | 1,441 | |||||
|
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
|
2,223 | 1,785 | |||||||
|
Financial Services
|
1,043 | 545 | |||||||
|
Asset Management
|
526 | 353 | |||||||
|
Other(g)
|
(46 | ) | (185 | ) | |||||
|
Consolidated
|
$ | 5,443 | $ | 3,939 | |||||
| (a) | Revenues and operating income reflect changes in market or estimated fair value associated with derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting pursuant to FAS 133. |
| (b) | Represents the sum of General Insurance net premiums earned, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (c) | Represents the sum of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums, net investment income and realized capital gains (losses). |
| (d) | Represents interest, lease and finance charges. |
| (e) | Represents management and advisory fees and net investment income with respect to GICs. |
| (f) | Represents income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change. |
| (g) | Represents other income (deductions) net and other realized capital gains (losses). |
General Insurance
AIGs General Insurance operations provide property and casualty products and services throughout the world. The increase in General Insurance operating income in the first three months of 2005 compared to the same period of 2004 was primarily attributable to strong growth in operating income with respect to Domestic Brokerage Groups and Foreign Generals operations, offset by a decrease in realized capital gains for the segment in the first three months of 2005 compared to the same period of 2004. DBGs operating income included additional losses in the first three months of 2005 resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations provide insurance, financial and investment products throughout the world. Foreign operations provided approximately 60 percent of AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income for the first quarter of 2005.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income increased by 24.5 percent in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004. This increase
21
Financial Services
AIGs Financial Services subsidiaries engage in diversified activities including aircraft and equipment leasing, capital market transactions, consumer finance and insurance premium financing.
Financial Services operating income increased by 91.4 percent in the first three months of 2005 compared to the same period of 2004, primarily due to the fluctuation in earnings resulting from the accounting effect of FAS 133. Fluctuations in revenues and operating income from quarter to quarter are not unusual because of the transaction-oriented nature of Capital Markets operations and the effect of not qualifying for hedge accounting treatment under FAS 133 for hedges on securities available for sale and borrowings. Consumer Finance operations increased revenues and operating income, both domestically and internationally.
Asset Management
AIGs Asset Management operations include institutional and retail asset management and broker dealer services and spread-based investment business from the sale of GICs. These products and services are offered to individuals and institutions, both domestically and overseas.
Asset Management operating income increased 49.0 percent in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004 as a result of the upturn in worldwide financial markets and a strong global product portfolio.
Capital Resources
At March 31, 2005, AIG had total consolidated shareholders equity of $82.68 billion and total consolidated borrowings of $104.78 billion. At that date, $95.26 billion of such borrowings were either not guaranteed by AIG or were AIGFPs matched borrowings under obligations of guaranteed investment agreements (GIAs), liabilities connected to trust preferred stock, or matched notes and bonds payable.
During the period from January 1, 2005 through March 31, 2005, AIG purchased in the open market 2,477,100 shares of its common stock.
Liquidity
At March 31, 2005, AIGs consolidated invested assets included $24.38 billion in cash and short-term investments. Consolidated net cash provided from operating activities in the first three months of 2005 amounted to $654 million. The $654 million in consolidated net cash provided by operating activities is net of approximately $8 billion used by AIGFP to purchase securities purchased under agreements to resell and to repurchase securities sold under agreements to repurchase in the ordinary course of AIGFPs business. This operating activity was funded in part by proceeds from security sales under similar repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements, but primarily by AIGFPs financing activities, specifically proceeds from guaranteed investment agreements and notes, bonds, loans and mortgages payable. To date, approximately half of the $8 billion was subsequently invested in securities available for sale. AIG believes that its liquid assets, cash provided by operations and access to short term funding through commercial paper and bank credit facilities will enable it to meet any anticipated cash requirements.
Outlook
From March through June of 2005, the major rating agencies downgraded AIGs ratings in a series of actions. Standard & Poors, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (S&P), lowered the long-term senior debt and counterparty ratings of AIG from AAA to AA and changed the rating outlook to negative. Moodys Investors Service (Moodys) lowered AIGs long-term senior debt rating from Aaa to Aa2 and changed the outlook to stable. Fitch Ratings (Fitch) downgraded the long-term senior debt ratings of AIG from AAA to AA and placed the ratings on Rating Watch Negative.
The agencies also took rating actions on AIGs insurance subsidiaries. S&P and Fitch lowered to AA+ the insurance financial strength ratings of most of AIGs insurance companies. Moodys lowered the insurance financial strength ratings generally to either Aa1 or Aa2. A.M. Best downgraded the financial strength ratings for most of AIGs insurance subsidiaries from A++ to A+ and the issuer credit ratings from aa+ to aa-. Many of these companies ratings remain on a negative watch.
In addition, S&P changed the outlook on ILFCs AA- long-term senior debt rating to negative. Moodys affirmed ILFCs long-term and short-term senior debt ratings (A1/P-1). Fitch downgraded ILFCs long-term senior debt rating from AA- to A+ and placed the rating on Rating Watch Negative and downgraded ILFCs short-term debt rating from F1+ to F1. Fitch also placed the A+ long-term senior debt ratings of American General Finance Corporation and American General Finance, Inc. on Rating Watch Negative. S&P and Moodys affirmed the long-term and short-term senior debt ratings of American General Finance Corporation at A+/A-1 and A1/P-1, respectively.
These debt and financial strength ratings are current opinions of the rating agencies. As such, they may be changed, suspended or withdrawn at any time by the rating agencies as a result of changes in, or unavailability of, information or based on other circumstances. Ratings may also be withdrawn at AIG managements request. This discussion of ratings is not a complete list of ratings of AIG and its subsidiaries.
These ratings actions have affected and will continue to affect AIGs business and results of operations in a number of ways.
22
| | Downgrades in AIGs debt ratings will adversely affect AIGs results of operations. AIG relies on external sources of financing to fund several of its operations. The cost and availability of unsecured financing are generally dependent on the issuers long-term and short-term debt ratings. The recent downgrades and any future downgrades in AIGs debt ratings will increase AIGs borrowing costs and therefore adversely affect AIGs results of operations. |
| | The downgrade in AIGs long-term senior debt ratings will adversely affect AIGFPs ability to compete for certain businesses. Credit ratings are very important to the ability of financial institutions to compete in the derivative and structured transaction marketplaces. Historically, AIGs triple-A ratings provided AIGFP a competitive advantage. The downgrades will reduce this advantage and, for specialized financial transactions that generally are conducted only by triple-A rated financial institutions, counterparties may be unwilling to transact business with AIGFP except on a secured basis. This could require AIGFP to post more collateral to counterparties in the future. See below for a further discussion of the effect that posting collateral may have on AIGs liquidity. |
| | Although the financial strength ratings of AIGs insurance company subsidiaries remain high compared to many of their competitors, the downgrades have reduced the previous ratings differential. The competitive advantage of the ratings to AIGs insurance company subsidiaries may be lessened accordingly. The recent regulatory inquiries, internal investigations, and delay in the filing of the 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as negative publicity, had caused independent producers and distributors of AIGs domestic life and retirement services products to be more cautious in placing business with AIG subsidiaries. AIG is unable to predict the effect of these issues on AIGs business, including any increase in associated surrender or replacement activity. |
| | As a result of the downgrades of AIGs long-term senior debt ratings, AIG has been required to post approximately $1.16 billion of collateral with counterparties to municipal guaranteed investment agreements and financial derivatives transactions. In the event of a further downgrade, AIG will be required to post additional collateral. It is estimated that, as of the close of business on June 23, 2005, based on AIGs outstanding municipal guaranteed investment agreements and financial derivatives transactions as of such date, a further downgrade of AIGs long-term senior debt ratings to Aa3 by Moodys or AA- by S&P would permit counterparties to call for approximately $2.10 billion of additional collateral. Further, additional downgrades could result in requirements for substantial additional collateral, which could have a material effect on how AIG manages its liquidity. The actual amount of additional collateral that AIG would be required to post to counterparties in the event of such downgrades depends on market conditions, the market value of the outstanding affected transactions and other factors prevailing at the time of the downgrade. The requirement to post additional collateral may increase if additional counterparties begin to require credit support from AIG through collateralization agreements. Additional obligations to post collateral will increase the demand on AIGs liquidity. |
Despite industry price erosion in some classes of general insurance, AIG expects to continue to identify profitable opportunities and build attractive new General Insurance businesses as a result of AIGs broad product line and extensive distribution networks. AIG expects total General Insurance premiums to increase for 2005 and expects cash flow for investments to remain strong. Thus, General Insurance net investment income is expected to rise in future quarters even in a continued low interest rate environment.
In China, AIG has wholly-owned life insurance operations in eight cities. These operations should benefit from Chinas rapid rate of economic growth and growing middle class, a segment that is a prime market for life insurance. AIG believes that it may also have opportunities in the future to grow by entering the group insurance business. However, in March 2005 it withdrew its application to serve the group insurance market until certain regulatory issues are resolved. Among the regulatory issues to be addressed is the response to AIGs acknowledgment that certain of its Hong Kong based agents sold life insurance to customers on the Chinese mainland in contravention of applicable regulations.
AIG Edison Life, acquired in August 2003, adds to the current agency force in Japan, and provides alternative distribution channels including banks, financial advisers, and corporate and government employee relationships. AIG Edison Lifes integration into AIGs existing Japanese operations will provide future operating efficiencies. In January 2005, AIG Star Life entered into an agreement with the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, one of Japans largest banks, to market a multi-currency fixed annuity. Through ALICO, AIG Star Life and AIG Edison, AIG has developed a leadership position in the distribution of annuities through banks. AIG is also a leader in the direct marketing of insurance products through sponsors and in the broad market. AIG also expects continued growth in India, Korea and Vietnam.
Domestically, AIG anticipates continued operating growth in 2005 as distribution channels are expanded and new products are introduced. The home service operation has not met business objectives, although its cash flow has been strong, and domestic group life/health was also weak in 2004. AIG expects restructuring efforts in these businesses to show positive results by early 2006. AIG American Generals current ratings remain equal to or higher than many of its principal competitors. Nevertheless, recent events have caused independent producers and distributors of AIG Amer-
23
In the airline industry, changes in market conditions are not immediately apparent in operating results. Lease rates have firmed considerably, as a result of strong demand spurred by the recovering global commercial aviation market, especially in Asia. Sales have begun to increase, and AIG expects an increasing level of interest from a variety of purchasers. Therefore, AIG believes that the improvements in that market which commenced in 2003 will be gradually reflected in ILFCs results in 2005. In the Capital Markets operations, the integration of AIG Trading Group Inc. and its subsidiaries into the operations of AIGFP created operating efficiencies that will continue to be realized and product synergies that should enhance 2005 results, although quarter to quarter variations are to be expected in this transaction-oriented business. AIG also expects increased contributions to Financial Services revenues and income from its consumer finance operations both domestically and overseas. However, the downgrades of AIGs credit ratings may adversely affect funding costs for AIG and its subsidiaries and AIGFPs ability to engage in derivative transactions and certain structured products. See Certain Factors Affecting AIGs Business AIGs Credit Ratings in Item 1 of Part I of AIGs 2004 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
GICs, which are sold domestically and abroad to both institutions and individuals, are written on an opportunistic basis when market conditions are favorable. AIG expects to launch a matched investment program utilizing issuances of AIG debt securities, which will become AIGs principal spread-based investment activity. However, in light of recent developments, the timing of the launch of this program is uncertain. Because AIGs credit spreads in the capital markets have widened following the ratings declines, there may be a reduction in the earnings on new business in AIGs spread based funding businesses.
AIG has many promising growth initiatives underway around the world in its insurance and other operations. Cooperative agreements such as those with PICC and various banks in the U.S., Japan and Korea are expected to expand distribution networks for AIGs products and provide models for future growth.
