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The $1666 SPX Close and Massive Market Manipulation

Sat, 18 May 2013 17:10:53 -0400

This is a sample post from Wolf on Wall Street from this afternoon. For more information about our member's site and how we refuse to be sheep, but rather the Wolf, (Click the link below) Wolf on Wall Street We Didn't Close at $1666 Saturday, May 18th 2013 posted by: Brandt Many were amused, some think of conspiracy, I suppose without evidence suggesting otherwise, I'd just assume

Stocks are overbought, but still strong

Fri, 17 May 2013 17:39:17 -0400

For the first time, evidence is beginning to appear that the market has been rising at what has now become an unsustainable pace.

The Bigger VIX-ture

Fri, 17 May 2013 07:31:00 -0400

We get some questions on Twitter, sometimes even related to the CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX)."...Seems most of your post [sic] on the VIX stuff is negative biased expecting lower moves...(Read More)

5 Theories Behind the VIX Stagnation

Thu, 16 May 2013 07:49:00 -0400

The market goes up every day, and yet the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) basically goes nowhere...(Read More)

Sentiment Check: Do Investors Still Hate This Rally?

Tue, 14 May 2013 07:16:00 -0400

The market's advance over the last few years often gets referred to as "the most hated rally ever." That always sounded like an exaggeration...(Read More)

All's Fair in Love and VIX

Mon, 13 May 2013 07:36:00 -0400

Another week, another rally, and another snooze in volatility.If it seems like the CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX) really doesn't move much any more, well? (click chart to enlarge): Chart courtesy of TD Ameritrade/Thinkorswim?that's because it's not really moving much any more...(Read More)

PreMarket Info Recap for May 10, 2013

Fri, 10 May 2013 09:14:15 -0400

Have you ever woken up to find that a stock in your portfolio made a dramatic move overnight? Are you interested in learning how to understand each day's post-market and pre-market moves? Veteran traders Joel Elconin and Dennis Dick will give you all of the insights that you'll need to get

Cheap Hedges? You Might Get What You Pay For

Thu, 09 May 2013 07:30:00 -0400

So I'm watching Bloomberg yesterday, and they have this guest on from the SALT conference in Las Vegas...(Read More)

CNBC Ratings ? The Next Market Indicator?

Tue, 07 May 2013 07:36:00 -0400

Uh-oh, it's another CNBC ratings implosion. This, from Gatecrasher at the NY Daily News: CNBC insiders tell us executives at the cable business channel are "freaking out" because viewership levels are down essentially across-the-board, particularly with its marquee shows, "Squawk Box" and "Closing Bell.""Their biggest attractions have become their biggest losers," says one TV industry insider familar [sic] with the cable channel's numbers...(Read More)

Missing the Forest for the VIX Trees?

Mon, 06 May 2013 07:31:00 -0400

In our VIX-centric world, we sometimes lose sight of the fact that the CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX) is a very narrow measure of the wide world of volatility...(Read More)

Tebow'd In Vegas, the 'Cheap' Yankees, and ? The Next VIX Trader?

Fri, 03 May 2013 07:17:00 -0400

OK, enough CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) for the week. It's Kentucky Derby time...(Read More)

Does the Latest VIX Price Action Reveal Complacency?

Thu, 02 May 2013 07:39:00 -0400

I often make fun of the CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX), and the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures TM ETN (NYSEARCA:VXX), and the VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short Term ETN (NYSEARCA:TVIX) ? and really, all things volatility...(Read More)

How a ‘Harlem shake’ shook Wall Street

Tue, 30 Apr 2013 06:00:22 -0400

Regulators, in an effort to be current or “with it,” seem actually like your dad doing the Harlem Shake. It’s at once well meaning and sort of funny, but in the end someone is likely to get hurt, writes David Weidner.

Why 10-Day Realized Volatility Will Plunge Today

Mon, 29 Apr 2013 08:12:00 -0400

I'm going to make a bold prediction for today. The 10-day realized volatility (RV) in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is going to tank today.?OK, it's not that bold a prediction...(Read More)

Should You 'Sell in May and Go Away' This Year?

Sat, 27 Apr 2013 10:52:00 -0400

The major market indexes finished the week solidly higher, despite lackluster gross domestic product (GDP) data and even a fake tweet from the Associated Press...(Read More)

Options Turn 40: A Walk Down Memory Lane

Fri, 26 Apr 2013 09:30:00 -0400

Today we celebrate the birthday of options by looking back at the evolution -- and game-changing innovation -- of an industry...(Read More)

When SPX & VIX Both Rise For The 2nd Consecutive Day

Fri, 26 Apr 2013 08:12:00 -0400

I am looking at a mix of bullish and bearish studies right now. One indicator arguing for the bears is the VIX. The VIX is a measure of volatility and it typically moves counter to the SPX. So it will most often rise when the SPX moves down and it will drop when SPX rallies. Yesterday both the SPX and the VIX closed higher. And they did so for the 2nd day in a row. The study below is an old one that looks at other times this has occurred and the market is in a long-term uptrend. All results are updated.

While not overwhelming, the numbers here provide the bears some hope over the next 1-2 days.

Credit Suisse Sues to Block Arbitration Over TVIX: Report

Thu, 25 Apr 2013 09:59:34 -0400

Credit Suisse is trying to block a FINRA arbitration related to VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (NYSEArca: TVIX) with a suit arguing investors who initiated the claim don’t fit the “customer” requirements for the dispute-resolution process, Bloomberg News reports. “The 29 investors named...

VIX ETFs Settle After Brief Pop

Wed, 24 Apr 2013 12:59:20 -0400

With what now looks like a short term head-fake in the widely followed VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) last week as the index traded as high as 18.20 (vaulting from below 12 in just four trading sessions), related exchange traded funds and notes have been exceptionally active. This morning the VIX has...

Why Investing in Low Volatility Stocks is a Superior Strategy

Wed, 24 Apr 2013 11:19:27 -0400

In May of 2011, Invesco introduced the PowerShares S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV). At least four more low volatility ETFs were created during 2011, including USMV, EEMV, ACWV and EFAV. Since the start of 2012 another seven such ETFs have entered the market: EELV, IDLV, PHDG, XSLV, LGLV, SMLV, and XMLV. You may wonder [...]

The post Why Investing in Low Volatility Stocks is a Superior Strategy appeared first on TradingMarkets.com.

Recent Wolf on Wall Street Analysis and Trades

Tue, 23 Apr 2013 21:09:56 -0400

While I can't share a lot of specifics that is exclusively for... Wolf on Wall Street Members I can share some of our analysis and trade selection which I think can benefit you in better understanding the market and how we do things a bit differently than what you might be use to. Last Thursday, April 18, 2013 in our "Leading Indicators" post, we identified several signals that we

Twitter trading influence laid bare by fake tweet

Tue, 23 Apr 2013 17:54:54 -0400

A false AP tweet about explosions in the White House sends stocks and oil into a swift 1% plunge. They later recover, but the action shows the extent of Twitter’s reach on Wall Street.

Stocks trying to hang on

Mon, 22 Apr 2013 14:11:22 -0400

Last week saw the major averages back off from their recent highs. Is this just a meaningless small pullback, or the start of something bigger?

This Week in the VIX

Mon, 22 Apr 2013 07:40:00 -0400

Remember that uptick in volatility that the entire CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX) complex permanently anticipates? Well, it actually happened this week...(Read More)

Largest Weekly Selloff of the Year Weighs on Stock ETFs

Fri, 19 Apr 2013 14:55:24 -0400

Disappointing economic data, coupled with the tragic Boston bombing at the beginning of the week, pushed the equities market and stock exchange traded funds off their all-time highs. Despite trimming some of the losses experienced earlier in the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was set for a...

More Breaking News on the Volatility Front

Fri, 19 Apr 2013 07:40:00 -0400

Well, we found another volatility indicator hitting recent highs, and it's a somewhat confusing one...(Read More)

Is Gold Volatility Sending the VIX Higher?

Thu, 18 Apr 2013 07:50:00 -0400

If you're of the belief that volatility ripples across asset classes, then you really have to pause and take serious note of this lift in volatility in gold.Here's a chart of 30-day implied volatility and 20-day realized volatility for gold over the last three months: Chart courtesy of IVolatilityYes, that's about a 120% lift over the course of two sessions -- pretty remarkable stuff...(Read More)

Was Monday's VIX Spike a Buy Signal?