Critical Accounting Estimates
AIG considers its most critical accounting estimates those with respect to reserves for losses and loss expenses, future policy benefits for life and accident and health contracts, deferred policy acquisition costs, estimated gross profits for investment-oriented products, fair value determinations for certain Capital Markets assets and liabilities and other than temporary declines in value-investments. These accounting estimates require the use of assumptions about matters, some of which are highly uncertain at the time of estimation. To the extent actual experience differs from the assumptions used, AIGs results of operations would be directly affected.
Throughout this Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, AIGs critical accounting estimates are discussed in detail. The major categories for which assumptions are developed and used to establish each critical accounting estimate are highlighted below.
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses (General Insurance):
| | Loss trend factors: used to establish expected loss ratios for subsequent accident years based on premium rate adequacy and the projected loss ratio with respect to prior accident years. |
| | Expected loss ratios for the latest accident year: for example, accident year 2004 for the year end 2004 loss reserve analysis. For low frequency, high severity classes such as excess casualty and directors and officers liability (D&O), expected loss ratios generally are utilized for at least the three most recent accident years. |
| | Loss development factors: used to project the reported losses for each accident year to an ultimate amount. |
Future Policy Benefits for Life and Accident and Health Contracts (Life Insurance & Retirement Services):
| | Interest rates: which vary by geographical region, year of issuance and products. |
| | Mortality, morbidity and surrender rates: based upon actual experience by geographical region modified to allow for variation in policy form. |
Estimated Gross Profits (Life Insurance & Retirement Services):
| | Estimated gross profits to be realized over the estimated duration of the contracts (investment-oriented products) affects the carrying value of deferred policy acquisition costs under FAS 97. Estimated gross profits include investment income and gains and losses on investments less required interest, actual mortality and other expenses. |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs (Life Insurance & Retirement Services):
| | Recoverability based on current and future expected profitability, which is affected by interest rates, foreign exchange rates, mortality experience, and policy persistency. |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs (General Insurance):
| | Recoverability and eligibility based upon the current terms and profitability of the underlying insurance contracts. |
Fair Value Determinations of Certain Assets and Liabilities (Financial Services Capital Markets):
| | Valuation models: utilizing factors, such as market liquidity and current interest, foreign exchange and volatility rates. |
24
| | AIG attempts to secure reliable and independent current market price data, such as published exchange rates from external subscription services such as Bloomberg or Reuters or third-party broker quotes for use in this model. When such prices are not available, AIG uses an internal methodology, which includes interpolation from verifiable prices from trades occurring on dates nearest to the dates of the transactions. |
Other Than Temporary Declines in Value Investments:
| | Trading at a significant (25 percent or more) discount to par, amortized cost (if lower) or cost for an extended period of time (nine months or longer). |
| | The occurrence of a discrete credit event resulting in the debtor default, seeking bankruptcy or insolvency protection or voluntary reorganization. |
| | The possibility of non-realization of a full recovery on its investment, irrespective of the occurrence of one of the foregoing events. |
Operating Review
General Insurance Operations
AIGs General Insurance subsidiaries are multiple line companies writing substantially all lines of property and casualty insurance both domestically and abroad.
Domestic General Insurance operations are comprised of the Domestic Brokerage Group (DBG), which includes the operations of The Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Company (HSB), Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. (Transatlantic); Personal Lines, including 21st Century Insurance Group (21st Century); and United Guaranty Corporation (UGC).
AIGs primary domestic division is DBG. DBGs business in the United States and Canada is conducted through its General Insurance subsidiaries including American Home, National Union, Lexington and certain other General Insurance company subsidiaries of AIG.
DBG writes substantially all classes of business insurance, accepting such business mainly from insurance brokers. This provides DBG the opportunity to select specialized markets and retain underwriting control. Any licensed broker is able to submit business to DBG without the traditional agent-company contractual relationship, but such broker usually has no authority to commit DBG to accept a risk.
In addition to writing substantially all classes of business insurance, including large commercial or industrial property insurance, excess liability, inland marine, environmental, workers compensation and excess and umbrella coverages, DBG offers many specialized forms of insurance such as aviation, accident and health, equipment breakdown, directors and officers liability (D&O), difference-in-conditions, kidnap-ransom, export credit and political risk, and various types of professional errors and omissions coverages. The AIG Risk Management operation provides insurance and risk management programs for large corporate customers. The AIG Risk Finance operation is a leading provider of customized structured insurance products. Also included in DBG are the operations of AIG Environmental, which focuses specifically on providing specialty products to clients with environmental exposures. Lexington writes surplus lines, those risks for which conventional insurance companies do not readily provide insurance coverage, either because of complexity or because the coverage does not lend itself to conventional contracts.
Certain of the products of the DBG companies include funding components or have been structured in a manner such that little or no insurance risk is actually transferred. Funds received in connection with these products are recorded as deposits, included in other liabilities, rather than premiums and incurred losses.
The AIG Worldsource Division introduces and coordinates AIGs products and services to U.S.-based multinational clients and foreign corporations doing business in the U.S.
Transatlantic subsidiaries offer reinsurance capacity on both a treaty and facultative basis both in the U.S. and abroad. Transatlantic structures programs for a full range of property and casualty products with an emphasis on specialty risks.
AIGs Personal Lines operations provide automobile insurance through AIG Direct, the mass marketing operation of AIG, Agency Auto Division and 21st Century Insurance Group, as well as a broad range of coverages for high-net-worth individuals through the AIG Private Client Group.
The principal business of the UGC subsidiaries is the writing of residential mortgage loan insurance, which is guaranty insurance on conventional first mortgage loans on single-family dwellings and condominiums. This type of insurance protects lenders against loss if borrowers default. UGC subsidiaries also write home equity and property improvement loan insurance on loans to finance residential property improvements, alterations and repairs and for other purposes not necessarily related to real estate.
AIGs Foreign General Insurance group accepts risks primarily underwritten through American International Underwriters (AIU), a marketing unit consisting of wholly owned agencies and insurance companies. The Foreign General Insurance group also includes business written by AIGs foreign-based insurance subsidiaries. The Foreign General group uses various marketing methods and multiple distribution channels to write both business and personal lines insurance with certain refinements for local laws, customs and needs. AIU operates in Asia, the Pacific Rim, the United Kingdom, Europe, Africa, the Middle East and Latin America.
As previously noted, AIG believes it should present and discuss its financial information in a manner most meaningful
25
A critical discipline of a successful general insurance business is the objective to produce operating income from underwriting exclusive of investment-related income. When underwriting is not profitable, premiums are inadequate to pay for insured losses and underwriting related expenses. In these situations, the addition of general insurance related investment income and realized capital gains may, however, enable a general insurance business to produce operating income. For these reasons, AIG views underwriting profit to be critical in the overall evaluation of performance. Although in and of itself not a Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) measurement, AIG believes that underwriting profit is a useful and meaningful disclosure. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
Underwriting profit is measured in two ways: statutory underwriting profit and GAAP underwriting profit.
Statutory underwriting profit is derived by reducing net premiums earned by net losses and loss expenses incurred and net expenses incurred. Statutory accounting generally requires immediate expense recognition and ignores the matching of revenues and expenses as required by GAAP. That is, for statutory purposes, expenses are recognized immediately, not over the same period that the revenues are earned.
A basic premise of GAAP accounting is the recognition of expenses at the same time revenues are earned, the accounting principle of matching. Therefore, to convert underwriting results to a GAAP basis, acquisition expenses are deferred (deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC)) and amortized over the period the related net premiums written are earned. Accordingly, the statutory underwriting profit has been adjusted as a result of acquisition expenses being deferred as required by GAAP. DAC is reviewed for recoverability, and such review requires management judgment. (See also Critical Accounting Estimates herein.)
AIG, along with most General Insurance companies, uses the loss ratio, the expense ratio and the combined ratio as measures of underwriting performance. The loss ratio is the sum of losses and loss expenses incurred divided by net premiums earned. The expense ratio is statutory underwriting expenses divided by net premiums written. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. These ratios are relative measurements that describe, for every $100 of net premiums earned or written, the cost of losses and statutory expenses, respectively. The combined ratio presents the total cost per $100 of premium production. A combined ratio below 100 demonstrates underwriting profit; a combined ratio above 100 demonstrates underwriting loss.
Net premiums written are initially deferred and earned based upon the terms of the underlying policies. The net unearned premium reserve constitutes deferred revenues which are generally earned ratably over the policy period. Thus, the net unearned premium reserve is not fully recognized in income as net premiums earned until the end of the policy period.
The underwriting environment varies from country to country, as does the degree of litigation activity. Regulation, product type and competition have a direct effect on pricing and consequently on profitability as reflected in underwriting profit and statutory general insurance ratios.
General Insurance operating income is comprised of underwriting profit (loss), net investment income and realized capital gains and losses. These components, as well as net premiums written, net premiums earned and statutory ratios for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 were as follows:
| (in millions, except ratios) | 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||
|
Net premiums written:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 5,727 | $ | 5,355 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
885 | 907 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
1,186 | 1,119 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
165 | 154 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
2,830 | 2,500 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 10,793 | $ | 10,035 | ||||||
|
Net premiums earned:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 5,574 | $ | 4,938 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
888 | 893 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
1,120 | 1,042 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
140 | 134 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
2,416 | 2,086 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 10,138 | $ | 9,093 | ||||||
|
Underwriting profit (loss):
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 6 | (a) | $ | (19 | ) | ||||
|
Transatlantic
|
20 | 37 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
58 | 50 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
75 | 68 | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
413 | 323 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 572 | $ | 459 | ||||||
|
Net investment income:
|
||||||||||
|
Domestic General
|
||||||||||
|
DBG
|
$ | 658 | $ | 475 | ||||||
|
Transatlantic
|
85 | 72 | ||||||||
|
Personal Lines
|
52 | 45 | ||||||||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
28 | 29 | ||||||||
|
Intercompany adjustments and
eliminations net
|
1 | | ||||||||
|
Foreign General
|
209 | 176 | ||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 1,033 | $ | 797 | ||||||
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
92 | 185 | ||||||||
|
Operating income
|
$ | 1,697 | $ | 1,441 | ||||||
26
| (in millions, except ratios) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Domestic General:
|
|||||||||
|
Loss Ratio
|
77.12 | (a) | 78.54 | ||||||
|
Expense Ratio
|
19.73 | 19.65 | |||||||
|
Combined Ratio
|
96.85 | 98.19 | |||||||
|
Foreign General:
|
|||||||||
|
Loss Ratio
|
54.50 | 57.75 | |||||||
|
Expense Ratio(b)
|
27.16 | 25.35 | |||||||
|
Combined ratio(b)
|
81.66 | 83.10 | |||||||
|
Consolidated:
|
|||||||||
|
Loss Ratio
|
71.73 | (a) | 73.77 | ||||||
|
Expense Ratio
|
21.68 | 21.07 | |||||||
|
Combined Ratio
|
93.41 | 94.84 | |||||||
| (a) | Includes $118 million of additional losses incurred resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida Hurricanes (1.53 points increase on the domestic general loss ratio and 1.16 points increase on the consolidated general loss ratio). |
| (b) | Includes the results of wholly owned AIU agencies. |
General Insurance Results
General Insurance operating income in the first three months of 2005 showed excellent results. The increase in General Insurance operating income in the first three months of 2005 was primarily attributable to strong profitable growth in Foreign Generals underwriting results and DBGs and Foreign Generals net investment income partially offset by a decrease in realized capital gains relative to the same period of 2004. DBGs underwriting results included additional losses incurred resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes.
Like most AIG units, DBG benefited in the first three months of 2005 from a strong profit center focus and growing distribution channels. Overall, DBGs net premiums written increased in the first three months of 2005 and 2004, as new business, generally higher renewal retention rates and a modest change in the mix of business towards classes (i.e. smaller accounts) that purchase less reinsurance more than offset modest rate decreases in some classes (i.e. property, D&O, healthcare, aviation). Domestic property-casualty premium rates are generally satisfactory at this time, although AIG has begun to see evidence in some classes of business, including property, D&O, energy and healthcare, where rates quoted by other carriers on selected accounts or segments do not meet AIGs view of satisfactory. The loss ratio decreased from same period of 2004 principally as a result of the impact of prior year rate increases on premiums earned in the quarter, lower losses in the quarter in short tail classes of business, such as property and accident & health, offset by $118 million of additional losses incurred resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes.
Transatlantics net premiums written and net premiums earned for the first quarter of 2005 decreased compared with the same period in 2004, principally as a result of decreased domestic business, partially offset by increased international business.
Personal Lines net premiums written in the first three months of 2005 increased when compared to the same period of 2004 due to good growth in its core business units through expanded marketing efforts, increased agent/broker appointments, and enhanced product offerings. These gains were partially offset by reductions in its involuntary auto business due to aggressive re-underwriting of the previously acquired GE business. Underwriting income increased as a result of earned premium growth and favorable development of prior accident years.
Mortgage Guarantys net premiums written increased in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004. Strong growth in junior liens, student loans and international business were offset by continued low persistency in the residential first lien business, caused by high refinance activity fueled by low mortgage interest rates.
Foreign General Insurance had strong results in the first three months of 2005. Growth in net premiums written was achieved due to new business as well as new distribution channels partially offset by rate decreases in Australia and the United Kingdom commercial lines. The Far East region had excellent results. Personal accident business exhibited strong growth. In Japan, the purchase of the Royal & SunAlliance branch operations opened new distribution channels. Commercial lines in Europe and the Ascot syndicate continue to exhibit strong growth, as did Personal Lines operations in Brazil and Latin America. This growth translated to improved underwriting results.
AIG transacts business in most major foreign currencies. The following table summarizes the effect of changes in foreign currency exchange rates on the growth of General Insurance net premiums written for the first three months of 2005:
| 2005 | ||||
|
Growth in original currency
|
6.3% | |||
|
Foreign exchange effect
|
1.3 | |||
|
Growth as reported in U.S. dollars
|
7.6% | |||
As previously noted, DBGs results include $118 million of additional losses incurred in the first three months of 2005 resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes. Other effects of catastrophes incurred in the first three months of 2005 and 2004 were insignificant. The effect on losses caused by catastrophes can fluctuate widely from year to year, making comparisons of recurring type business more difficult. With respect to catastrophe losses, AIG believes that it has taken appropriate steps, such as careful exposure selection and obtaining reinsurance coverage, to reduce the effect of the magnitude of possible future losses. The occurrence of one or more catastrophic events of unanticipated frequency or severity, such
27
General Insurance net investment income grew in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004. AIG is benefiting from strong cash flow, higher interest rates as well as increased partnership income. Additionally, net investment income was positively affected by the compounding of previously earned and reinvested net investment income. As AIG believes that net premiums written will continue to increase in 2005, AIG expects that cash flow for investment will continue to be strong, resulting in growth in net investment income in 2005.
Realized capital gains and losses resulted from the ongoing investment management of the General Insurance portfolios within the overall objectives of the General Insurance operations. (See the discussion on Valuation of Invested Assets herein.)
The contribution of General Insurance operating income to AIGs consolidated income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change was 31.2 percent in the first three months of 2005 compared to 36.6 percent in the same period of 2004.
Reinsurance
AIG is a major purchaser of reinsurance for its General Insurance operations. AIG insures risks globally, and its reinsurance programs must be coordinated in order to provide AIG the level of reinsurance protection that AIG desires. Reinsurance is an important risk management tool to manage transaction and insurance line risk retention at prudent levels set by management. AIG also purchases reinsurance to mitigate its catastrophic exposure. AIG is cognizant of the need to exercise good judgment in the selection and approval of both domestic and foreign companies participating in its reinsurance programs because one or more catastrophe losses could negatively affect AIGs reinsurers and result in an inability of AIG to collect reinsurance recoverables. AIGs reinsurance department evaluates catastrophic events and assesses the probability of occurrence and magnitude of catastrophic events through the use of state-of-the-art industry recognized program models among other techniques. AIG supplements these models through continually monitoring the risk exposure of AIGs worldwide General Insurance operations and adjusting such models accordingly. While reinsurance arrangements do not relieve AIG from its direct obligations to its insureds, an efficient and effective reinsurance program substantially limits AIGs exposure to potentially significant losses.
AIGs consolidated general reinsurance assets amounted to $18.30 billion at March 31, 2005 and resulted from AIGs reinsurance arrangements. Thus, a credit exposure existed at March 31, 2005 with respect to reinsurance recoverable to the extent that any reinsurer may not be able to reimburse AIG under the terms of these reinsurance arrangements. AIG manages its credit risk in its reinsurance relationships by transacting with reinsurers that it considers financially sound, and when necessary AIG holds substantial collateral in the form of funds, securities and/or irrevocable letters of credit. This collateral can be drawn on for amounts that remain unpaid beyond specified time periods on an individual reinsurer basis. At December 31, 2004, approximately 43 percent of the general reinsurance assets were from unauthorized reinsurers. In order to obtain statutory recognition, the majority of these balances were collateralized. The remaining 57 percent of the general reinsurance assets were from authorized reinsurers. The terms authorized and unauthorized pertain to regulatory categories, not creditworthiness. Approximately 90 percent of the balances with respect to authorized reinsurers are from reinsurers rated A (excellent) or better, as rated by A.M. Best, or A (strong) or better, as rated by Standard & Poors. Through March 31, 2005, these distribution percentages have not changed significantly. These ratings are measures of financial strength.
AIG maintains a reserve for estimated unrecoverable reinsurance, but it has been largely successful in its previous recovery efforts. At December 31, 2004 AIG had allowances for unrecoverable reinsurance approximating $400 million. At that date, AIG had no significant reinsurance recoverables due from any individual reinsurer that was financially troubled (e.g., liquidated, insolvent, in receivership or otherwise subject to formal or informal regulatory restriction).
AIGs Reinsurance Security Department conducts ongoing detailed assessments of the reinsurance markets and current and potential reinsurers, both foreign and domestic. Such assessments include, but are not limited to, identifying if a reinsurer is appropriately licensed and has sufficient financial capacity, and evaluating the local economic environment in which a foreign reinsurer operates. This department also reviews the nature of the risks ceded and the requirements for credit risk mitigants. For example, in AIGs treaty reinsurance contracts, AIG includes provisions that frequently require a reinsurer to post collateral when a referenced event occurs. Furthermore, AIG limits its unsecured exposure to reinsurers through the use of credit triggers, which include, but are not limited to, insurer financial strength rating downgrades, policyholder surplus declines at or below a certain predetermined level or a certain predetermined level of a reinsurance recoverable being reached. In addition, AIGs Credit Risk Committee reviews the credit limits for and concentrations with any one reinsurer.
AIG enters into intercompany reinsurance transactions, primarily through AIRCO, for its General Insurance and Life Insurance operations. AIG enters into these transactions as a sound and prudent business practice in order to maintain underwriting control and spread insurance risk among AIGs various legal entities. These reinsurance agreements have
28
At March 31, 2005, the consolidated general reinsurance assets of $18.30 billion include reinsurance recoverables for paid losses and loss expenses of $944 million, $14.24 billion with respect to the ceded reserve for losses and loss expenses, including ceded losses incurred but not reported (IBNR) (ceded reserves) and ceded reserve for unearned premiums of $3.12 billion. The ceded reserves represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate ceded losses including provisions for ceded IBNR and loss expenses. The methods used to determine such estimates and to establish the resulting ceded reserves are continually reviewed and updated by management. Any adjustments thereto are reflected in income currently. It is AIGs belief that the ceded reserves at March 31, 2005 were representative of the ultimate losses recoverable. In the future, as the ceded reserves continue to develop to ultimate amounts, the ultimate loss recoverable may be greater or less than the reserves currently ceded.
Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
The table below classifies as of March 31, 2005 the components of the General Insurance reserve for losses and loss expenses (loss reserves) with respect to major lines of business on a statutory basis*:
| (in millions) | ||||
|
Other liability occurrence
|
$16,835 | |||
|
Other liability claims made
|
10,654 | |||
|
Workers compensation
|
9,612 | |||
|
Auto liability
|
5,512 | |||
|
Property
|
4,223 | |||
|
International
|
3,608 | |||
|
Reinsurance
|
2,480 | |||
|
Medical malpractice
|
2,236 | |||
|
Aircraft
|
1,697 | |||
|
Products liability
|
1,384 | |||
|
Commercial multiple peril
|
1,154 | |||
|
Accident and health
|
1,097 | |||
|
Fidelity/ surety
|
960 | |||
|
Other
|
2,609 | |||
|
Total
|
$64,061 | |||
| * | Presented pursuant to statutory reporting requirements as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. |
These loss reserves represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including IBNR and loss expenses on a statutory accounting basis.
At March 31, 2005, General Insurance net loss reserves increased $2.08 billion from the prior year end to $49.83 billion. The net loss reserves represent loss reserves reduced by reinsurance recoverables, net of an allowance for unrecoverable reinsurance and the discount for future investment income. The table below classifies the components of the General Insurance net loss reserves by business unit as of March 31, 2005.
| (in millions) | ||||
|
DBG(a)
|
$34,383 | |||
|
Personal Lines(b)
|
2,314 | |||
|
Transatlantic
|
5,062 | |||
|
Mortgage Guaranty
|
353 | |||
|
Foreign General(c)
|
7,714 | |||
|
Total Net Loss Reserve
|
$49,826 | |||
| (a) | DBG loss reserves include approximately $3.37 billion ($3.98 billion before discount) related to business written by DBG but ceded to AIRCO and reported in AIRCOs statutory filings. |
| (b) | Personal Lines loss reserves include $700 million related to business ceded to DBG and reported in DBGs statutory filings. |
| (c) | Foreign General loss reserves include approximately $1.95 billion related to business reported in DBGs statutory filings. |
The DBG net loss reserve of $34.38 billion is comprised principally of the business of AIG subsidiaries participating in the American Home/National Union pool (11 companies) and the surplus lines pool (Lexington, Starr Excess Liability Insurance Company and Landmark Insurance Company).
Beginning in 1998, DBG ceded a quota share percentage of its other liability occurrence and products liability occurrence business to AIRCO. The quota share percentage ceded was 40 percent in 1998, 65 percent in 1999, 75 percent in 2000 and 2001, 50 percent in 2002 and 2003, 40 percent in 2004 and 35 percent in 2005 and covered all business written in these years for these lines by participants in the American Home/National Union pool. In 1998 the cession reflected only the other liability occurrence business, but in 1999 and subsequent years included products liability occurrence. AIRCOs loss reserves relating to these quota share cessions from DBG are recorded on a discounted basis. As of March 31, 2005, AIRCO carried a discount of approximately $610 million applicable to the $3.98 billion in undiscounted reserves it assumed from the American Home/National Union pool via this quota share cession. AIRCO also carries approximately $375 million in net loss reserves relating to Foreign General insurance business. These reserves are carried on an undiscounted basis.
Beginning in 1997, the Personal Lines division ceded a percentage of all business written by the companies participating in the personal lines pool to the American Home/National Union pool. As noted above, the total reserves carried by participants in the American Home/National Union pool relating to this cession amounted to $700 million as of March 31, 2005.
The companies participating in the American Home/National Union pool have maintained a participation in the business written by AIU for decades. As of March 31, 2005, these AIU reserves carried by participants in the American Home/National Union pool amounted to approximately
29
At March 31, 2005, AIGs overall General Insurance net loss reserves reflects a loss reserve discount of $1.56 billion, including tabular and non-tabular calculations. The tabular workers compensation discount is calculated using a 3.5 percent interest rate and the 1979-81 Decennial Mortality Table. The non-tabular workers compensation discount is calculated separately for companies domiciled in New York and Pennsylvania, and follows the statutory regulations for each state. For New York companies, the discount is based on a five percent interest rate and the companies own payout patterns. For Pennsylvania companies, the statute has specified discount factors for accident years 2001 and prior, which are based on a six percent interest rate and an industry payout pattern. For accident years 2002 and subsequent, the discount is based on the yield of U.S. Treasury securities ranging from one to twenty years and the companys own payout pattern, with the future expected payment for each year using the interest rate associated with the corresponding Treasury security yield for that time period. The discount is comprised of the following: $401 million tabular discount for workers compensation in DBG; $544 million non-tabular discount for workers compensation in DBG; and, $610 million non-tabular discount for other liability occurrence and products liability occurrence in AIRCO. The total undiscounted workers compensation loss reserve carried by DBG is approximately $6.9 billion as of March 31, 2005. The other liability occurrence and products liability occurrence business in AIRCO that is assumed from DBG is discounted using a 5.5 percent interest rate and the DBG payout pattern for this business. The undiscounted reserves assumed by AIRCO from DBG totaled approximately $3.98 billion at March 31, 2005.
The methods used to determine loss reserve estimates and to establish the resulting reserves are continually reviewed and updated by management. Any adjustments resulting therefrom are reflected in operating income currently. It is managements belief that the General Insurance net loss reserves are adequate to cover all General Insurance net losses and loss expenses as at March 31, 2005. While AIG annually reviews the adequacy of established loss reserves, there can be no assurance that AIGs ultimate loss reserves will not adversely develop and materially exceed AIGs loss reserves as of March 31, 2005. In the opinion of management, such adverse development and resulting increase in reserves is not likely to have a material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated financial position, although it could have a material adverse effect on AIGs consolidated results of operations for an individual reporting period.
AIG has announced that it will commission a comprehensive independent actuarial review of the loss reserves of its principal property-casualty insurance operations. The review is expected to be completed before AIG reports its full year 2005 financial results.
The table below presents the reconciliation of net loss reserves for the first three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 as follows:
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
Net reserve for losses and loss expenses at
beginning of year
|
$ | 47,747 | $ | 36,738 | |||||
|
Foreign exchange effect
|
28 | 222 | |||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred:
|
|||||||||
|
Current year
|
7,032 | 6,340 | |||||||
|
Prior years*
|
240 | 368 | |||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred
|
7,272 | 6,708 | |||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid
|
5,221 | 4,645 | |||||||
|
Net reserve for losses and loss expenses at end
of period
|
$ | 49,826 | $ | 39,023 | |||||
| * | Includes accretion of discount of $97 million in the first three months of 2005 and $94 million in the first three months of 2004. Additionally, includes $55 million in the first three months of 2005 and $45 million in the first three months of 2004 for the general reinsurance operations of Transatlantic, and $118 million of additional losses incurred in the first three months of 2005 resulting from increased labor and material costs related to the 2004 Florida hurricanes. |
In a very broad sense, the General Insurance loss reserves can be categorized into two distinct groups. One group is long-tail casualty lines of business which include excess and umbrella liability, D&O, professional liability, medical malpractice, workers compensation, general liability, products liability, and related classes. The other group is short-tail lines of business consisting principally of property lines, personal lines and certain classes of casualty lines.
For operations writing short-tail coverages, such as property coverages, the process of recording quarterly loss reserve changes is geared toward maintaining an appropriate reserve level for the outstanding exposure, rather than determining an expected loss ratio for current business. For example, the IBNR reserve required for a class of property business might be expected to approximate 20 percent of the latest years earned premiums, and this level of reserve would be maintained regardless of the loss ratio emerging in the current quarter. The 20 percent factor is adjusted to reflect changes in rate levels, loss reporting patterns, known exposures to large unreported losses, or other factors affecting the particular class of business.
30
Estimation of ultimate net losses and loss expenses (net losses) for long-tail casualty lines of business is a complex process and depends on a number of factors, including the line and volume of the business involved. Experience in the more recent accident years of long-tail casualty lines shows limited statistical credibility in reported net losses because a relatively low proportion of net losses would be reported claims and expenses and an even smaller proportion would be net losses paid. Therefore, IBNR would constitute a relatively high proportion of net losses.
AIGs carried net long-tail loss reserves are tested using loss trend factors that AIG considers most appropriate for each class of business. A variety of actuarial methods and assumptions is normally employed to estimate net losses for long-tail casualty lines. These methods ordinarily involve the use of loss trend factors intended to reflect the estimated annual growth in loss costs from one accident year to the next. For the majority of long-tail casualty lines, net loss trend factors approximated five percent. Loss trend factors reflect many items including changes in claims handling, exposure and policy forms; current and future estimates of monetary inflation and social inflation and increases in litigation and awards. These factors are periodically reviewed and subsequently adjusted, as appropriate, to reflect emerging trends which are based upon past loss experience. Thus, many factors are implicitly considered in estimating the year to year growth in loss costs recognized.
A number of actuarial assumptions are made in the review of reserves for each line of business. For longer tail lines of business, actuarial assumptions generally are made with respect to the following:
| | Loss trend factors which are used to establish expected loss ratios for subsequent accident years based on the projected loss ratio for prior accident years. |
| | Expected loss ratios for the latest accident year (i.e., accident year 2004 for the year end 2004 loss reserve analysis) and, in some cases, for accident years prior to the latest accident year. The expected loss ratio generally reflects the projected loss ratio from prior accident years, adjusted for the loss trend (see above) and the effect of rate changes and other quantifiable factors. For low-frequency, high-severity classes such as excess casualty and D&O, expected loss ratios generally are utilized for at least the three most recent accident years. |
| | Loss development factors which are used to project the reported losses for each accident year to an ultimate basis. |
AIG records quarterly changes in loss reserves for each of its many General Insurance profit centers. The overall change in AIGs loss reserves is based on the sum of these profit center level changes. For most profit centers which write longer tail classes of casualty coverage, the process of recording quarterly loss reserve changes involves determining the estimated current loss ratio for each class of coverage. This loss ratio is multiplied by the current quarters net earned premium for that class of coverage to determine the quarters total estimated net incurred loss and loss expense. The change in loss reserves for the quarter for each class is thus the difference between the net incurred loss and loss expense, estimated as described above, and the net paid losses and loss expenses in the quarter.
The process of determining the current loss ratio for each class or business segment begins in the profit centers in the latter part of the previous year. The loss ratios determined for each profit center are based on a variety of factors. These include, but are not limited to, the following considerations: prior accident year and policy year loss ratios; actual and anticipated rate changes; actual and anticipated changes in coverage, reinsurance, or mix of business; actual and anticipated changes in external factors affecting results, such as trends in loss costs or in the legal and claims environment. Each profit centers loss ratio for the following year is subject to review by the profit centers management, by actuarial and accounting staffs, and ultimately by senior management. At the close of each quarter, the assumptions underlying the loss ratios are reviewed to determine if the loss ratios based thereon remain appropriate. This process includes a review of the actual claims experience in the quarter, actual rate changes achieved, actual changes in coverage, reinsurance or mix of business, and changes in certain other factors that may affect the loss ratio. When this review suggests that the initially determined loss ratio is no longer appropriate, the loss ratio for current business would be changed to reflect the revised assumptions.
A comprehensive annual loss reserve review is conducted in the fourth quarter of each year for each AIG General Insurance subsidiary. These reviews are conducted in full detail for each class or line of business for each subsidiary, and thus consist of literally hundreds of individual analyses. The purpose of these reviews is to confirm the reasonableness of the reserves carried by each of the individual subsidiaries, and thereby of AIGs overall carried reserves. The reserve analysis for each business class is performed by the actuarial personnel who are most familiar with that class of business. In completing these detailed actuarial reserve analyses, the actuaries are required to make numerous assumptions, including for example the selection of loss development factors and loss cost trend factors. They are also required to determine and select the most appropriate actuarial method(s) to employ for each business class. Additionally, they must determine the appropriate segmentation of data or segments from which the adequacy of the reserves can be most accurately tested. In the course of these detailed reserve reviews for each business segment, a point estimate of the loss reserve is generally determined. The sum of these point estimates for each of the individual business classes for each subsidiary provides an overall actuarial point estimate of the loss reserve for that subsidiary. The overall actuarial point estimate is compared to the sub-
31
With respect to the 2004 year-end actuarial loss reserve analysis for DBG, the actuaries continued to utilize the modified assumptions which gave additional weight to actual loss development from the more recent years, as identified during the 2002 and 2003 analysis, with appropriate adjustments to account for the additional year of loss experience which emerged in 2004. Although the actuaries continued to use actuarial assumptions that rely on expected loss ratios based on the results of prior accident years, the expected loss ratio assumptions used continue to give far greater weight to the more recent accident year experience than was the case in the prior year-end assumptions. For example, for the excess casualty lead umbrella class of business, 100 percent weight was given to the experience of accident years 1998-2001, with no weight given to the more favorable experience of accident years prior to 1998.
AIGs annual loss reserve review does not calculate a range of loss reserve estimates. Because a large portion of the loss reserves from AIGs General Insurance business relates to long-tail casualty lines driven by severity rather than frequency of claims, such as excess casualty and D&O, developing a range around loss reserve estimates would not be meaningful. An estimate is calculated which AIGs actuaries believe provides a reasonable estimate of the required reserve. This amount is then evaluated against actual carried reserves.
There is potential for significant variation in the development of loss reserves, particularly for long-tail casualty classes of business such as excess casualty, when actual costs differ from the assumptions used to test the reserves. Such assumptions include those made for loss trend factors and loss development factors, as described earlier. Set forth below is a sensitivity analysis demonstrating the estimated effect on the loss reserve position of alternative loss trend or loss development factor assumptions as compared to those actually used to test the carried reserves.
For the excess casualty class of business the assumed loss cost trend was five percent. Thus, in establishing the expected loss ratios for accident years 2002 through 2004, the loss costs from accident years 1998 through 2001 were trended by this five percent factor per annum. A five percent change in the assumed loss cost trend from each accident year to the next would cause approximately a $600 million change (either positively or negatively) to the net loss and loss expense reserve for this business. For the D&O and related management liability classes of business the assumed loss cost trend was four percent. Thus, in establishing the expected loss ratios for accident years 2002 through 2004, the loss costs from accident years 1997 through 2001 were trended by this four percent factor per annum. A five percent change in this assumed loss cost trend would cause approximately a $500 million change (either positively or negatively) to the net loss and loss expense reserve for such business. For healthcare liability business, including hospitals and other healthcare exposures, a five percent change in the assumed loss cost trend would cause approximately a $150 million change (either positively or negatively) to the loss and loss expense reserve for this business. Actual loss cost trends in the early 1990s were negative for these classes, whereas in the late 1990s loss costs trends ran well into the double digits for each of these three classes. The sharp increase in loss costs in the late 1990s was thus much greater than the five percent changes cited above, and caused significant increases in the overall loss reserve needs for these classes. While changes in the loss cost trend assumptions can have a significant effect on the reserve needs for other smaller classes of liability business, the potential effect of these changes on AIGs overall carried reserves would be much less than for the classes noted above.
For the excess casualty class, if future loss development factors differed by five percent from those utilized in the year-end 2004 loss reserve review, there would be approximately a $450 million change (either positively or negatively) to the overall AIG loss reserve position. The comparable effect on the D&O and related management liability classes would be approximately $200 million (either positively or negatively) if future loss development factors differed by five percent from those utilized in the year-end 2004 loss reserve review. For healthcare liability classes, the effect would be approximately $125 million (either positively or negatively). For workers compensation reserves, the effect of a five percent deviation from the loss development factors utilized in the year-end 2004 reserve reviews would be approximately $750 million (either positively or negatively). Because loss development factors for this class have shown less volatility than higher severity classes such as excess casualty, however, actual changes in loss development factors are expected to be less than five percent. There is some degree of volatility in loss development patterns for other longer tail liability classes as well. However, the potential effect on AIGs reserves would be much less than for the classes cited above.
The calculations of the effect of the five percent change in loss development factors are made by selecting the stage of accident year development where it is believed reasonable for such a deviation to occur. For example, for workers compen-
32
AIG management believes that using a five percent change in the assumptions for loss cost trends and loss development factors provides a reasonable benchmark for a sensitivity analysis of the reserves of AIGs most significant lines of general insurance business. For excess casualty business, both the loss cost trend and the loss development factor assumptions are critical. Generally, actual historical loss development factors are used to project future loss development. However, there can be no assurance that future loss development patterns will be the same as in the past. Moreover, as excess casualty is a long-tail class of business, any deviation in loss cost trends or in loss development factors might not be discernible for an extended period of time subsequent to the recording of the initial loss reserve estimates for any accident year. Thus, there is the potential for the reserves with respect to a number of accident years to be significantly affected by changes in the loss cost trends or loss development factors that were initially relied upon in setting the reserves. These changes in loss trends or loss development factors could be attributable to changes in inflation or in the judicial environment, or in other social or economic phenomena affecting claims. For example, during the lengthy periods during which losses develop for excess casualty, actual changes in loss costs from one accident year to the next have ranged from negative values to double-digit amounts. Thus, there is the potential for significant volatility in loss costs for excess casualty and, although five percent is considered a reasonable benchmark for sensitivity analysis for this business, there is the potential for variations far greater than this amount (either positively or negatively). Likewise, in the judgment of AIGs actuaries, five percent is considered an appropriate benchmark for sensitivity analysis with respect to the loss development factor assumptions used to test the reserves. It should be noted that the loss cost trend factor for excess casualty was reduced to five percent in the year-end 2004 loss reserve review compared to the 7.5 percent loss trend factor used in the 2003 review for excess casualty. This reduction was made by AIGs actuaries in response to a significant favorable loss trend that had emerged from accident year 2000 to 2001. This favorable trend appears to be continuing in accident years 2002 and 2003, although these accident years are still immature.
For D&O and related management liability classes of business, the loss cost trend assumption is critical. The loss development factor assumption is important but less critical than for excess casualty. As this coverage is written on a claims-made basis, claims for a given accident year are all reported within that year. Actual changes in loss costs from one accident year to the next in the 1990s ranged from double digit negative values for several accident years in the early 1990s to nearly 50 percent per year for the period from accident year 1996 to accident year 1999. Thus, there is the potential for extreme volatility in loss costs for this business and, although five percent is considered a reasonable benchmark for sensitivity analysis, there is the potential for variations far greater than this amount (either positively or negatively). Five percent is also considered an appropriate benchmark for sensitivity analysis with respect to the loss development factor assumptions used to test the reserves for these classes. However, as noted above, the effect of such a deviation is less than that of a similar deviation in loss cost trends. It should be noted that the loss cost trend factor for D&O and related management liability classes was reduced to four percent in the year end 2004 loss reserve reviews compared to six percent in the 2003 review. This reduction was made by AIGs actuaries in response to a relative stabilization in loss costs from accident year 1999 to 2001 following the period of sharp increases in loss costs through 1999. The stabilization in loss costs appears to be continuing in accident years 2002 and 2003, although these accident years are still immature.
For healthcare liability classes, both the loss cost trend and the loss development factor assumptions are critical. The nature of the potential volatility would be analogous to that described above for the excess casualty business. However, AIGs volume of business in the healthcare classes is much smaller than for excess casualty, hence the potential effect on AIGs overall reserves is smaller for these classes than for excess casualty. AIGs healthcare liability business includes both primary and excess exposures.
For workers compensation, the loss development factor assumptions are important. Generally, AIGs actual historical workers compensation loss development would be expected to provide a reasonably accurate predictor of future loss development. A five percent sensitivity indicator for workers compensation would thus be considered to be toward the high end of potential deviations for this class of business. AIGs workers compensation reserves include a small portion relating to excess workers compensation coverage. The analysis applicable to excess casualty would apply to these reserves. However, the volume of such business is de minimis compared to the volume of excess casualty. The loss cost trend assumption for workers compensation is not believed to be material with respect to AIGs loss reserves other than for that portion representing excess workers compensation. This is primarily because AIGs actuaries are generally able to use loss development projections for all but the most recent accident years reserves, so there is limited need to rely on loss cost trend assumptions for workers compensation business.
For casualty business other than the classes noted above, there is generally some potential for deviation in both the loss cost trend and loss development factor selections. However,
33
The comprehensive annual loss reserve review process results in an accumulation of point estimates for AIGs General Insurance business. The loss reserve carried at year-end 2004 for AIGs General Insurance business was approximately equal to the aggregate reserve indicated by the actuarial point estimates. This represents a relative improvement of approximately two percent from AIGs position as of December 31, 2003. This comparison excludes the reserves relating to asbestos and environmental exposures, which are determined using different methodologies, as described below.
Asbestos and Environmental Reserves
The estimation of loss reserves relating to asbestos and environmental claims on insurance policies written many years ago is subject to greater uncertainty than other types of claims due to inconsistent court decisions as well as judicial interpretations and legislative actions that in some cases have tended to broaden coverage beyond the original intent of such policies and in others have expanded theories of liability. The insurance industry as a whole is engaged in extensive litigation over these coverage and liability issues and is thus confronted with a continuing uncertainty in its efforts to quantify these exposures.
AIG continues to receive claims asserting injuries from toxic waste, hazardous substances, and other environmental pollutants and alleged damages to cover the cleanup costs of hazardous waste dump sites, referred to collectively as environmental claims, and indemnity claims asserting injuries from asbestos.
The vast majority of these asbestos and environmental claims emanate from policies written in 1984 and prior years. Commencing in 1985, standard policies contained an absolute exclusion for pollution related damage and an absolute asbestos exclusion was also implemented. However, AIG currently underwrites environmental impairment liability insurance on a claims-made basis and has excluded such claims from the analysis herein.
The majority of AIGs exposures for asbestos and environmental claims are excess casualty coverages, not primary coverages. Thus, the litigation costs are treated in the same manner as indemnity reserves. That is, litigation expenses are included within the limits of the liability AIG incurs. Individual significant claim liabilities, where future litigation costs are reasonably determinable, are established on a case basis.
Estimation of asbestos and environmental claims loss reserves is a subjective process and reserves for asbestos and environmental claims cannot be estimated using conventional reserving techniques such as those that rely on historical accident year loss development factors.
Significant factors which affect the trends that influence the asbestos and environmental claims estimation process are the inconsistent court resolutions and judicial interpretations which broaden the intent of the policies and scope of coverage. The current case law can be characterized as still evolving, and there is little likelihood that any firm direction will develop in the near future. Additionally, the exposures for cleanup costs of hazardous waste dump sites involve issues such as allocation of responsibility among potentially responsible parties and the governments refusal to release parties.
Due to this uncertainty, it is not possible to determine the future development of asbestos and environmental claims with the same degree of reliability as with other types of claims. Such future development will be affected by the extent to which courts continue to expand the intent of the policies and the scope of the coverage, as they have in the past, as well as by the changes in Superfund and waste dump site coverage issues. If the asbestos and environmental reserves develop deficiently, such deficiency would have an adverse effect on AIGs future results of operations. AIG does not discount asbestos and environmental reserves.
With respect to known asbestos and environmental claims, AIG established over a decade ago specialized toxic tort and environmental claims units, which investigate and adjust all such asbestos and environmental claims. These units evaluate these asbestos and environmental claims utilizing a claim-by-claim approach that involves a detailed review of individual policy terms and exposures. Because each policyholder presents different liability and coverage issues, AIG generally evaluates exposure on a policy-by-policy basis, considering a variety of factors such as known facts, current law, jurisdiction, policy language and other factors that are unique to each policy. Quantitative techniques have to be supplemented by subjective considerations including management judgment. Each claim is reviewed at least semi-annually utilizing the aforementioned approach and adjusted as necessary to reflect the current information.
In both the specialized and dedicated asbestos and environmental claims units, AIG actively manages and pursues early settlement with respect to these claims in an attempt to mitigate its exposure to the unpredictable development of these claims. AIG attempts to mitigate its known long-tail environmental exposures by utilizing a combination of proactive claim-handling techniques including policy buybacks, complete environmental releases, compromise settlements, and, where indicated, litigation.
With respect to asbestos claims handling, AIGs specialized claims staff operates to mitigate losses through proactive handling, supervision and resolution of asbestos cases. Thus, while AIG has resolved all claims with respect to miners and major manufacturers (Tier One), its claims staff continues to operate under the same proactive philosophy to resolve claims involving accounts with products containing asbestos
34
In order to evaluate the overall reasonableness of the asbestos and environmental reserves established using the claim-by-claim approach as described above, AIG uses two methods, the market share method and the frequency/severity or report year method.
The market share method produces indicated asbestos and environmental reserve needs by applying the appropriate AIG market share to estimated potential industry ultimate loss and loss expenses based on the latest estimates from A.M. Best and Tillinghast. The market share method is a series of tests. Six estimates of potential industry ultimate losses for asbestos and environmental claims are tested. Additionally, a second series of tests are performed, using estimated industry unpaid losses, instead of industry ultimate losses. The market share tests are also performed using estimates of AIGs market share. The reason AIGs market share is an estimate is that there are assumptions as to which years and classes of business the asbestos and environmental exposure applies. For example, commercial multiple peril business is included in the market share calculation in some, but not all, of the scenarios.
AIGs estimate of the carried net asbestos and environmental reserves were approximately $50 million greater than the mean indication of the outcomes of market share testing. However, the market share method does not give weight to AIGs actual asbestos and environmental loss experience.
The frequency/severity or report year approach, is also a series of tests which are performed separately for asbestos and for environmental exposures. For asbestos, these tests project the expected losses to be reported over the next twenty years, i.e. from 2005 through 2024, based on the actual losses reported through 2004 and the expected future loss emergence for these claims. Three scenarios are tested, with a series of assumptions ranging from more optimistic to more conservative. In the first scenario, all carried asbestos case reserves, as determined above using the claim-by-claim approach, are assumed to be within ten percent of their ultimate settlement value.
The second scenario relies on an actuarial projection of report year developments for asbestos claims reported from 1993 to the present to estimate case reserve adequacy as of year-end 2004. The third scenario also relies on an actuarial projection of report year claims for asbestos, but reflects claims reported from 1989 to the present to estimate case reserve adequacy as of year-end 2004. As of year-end 2004, the results of the second and third scenarios varied significantly. In the second scenario, case reserves were indicated to be at slightly less than 60 percent of the ultimate settlement value at year-end 2004, whereas in the third scenario they were indicated to be at less than 25 percent of ultimate settlement value.
Based on the results of the prior report years for each of the three scenarios described above, the report year approach then projects forward to the year 2024 the expected future report year losses, based on AIGs estimate of reasonable loss trend assumptions.
These calculations are performed on losses gross of reinsurance. The IBNR (including a provision for development of reported claims) on a net basis is based on applying a factor reflecting the expected ratio of net losses to gross losses for future loss emergence.
For environmental claims, an analogous series of frequency/severity tests are produced. In general, the case reserve adequacy assumptions are narrower, as case reserve adequacy is indicated within approximately 25 percent of adequacy in all scenarios tested. Environmental claims from future report years (i.e. IBNR) are projected out ten years, i.e. through the year 2014.
As of year-end 2004, the range of outcomes from the scenarios tested for environmental ranged from $20 million below AIGs carried reserve to approximately $200 million greater than AIGs carried reserve. The range of outcomes for asbestos was greater. The indication from the first scenario, as described above, was approximately $140 million below AIGs carried reserve. The indication from the second scenario was approximately $10 million below AIGs carried reserves. The indication from the third scenario was approximately $650 million greater than AIGs carried reserve.
At year-end 2004, AIG considered a number of factors and recent experience to determine the appropriate reserve that should be carried for these claims, including the following:
1. Actual calendar experience for past ten years, five years, three years, and one year. AIG experienced consistent adverse development on its carried asbestos and environmental reserves over the years. The net carried reserves from ten years ago ran off $1.45 billion deficient; from five years ago $430 million deficient; from three years ago $350 million deficient; and from one year ago $150 million deficient. Thus the reserves consistently produced adverse development per year, with no evidence of recent improvement. These figures are prior to the year-end 2004 reserve increase.
On a gross of reinsurance basis, the adverse developments were analogous, with approximately $450 million in the latest year and $4.8 billion over the past ten years.
2. Input from claims officers on latest year events. DBGs claims officers observed an increasing trend toward adverse claims experience in the layers underlying its excess
35
3. Deterioration in Report Year claims experience. As noted above, the Scenario Two and Scenario Three indications for case reserve adequacy in AIGs 2004 year-end actuarial report indicated an increasing deficiency in carried case reserves for asbestos. This was the result of continued adverse development on prior year case reserves and suggests future loss development will be at higher levels than previously indicated. As a result, the Scenario Three indicated reserve deficiency increased from approximately $480 million in the 2003 year-end reserve review to a deficiency of approximately $650 million in the year-end 2004 review. Furthermore, the year-end 2004 review utilized data evaluated as of June 30, 2004. An update to this data was produced (for all large claims) with claims evaluated as of March 31, 2005, i.e., an additional nine months of data beyond the year-end 2004 reserve study. This update showed that report year losses in the nine months from June 2004 to March 2005 produced additional adverse loss development. In fact, more loss development was observed during these nine months than for the twelve months from the June 2003 through June 2004 period. Thus, both the latest years data used in the year-end 2004 actuarial study and the nine months of additional data subsequent to that study indicated the experience was deteriorating beyond what was expected at year-end 2003.
4. Survival Ratios. AIGs year-end 2004 survival ratio for asbestos was 5.7 and 5.2 on a gross and a net basis, respectively, prior to the year-end 2004 reserve increase. AIGs year-end 2004 survival ratio for environmental was 4.8 and 3.8 on a gross and a net basis, respectively, prior to the year-end 2004 reserve increase. These survival ratios indicated AIGs carried reserves were sufficient to fund four to five years of payments for these claims, assuming payment levels remain stable. Based on the latest two years of actual paid losses, AIG did not expect its losses to decline as quickly as these ratios imply.
5. Industry experience. The industry has experienced a significant wave of adverse development for asbestos since 2001, with little, if any, signs of recent improvement. Furthermore, the litigation environment has become increasingly adverse.
6. Reinsurance Recoverable. Although AIG has been successful in collecting the vast majority of its reinsurance on asbestos and environmental claims, the greater the future losses and the longer the exposure persists, the greater the likelihood of increased problems in collecting reinsurance. Thus, the continued adverse developments and lack of any signs that loss experience is beginning to diminish increases the risk of uncollectible reinsurance.
After considering all of these factors, particularly its recent experience, AIG determined that its carried reserve for asbestos and environmental claims would be best estimated by scenario three described above. This resulted in a $650 million increase in net asbestos reserves, and a $200 million increase in net environmental reserves. The corresponding increases in gross reserves were $1.2 billion for asbestos and $250 million for environmental reserves.
Significant uncertainty remains as to AIGs ultimate liability relating to asbestos and environmental claims. This uncertainty is due to several factors including:
| | The long latency period between asbestos exposure and disease manifestation and the resulting potential for involvement of multiple policy periods for individual claims; |
| | The increase in the volume of claims by currently unimpaired plaintiffs; |
| | Claims filed under the non-aggregate premises or operations section of general liability policies; |
| | The number of insureds seeking bankruptcy protection and the effect of prepackaged bankruptcies; |
| | Diverging legal interpretations; |
| | With respect to environmental claims, the difficulty in estimating the allocation of remediation cost among various parties; and |
| | The possibility of federal legislation that would address the asbestos and environmental issue. |
36
A summary of reserve activity, including estimates for applicable IBNR, relating to asbestos and environmental claims separately and combined for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 follows:
| 2005 | 2004 | |||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
|
Asbestos:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 2,559 | $ | 1,060 | $ | 1,235 | $ | 386 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
78 | 24 | 49 | 20 | ||||||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(91 | ) | (29 | ) | (109 | ) | (38 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 2,546 | $ | 1,055 | $ | 1,175 | $ | 368 | ||||||||
|
Environmental:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 974 | $ | 451 | $ | 789 | $ | 283 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
(13 | ) | (3 | ) | | (10 | ) | |||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(30 | ) | (16 | ) | (33 | ) | (13 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 931 | $ | 432 | $ | 756 | $ | 260 | ||||||||
|
Combined:
|
||||||||||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at beginning
of year
|
$ | 3,533 | $ | 1,511 | $ | 2,024 | $ | 669 | ||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses incurred*
|
65 | 21 | 49 | 10 | ||||||||||||
|
Losses and loss expenses paid*
|
(121 | ) | (45 | ) | (142 | ) | (51 | ) | ||||||||
|
Reserve for losses and loss expenses at end of
period
|
$ | 3,477 | $ | 1,487 | $ | 1,931 | $ | 628 | ||||||||
| * | All amounts pertain to policies underwritten in prior years. |
The gross and net IBNR included in the reserve for losses and loss expenses, relating to asbestos and environmental claims separately and combined, at March 31, 2005 and 2004 were estimated as follows:
| 2005 | 2004 | |||||||||||||||
| (in millions) | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
|
Asbestos
|
$ | 1,864 | $ | 786 | $ | 686 | $ | 196 | ||||||||
|
Environmental
|
554 | 248 | 342 | 81 | ||||||||||||
|
Combined
|
$ | 2,418 | $ | 1,034 | $ | 1,028 | $ | 277 | ||||||||
A summary of asbestos and environmental claims count activity for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 was as follows:
| 2005 | 2004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Asbestos | Environmental | Combined | Asbestos | Environmental | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
Claims at beginning of year
|
7,575 | 8,216 | 15,791 | 7,474 | 8,852 | 16,326 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Claims during year:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Opened
|
259 | 759 | 1,018 | 201 | 967 | 1,168 | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Settled
|
(19 | ) | (52 | ) | (71 | ) | (60 | ) | (50 | ) | (110 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Dismissed or otherwise resolved
|
(130 | ) | (879 | ) | (1,009 | ) | (229 | ) | (856 | ) | (1,085 | ) | |||||||||||||
|
Claims at end of period
|
7,685 | 8,044 | 15,729 | 7,386 | 8,913 | 16,299 | |||||||||||||||||||
The table below presents AIGs survival ratios for asbestos and environmental claims at March 31, 2005 and 2004. The survival ratio is derived by dividing the current carried loss reserve by the average payments for the three most recent calendar years for these claims. Therefore, the survival ratio is a simplistic measure estimating the number of years it would be before the current ending loss reserves for these claims would be paid off using recent year average payments. Many factors, such as aggressive settlement procedures, mix of business and level of coverage provided, have a significant effect on the amount of asbestos and environmental reserves and payments and the resultant survival ratio. Thus, caution should be exercised in attempting to determine reserve adequacy for these claims based simply on this survival ratio.
AIGs survival ratios for asbestos and environmental claims, separately and combined were based upon a three-year average payment. These ratios at March 31, 2005 and 2004 were as follows:
| Gross | Net | ||||||||
|
2005
|
|||||||||
|
Survival ratios:
|
|||||||||
|
Asbestos
|
9.8 | 12.7 | |||||||
|
Environmental
|
6.3 | 6.7 | |||||||
|
Combined
|
8.5 | 10.1 | |||||||
|
2004
|
|||||||||
|
Survival ratios:
|
|||||||||
|
Asbestos
|
4.4 | 4.4 | |||||||
|
Environmental
|
4.9 | 4.0 | |||||||
|
Combined
|
4.6 | 4.3 | |||||||
37
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services subsidiaries offer a wide range of insurance and retirement savings products both domestically and abroad. Insurance-oriented products consist of individual and group life, payout annuities, endowment and accident and health policies. Retirement savings products consist generally of fixed and variable annuities. (See also Note 2 of Notes to Financial Statements.)
Domestically, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations offer a broad range of protection products, including life insurance, group life and health products, including disability income products and payout annuities, which include single premium immediate annuities, structured settlements and terminal funding annuities. Home service operations include an array of life insurance, accident and health, and annuity products sold through career agents. In addition, home service includes a small block of run-off property and casualty coverage. Retirement services include group retirement products, individual fixed and variable annuities sold through banks, broker dealers and exclusive sales representatives, and annuity runoff operations which include previously-acquired closed blocks and other fixed and variable annuities largely sold through distribution relationships that have been discontinued.
Overseas, AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations include insurance and investment-oriented products such as whole and term life investment linked, universal life and endowments, personal accident and health products, group products including pension, life and health, and fixed and variable annuities.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations presented on a major product basis for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 were as follows:
| (in millions) | 2005 | 2004 | |||||||
|
GAAP premiums:
|
|||||||||
|
Domestic Life:
|
|||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
$ | 512 | $ | 430 | |||||
|
Home service
|
204 | 206 | |||||||
|
Group life/health
|
251 | 268 | |||||||
|
Payout annuities(a)
|
397 | 374 | |||||||
|
Total
|
1,364 | 1,278 | |||||||
|
Domestic Retirement Services:
|
|||||||||
|
Group retirement products
|
84 | 76 | |||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
20 | 13 | |||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
112 | 100 | |||||||
|
Individual annuities-runoff(b)
|
23 | 20 | |||||||
|
Total
|
239 | 209 | |||||||
|
Total Domestic
|
1,603 | 1,487 | |||||||
|
Foreign Life:
|
|||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
4,093 | 3,860 | |||||||
|
Personal accident & health
|
1,221 | 1,029 | |||||||
|
Group products
|
517 | 415 | |||||||
|
Total
|
5,831 | 5,304 | |||||||
|
Foreign Retirement Services:
|
|||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
84 | 85 | |||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
26 | 13 | |||||||
|
Total
|
110 | 98 | |||||||
|
Total Foreign
|
5,941 | 5,402 | |||||||
|
Total GAAP premiums
|
$ | 7,544 | $ | 6,889 | |||||
|
Net investment income:
|
|||||||||
|
Domestic Life:
|
|||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
$ | 333 | $ | 341 | |||||
|
Home service
|
146 | 151 | |||||||
|
Group life/health
|
32 | 31 | |||||||
|
Payout annuities
|
210 | 199 | |||||||
|
Total
|
721 | 722 | |||||||
|
Domestic Retirement Services:
|
|||||||||
|
Group retirement products
|
549 | 542 | |||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
827 | 758 | |||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
58 | 55 | |||||||
|
Individual annuities-runoff(b)
|
254 | 276 | |||||||
|
Total
|
1,688 | 1,631 | |||||||
|
Total Domestic
|
2,409 | 2,353 | |||||||
|
Foreign Life:
|
|||||||||
|
Life insurance
|
1,160 | 1,004 | |||||||
|
Personal accident & health
|
54 | 42 | |||||||
|
Group products
|
131 | 105 | |||||||
|
Intercompany adjustments
|
(8 | ) | (4 | ) | |||||
|
Total
|
1,337 | 1,147 | |||||||
|
Foreign Retirement Services:
|
|||||||||
|
Individual fixed annuities
|
377 | 199 | |||||||
|
Individual variable annuities
|
136 | 79 | |||||||
|
Total
|
513 | 278 | |||||||
|
Total Foreign
|
1,850 | 1,425 | |||||||
|
Total net investment income
|
$ | 4,259 | $ | 3,778 | |||||
|
Pricing net investment gains(c)
|
81 | 78 | |||||||
|
Realized capital gains (losses)
|
(64 | ) | (222 | ) | |||||
|
Total realized gains (losses)(c)
|
17 | (144 | ) | ||||||
|
Total operating income
|
$ | 2,223 | $ | 1,785 | |||||
|
Life insurance in-force(d):
|
|||||||||
|
Domestic
|
$ | 760,104 | $ | 772,251 | |||||
|
Foreign
|
1,084,529 | 1,085,843 | |||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 1,844,633 | $ | 1,858,094 | |||||
| (a) | Includes structured settlements, single premium immediate annuities and terminal funding annuities. |
| (b) | Represents runoff annuity business sold through discontinued distribution relationships. |
| (c) | For purposes of this presentation, pricing net investment gains are segregated as a component of total realized gains (losses). They represent certain amounts of realized capital gains where gains are an inherent element in pricing certain life products in some foreign countries. |
| (d) | Amounts presented were as at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004. The decline in Domestic in-force was due to the non-renewal of a single large group life case of $36 billion. Foreign in-force includes Tata AIG Life Insurance Company, Ltd. |
AIGs Life Insurance & Retirement Services subsidiaries report their operations through the following operating units: Domestic Life AIG American General, including American
38
Life Insurance & Retirement Services Results
The increase in operating income in the first three months of 2005 when compared to the same period of 2004 was caused in part by strong growth overseas, and realized capital gains in 2005 rather than the realized capital losses in 2004.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums grew in the first three months of 2005 when compared with the same period in 2004. AIGs Domestic Life operations had continued strong growth in term and universal life sales and good performance from the independent distribution channels. Payout annuities also had strong growth. The domestic group business is below AIGs growth standards, largely because several accounts where pricing was unacceptable were not renewed and loss experience was higher than anticipated. Restructuring efforts in this business are focused on new product introductions, cross selling and other growth strategies. AGLA, the home service business, is diversifying product offerings, enhancing the capabilities and quality of the sales force and broadening the markets served beyond those historically serviced in an effort to accelerate growth.
Domestic Retirement Services businesses faced a challenging environment in the first three months of 2005, as deposits declined approximately nine percent compared to the same period in 2004 and operating income for the retirement services businesses remained relatively flat when compared with the first three months of 2004. The sales environment for the first three months of 2005 for individual variable annuities was unfavorably affected by the combination of weak equity market performance and the cumulative effect of more restrictive regulatory compliance procedures imposed by the broker-dealer and bank distributors in recent periods.
AIGs domestic fixed annuity business has been affected by a significant flattening of the treasury yield curve over the past several quarters, which has affected sales as yields on competing products, such as bank CDs, approach those available on AIGs fixed annuities. There are some indications that negative press coverage of AIG has adversely affected surrenders and withdrawals of fixed annuities. In addition, surrenders have increased from prior year levels as annuities sold in 2000 can now be surrendered without charges, and as a result of the competitive interest rate environment. The combination of reduced sales and increased surrenders and withdrawals resulted in net flows 21 percent lower than prior year net flows. AIG expects that net flows will remain lower than in prior years as long as an environment of poor equity market performance and the yield curve remains flat.
The majority of the growth in Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums in Foreign Life operations was attributable to the life insurance, personal accident & health, and group products lines of business. Globally, AIGs deep and diverse distribution, which includes bancassurance, worksite marketing, direct marketing and strong agency organizations, provides a powerful platform for growth. This growth was most significant in Southeast Asia where AIG maintains significant market share established by its strong agency force, and in Japan, where AIG has benefited from a flight to quality and development of multiple distribution channels. In light of AIGs recent credit rating downgrades, it is unclear whether this flight to quality will continue to benefit AIG. Also in Japan, AIG Edison Lifes back office operations are being integrated successfully into AIGs life operations. AIG Star Life is growing first year premiums as a result of new product introductions and an expanded agency force, and is benefiting from more successful conservation of in-force business. The Foreign Retirement Services business continues its strong growth based upon its success in Japan and Korea by expanding its extensive distribution network and leveraging AIGs product expertise. AIG is introducing annuity products in new markets. In January 2005, AIG Star Life entered into an agreement with the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, one of Japans largest banks, to market a multi-currency fixed annuity.
Foreign Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations produced 78.8 percent and 78.4 percent of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums in the first three months of 2005 and 2004, respectively.
AIG transacts business in most major foreign currencies. The following table summarizes the effect of changes in foreign currency exchange rates on the growth of Life Insurance & Retirement Services GAAP premiums.
| 2005 | ||||
|
Growth in original currency
|
6.1 | % | ||
|
Foreign exchange effect
|
3.4 | |||
|
Growth as reported in U.S. dollars
|
9.5 | % | ||
Under U.S. GAAP, deposits and certain other consideration received under deferred annuity (variable and fixed) and universal life contracts are not included as GAAP premiums.
The growth in net investment income in the first three months of 2005 was attributable to both foreign and domestic invested new cash flow for investment. Additionally, net investment income was positively affected by the compounding of previously earned and reinvested net investment income.
Life Insurance & Retirement Services investment portfolios are managed within the overall objectives of the Life Insurance & Retirement Services operations. AIG subsidiaries invest in certain limited liability companies that invest in synthetic fuel production facilities as a means of generating income tax credits. Net investment income includes operating
39
The contribution of Life Insurance & Retirement Services operating income to AIGs consolidated income before income taxes, minority interest and cumulative effect of an accounting change amounted to 40.8 percent in the first three months of 2005, compared to 45.3 percent in the same period of 2004.
Underwriting and Investment Risk
The risks associated with life and accident and health products are underwriting risk and investment risk. The risk associated with the financial and investment contract products is primarily investment risk.
Underwriting risk represents the exposure to loss resulting from the actual policy experience adversely emerging in comparison to the assumptions made in the product pricing associated with mortality, morbidity, termination and expenses. The emergence of significant adverse experience would require an adjustment to DAC and benefit reserves that could have a substantial effect on AIGs results of operations.
AIGs Foreign Life companies generally limit their maximum underwriting exposure on life insurance of a single life to approximately $1.7 million of coverage and AIGs Domestic Life companies generally limit their maximum underwriting exposure on life insurance of a single life to $5 million of coverage by using yearly renewable term reinsurance. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
AIRCO acts primarily as an internal reinsurance company for AIGs foreign life operations. This facilitates insurance risk management (retention, volatility, concentrations) and capital planning locally (branch and subsidiary). It also allows AIG to pool its insurance risks and purchase reinsurance more efficiently at a consolidated level and manage global counterparty risk and relationships.
AIGs domestic Life Insurance and Retirement Services operations utilize internal and third-party reinsurance relationships to manage insurance risks and to facilitate capital management strategies. Pools of highly-rated third-party reinsurers are utilized to manage net amounts at risk in excess of retention limits. AIGs domestic life insurance companies also cede excess, non-economic reserves carried on a statutory-basis only on certain term and universal life insurance policies and certain fixed annuities to AIG Life of Bermuda Ltd., a wholly owned Bermuda reinsurer.
AIG generally obtains letters of credit in order to obtain statutory recognition of these intercompany reinsurance transactions. For this purpose, AIG entered into a $2.5 billion syndicated letter of credit facility in December 2004. Letters of credit totaling $2.17 billion was outstanding as of December 31, 2004, and all $2.5 billion was outstanding as of March 31, 2005. The letter of credit facility has a ten-year term, but the facility can be reduced or terminated by the lenders beginning after seven years.
The investment risk represents the exposure to loss resulting from the cash flows from the invested assets, primarily long-term fixed rate investments, being less than the cash flows required to meet the obligations of the expected policy and contract liabilities and the necessary return on investments. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
To minimize its exposure to investment risk, AIG tests the cash flows from the invested assets and the policy and contract liabilities using various interest rate scenarios to assess whether there is a liquidity excess or deficit. If a necessary rebalancing of the invested assets to the policy and contract claims does not occur, a demand could be placed upon liquidity. (See also the discussion under Liquidity herein.)
AIG actively manages the asset-liability relationship in its foreign operations, as it has been doing throughout AIGs history, even though certain territories lack qualified long-term investments or certain local regulatory authorities may impose investment restrictions. For example, in Japan and several Southeast Asian countries, the duration of the investments is often for a shorter period than the effective maturity of the related policy liabilities. Therefore, there is a risk that the reinvestment of the proceeds at the maturity of the initial investments may be at a yield below that of the interest required for the accretion of the policy liabilities. Additionally, there exists a future investment risk associated with certain policies currently in force which will have premium receipts in the future. That is, the investment of these future premium receipts may be at a yield below that required to meet future policy liabilities.
To maintain an adequate yield to match the interest necessary to support future policy liabilities, management focus is required to reinvest the proceeds of the maturing securities and to invest the future premium receipts while continuing to maintain satisfactory investment quality.
Certain foreign jurisdictions, including Japan, have limited long-dated bond markets and AIG may use alternative investments, including equities, real estate and foreign currency denominated fixed income instruments to extend the effective duration and increase the yield of the investment portfolio to more closely match the requirements of the policyholder liabilities and DAC recoverability, particularly in Taiwan, where Nan Shan has approximately 30 percent of invested assets in foreign currencies. Using foreign currency denominated investments to support policyholder liabilities could increase the risk to and volatility of cash flows and income. AIG actively manages this risk through regular monitoring and selected hedging strategies.
AIG actively manages the asset-liability relationship in its domestic operations. This relationship is more easily man-
40
AIG uses asset-liability matching as a management tool worldwide to determine the composition of the invested assets and appropriate marketing strategies. As a part of these strategies, AIG may determine that it is economically advantageous to be temporarily in an unmatched position due to anticipated interest rate or other economic changes. In addition, the absence of long-dated fixed income instruments in certain markets may preclude a matched asset-liability position in those markets.
A number of guaranteed benefits are offered on certain variable life and variable annuity products.
DAC for life insurance and retirement services products arises from the deferral of those costs that vary with, and are directly related to, the acquisition of new or renewal business. Policy acquisition costs for life insurance products are generally deferred and amortized over the premium paying period of the policy. Policy acquisition costs which relate to universal life and investment-type products, including variable and fixed annuities (investment-oriented products) are deferred and amortized, with interest, as appropriate, in relation to the historical and future incidence of estimated gross profits to be realized over the estimated lives of the contracts. With respect to universal life and investment-oriented products, AIGs policy, as appropriate, has been to adjust amortization assumptions for DAC when estimates of current or future gross profits to be realized from these contracts are revised. With respect to variable annuities sold domestically (representing the vast majority of AIGs variable annuity business), the assumption for the long-term annual net growth rate of the equity markets used in the determination of DAC amortization is approximately ten percent. A methodology referred to as reversion to the mean is used to maintain this long-term net growth rate assumption, while giving consideration to short-term variations in equity markets. Estimated gross profits include investment income and gains and losses on investments less interest required as well as other charges in the contract less actual mortality and expenses. Current experience and changes in the expected future gross profits are analyzed to determine the effect on the amortization of DAC. The estimation of projected gross profits requires significant management judgment. The elements with respect to the current and projected gross profits are reviewed and analyzed quarterly and are adjusted appropriately.
AIGs variable annuity earnings will be affected by changes in market returns because separate account revenues, primarily composed of mortality and expense charges and asset management fees, are a function of asset values.
DAC for both insurance-oriented and investment-oriented products as well as retirement services products are subject to review for recoverability, which involve estimating the future profitability of current business. This review also involves significant management judgment. If the actual emergence of future profitability were to be substantially different than that estimated, AIGs results of operations could be significantly affected in future periods.
Insurance and Asset Management Invested Assets
AIGs investment strategy is to invest primarily in high quality securities while maintaining diversification to avoid significant exposure to issuer, industry and/or country concentrations. With respect to General Insurance, AIGs strategy is to invest in longer duration fixed maturity investments to maximize the yields at the date of purchase. With respect to Life Insurance & Retirement Services, AIGs strategy is to produce cash flows required to meet maturing insurance liabilities. (See also the discussion under Operating Review: Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations herein.) AIG invests in equities for various reasons, including diversifying its overall exposure to interest rate risk. Available for sale bonds and equity securities are subject to declines in fair value. Such declines in fair value are presented in unrealized appreciation or depreciation of investments, net of taxes as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Generally, insurance regulations restrict the types of assets in which an insurance company may invest. When permitted by regulatory authorities and when deemed necessary to protect insurance assets, including invested assets, from adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and equity prices, AIG and its insurance subsidiaries may enter into derivative transactions as end users. (See also the discussion under Derivatives herein.)
In certain jurisdictions, significant regulatory and/or foreign governmental barriers exist which may not permit the immediate free flow of funds between insurance subsidiaries or from the insurance subsidiaries to AIG parent.
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The following tables summarize the composition of AIGs insurance and asset management invested assets by segment, at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004:
| Life | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Insurance & | Percent Distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| March 31, 2005 | General | Retirement | Asset | Percent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Insurance | Services | Management | Total | of Total | Domestic | Foreign | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Fixed maturities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available for sale, at market value
|
$ | 43,158 | $ | 266,288 | $ | 39,604 | $ | 349,050 | 66.4 | % | 59.8 | % | 40.2 | % | |||||||||||||||
|
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
|
21,477 | | | 21,477 | 4.1 | 100.0 | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
| 658 | 2,922 | 3,580 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 99.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Equity securities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Common stocks, at market value
|
4,211 | 12,599 | 266 | 17,076 | 3.2 | 20.3 | 79.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Preferred stocks, at market value
|
1,541 | 729 | | 2,270 | 0.5 | 87.9 | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, policy and
collateral loans
|
22 | 17,427 | 5,516 | 22,965 | 4.4 | 65.4 | 34.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Short-term investments, including time
deposits, and cash
|
2,431 | 10,749 | 10,563 | 23,743 | 4.5 | 48.2 | 51.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Real estate
|
586 | 3,027 | 324 | 3,937 | 0.7 | 23.9 | 76.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
943 | 4,209 | 482 | 5,634 | 1.1 | 57.6 | 42.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Securities lending collateral
|
5,519 | 37,074 | 10,100 | 52,693 | 10.0 | 85.1 | 14.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Other invested assets
|
6,542 | 7,269 | 9,203 | 23,014 | 4.4 | 87.6 | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 86,430 | $ | 360,029 | $ | 78,980 | $ | 525,439 | 100.0 | % | 63.0 | % | 37.0 | % | |||||||||||||||
| Life | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Insurance & | Percent Distribution | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| December 31, 2004 | General | Retirement | Asset | Percent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Insurance | Services | Management | Total | of Total | Domestic | Foreign | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Fixed maturities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Available for sale, at market value
|
$ | 44,376 | $ | 259,602 | $ | 39,077 | $ | 343,055 | 68.4 | % | 61.2 | % | 38.8% | ||||||||||||||||
|
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
|
18,294 | | | 18,294 | 3.6 | 100.0 | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Trading securities, at market value
|
| 600 | 2,384 | 2,984 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 98.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Equity securities:
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Common stocks, at market value
|
4,165 | 11,280 | 177 | 15,622 | 3.1 | 21.9 | 78.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Preferred stocks, at market value
|
1,466 | 565 | | 2,031 | 0.4 | 91.9 | 8.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Mortgage loans on real estate, policy and
collateral loans
|
22 | 16,858 | 5,093 | 21,973 | 4.4 | 65.6 | 34.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Short-term investments, including time deposits,
and cash
|
2,113 | 5,515 | 9,679 | 17,307 | 3.4 | 37.1 | 62.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Real estate
|
592 | 3,007 | 326 | 3,925 | 0.8 | 22.8 | 77.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment income due and accrued
|
1,023 | 4,041 | 461 | 5,525 | 1.1 | 57.5 | 42.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Securities lending collateral
|
4,889 | 35,726 | 9,357 | 49,972 | 10.0 | 85.3 | 14.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Other invested assets
|
5,604 | 7,154 | 8,316 | 21,074 | 4.2 | 86.8 | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 82,544 | $ | 344,348 | $ | 74,870 | $ | 501,762 | 100.0 | % | 63.7 | % | 36.3% | ||||||||||||||||
Credit Quality
At March 31, 2005, approximately 62 percent of the fixed maturities investments were domestic securities. Approximately 33 percent of such domestic securities were rated AAA by one or more of the principal rating agencies. Approximately six percent were below investment grade or not rated.
A significant portion of the foreign fixed income portfolio is rated by Moodys, S&P or similar foreign services. Similar credit quality rating services are not available in all overseas locations. AIG reviews the credit quality of the foreign portfolio nonrated fixed income investments, including mortgages. At March 31, 2005, approximately 20 percent of the foreign fixed income investments were either rated AAA or, on the basis of AIGs internal analysis, were equivalent from a credit standpoint to securities so rated. Approximately four percent were below investment grade or not rated at that date. A large portion of the foreign fixed income portfolio are sovereign fixed maturity securities supporting the policy liabilities in the country of issuance.
Any fixed income security may be subject to downgrade for a variety of reasons subsequent to any balance sheet date.
Valuation of Invested Assets
AIG has the ability to hold any fixed maturity security to its stated maturity, including those fixed maturity securities classified as available for sale. Therefore, the decision to sell any such fixed maturity security classified as available for sale reflects the judgment of AIGs management that the security
42
The valuation of invested assets involves obtaining a market value for each security. The source for the market value is generally from market exchanges or dealer quotations, with the exception of nontraded securities.
If AIG chooses to hold a security, it evaluates the security for an impairment in valuation. As a matter of policy, the determination that a security has incurred an other-than-temporary decline in value and the amount of any loss recognition requires the judgment of AIGs management and a continual review of its investments.
In general, a security is considered a candidate for impairment if it meets any of the following criteria:
| | Trading at a significant (25 percent or more) discount to par, amortized cost (if lower) or cost for an extended period of time (nine months or longer); |
| | The occurrence of a discrete credit event resulting in (i) the issuer defaulting on a material outstanding obligation; or (ii) the issuer seeking protection from creditors under the bankruptcy laws or any similar laws intended for the court supervised reorganization of insolvent enterprises; or (iii) the issuer proposing a voluntary reorganization pursuant to which creditors are asked to exchange their claims for cash or securities having a fair value substantially lower than par value of their claims; or |
| | In the opinion of AIGs management, it is possible that AIG may not realize a full recovery on its investment, irrespective of the occurrence of one of the foregoing events. |
Once a security has been identified as other-than-temporarily impaired, the amount of such impairment is determined by reference to that securitys contemporaneous market price and recorded as a charge to earnings.
As a result of these policies, AIG recorded impairment losses, net of taxes, of $92 million and $79 million in the first three months of 2005 and 2004, respectively.
No impairment charge with respect to any one single credit was significant to AIGs consolidated financial condition or results of operations, and no individual impairment loss exceeded 1.0 percent of consolidated net income for the first three months of 2005.
Excluding the other-than-temporary impairments noted above, the changes in market value for AIGs available for sale portfolio, which constitutes the vast majority of AIGs investments, were recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income as unrealized gains or losses, net of tax.
At March 31, 2005, the fair value of AIGs fixed maturities and equity securities aggregated to $395.3 billion. At March 31, 2005, aggregate unrealized gains after taxes for fixed maturity and equity securities were $10.9 billion. At March 31, 2005, the aggregate unrealized losses after taxes of fixed maturity and equity securities were approximately $1.8 billion.
The effect on net income of unrealized losses after taxes will be further mitigated upon realization, because certain realized losses will be charged to participating policyholder accounts, or realization will result in current decreases in the amortization of certain deferred policy acquisition costs.
At March 31, 2005, unrealized losses for fixed maturity securities and equity securities did not reflect any significant industry concentrations.
The amortized cost of fixed maturities available for sale in an unrealized loss position at March 31, 2005, by contractual maturity, is shown below:
| Amortized | ||||
| (in millions) | Cost | |||
|
Due in one year or less
|
$ | 3,075 | ||
|
Due after one year through five years
|
23,137 | |||
|
Due after five years through ten years
|
38,423 | |||
|
Due after ten years
|
43,305 | |||
|
Total
|
$ | 107,940 | ||
In the three months ended March 31, 2005, the pretax realized losses incurred with respect to the sale of fixed maturities and equity securities were $419 million. The aggregate fair value of securities sold was $13.4 billion, which was approximately 99 percent of amortized cost. The average period of time that securities sold at a loss during the three months ended March 31, 2005 were trading continuously at a price below book value was approximately four months.
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At March 31, 2005, aggregate pretax unrealized gains were $16.7 billion, while the pretax unrealized losses with respect to investment grade bonds, below investment grade bonds and equity securities were $2.1 billion, $450 million and $248 million, respectively. Aging of the pretax unrealized losses with respect to these securities, distributed as a percentage of cost relative to unrealized loss (the extent by which the market value is less than amortized cost or cost), including the number of respective items, was as follows:
| Less than or equal to | Greater than 20% to | Greater than | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20% of Cost(a) | 50% of Cost(a) | 50% of Cost(a) | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Aging | Unrealized | Unrealized | Unrealized | Unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (dollars in millions) | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss | Items | Cost(a) | Loss(b) | Items | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Investment grade bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 71,953 | $ | 1,012 | 7,008 | $ | 19 | $ | 7 | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 2 | 8 | $ | 71,974 | $ | 1,021 | 7,019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
15,887 | 409 | 1,563 | 29 | 6 | 36 | | | 2 | 15,916 | 415 | 1,601 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
13,774 | 659 | 1,617 | 85 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13,865 | 678 | 1,625 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 101,614 | $ | 2,080 | 10,188 | $ | 133 | $ | 28 | 45 | $ | 8 | $ | 6 | 12 | $ | 101,755 | $ | 2,114 | 10,245 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Below investment grade bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 3,928 | $ | 145 | 943 | $ | 193 | $ | 58 | 32 | $ | 11 | $ | 8 | 15 | $ | 4,132 | $ | 211 | 990 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
731 | 48 | 141 | 38 | 10 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 772 | 60 | 182 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
961 | 85 | 251 | 310 | 87 | 97 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 1,281 | 179 | 361 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total
|
$ | 5,620 | $ | 278 | 1,335 | $ | 541 | $ | 155 | 156 | $ | 24 | $ | 17 | 42 | $ | 6,185 | $ | 450 | 1,533 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Total bonds
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
0-6 months
|
$ | 75,881 | $ | 1,157 | 7,951 | $ | 212 | $ | 65 | 35 | $ | 13 | $ | 10 | 23 | $ | 76,106 | $ | 1,232 | 8,009 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
7-12 months
|
16,618 | 457 | 1,704 | 67 | 16 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16,688 | 475 | 1,783 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
>12 months
|
14,735 | 744 | 1,868 | 395 | 102 | 103 | 16 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||