Wed, 17 Apr 2013 07:34:00 -0400

If it seems like these one-day huge rallies in the CBOE Market Volatility Index (INDEXCBOE:VIX) are happening more often, it's because they truly are happening more often...(Read More)

STTG Market Recap Apr 16, 2013

Tue, 16 Apr 2013 17:48:26 -0400

Original post: STTG Market Recap Apr 16, 2013

STTG Market Recap Apr 16, 2013

Tue, 16 Apr 2013 17:48:26 -0400

Quick Note from Blain: Heads up! Tomorrow we will be sharing a link to our Q1 2013 Reader Satisfaction Survey. Please keep an eye out for it, thanks!The S&P 500 once again bounced off this wider range support level it has been traveling since mid November, with yet another strong bounce - the Pavlovian dog response to this level is becoming something very interesting to observe. That said the violence of movement both up and down of late is not characteristic of a stable market and differs markedly from the action in January through latter February 2013. For the day the S&P 500 gained 1.43% and the NASDAQ 1.50% on what appears to be mostly a technical oversold bounce. There was some decent housing data but nothing concrete enough to generate this type of move.

Original post: STTG Market Recap Apr 16, 2013

Charting the market crosscurrents

Tue, 16 Apr 2013 12:09:05 -0400

The major U.S. benchmarks are shaking off their worst single-day downdraft in more than five months.

Low VIX? No Problem.

Mon, 15 Apr 2013 07:51:00 -0400

Every day the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSEARCA:VXX) hits a new All-Time Low, I post a sarcastic tweet to commemorate the occasion...(Read More)

Fearless investors buy rally as earnings ramp up

Sun, 14 Apr 2013 08:00:22 -0400

After all the grave concerns of the past 12 months, this is starting to look like a Teflon stock market.

VERT IMPORTANT MARKET POST WILL BE SHARED WITH YOU

Sat, 13 Apr 2013 16:49:36 -0400

For months I have been putting together the pieces for member's of our site, Wolf on Wall Street We have been able to use this to our short term advantage with a number of VERY profitable short term trades, but preparing members for our larger market outlook may have been the most valuable information. Usually I would save this analysis for member's of Wolf on Wall Street only, but

Daily Wrap

Wed, 10 Apr 2013 22:24:08 -0400

I don't often do this, but once in a while at important times I post analysis from our member's site, Wolf on Wall Street. This is today's Daily Wrap for April 10, 2013 posted at 10:15 p.m. I'm starting a bit later than usual because I wanted to do my due diligence on VXX because it is based on a daily rolling VIX futures of the first and second month and we have the current month

New highs in S&P 500 are very bullish

Wed, 10 Apr 2013 16:26:26 -0400

There is much cause for rejoicing among bullish investors and the media as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index breaks through new highs — but how long can this rally last?

Read This Before Betting On a VIX Pop

Wed, 10 Apr 2013 07:51:00 -0400

Does it feel like we're running and running and getting nowhere? The market, I mean; I'm not talking some "hamster on a treadmill" metaphor.Well guess what? We're truly churning...(Read More)

Why we’ll see Dow 18,000 before this bull run ends

Tue, 09 Apr 2013 08:01:51 -0400

Strategist Gene Peroni sees the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending 2013 at between 14,750 and 15,100, and hitting 18,000 by 2015.

Special Report: Alternative ETFs

Tue, 09 Apr 2013 07:24:57 -0400

Alternative exchange traded fund strategies are garnering a greater following as investors look for options other than traditional beta-indexing products to diversify their portfolios. Alternative assets can be loosely defined as investments other than the traditional stocks, bonds and cash...

VIX ETF Traders are Gluttons for Punishment

Thu, 04 Apr 2013 10:56:10 -0400

The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSEArca: VXX) is down 36% year to date but investors looking for a hedge against a stock-market pullback have pumped nearly $700 million into the volatility-linked exchange traded product. But wait, it gets worse. VXX plummeted 77.6% last year as...

Wolf on Wall Street Stock Market Analysis

Thu, 04 Apr 2013 01:28:01 -0400

This is from tonight's Wolf on Wall Street market analysis for members... F_E_D Has Been Warning Since September 13th 2012 Wednesday April 3rd, 2013 Since the Bernie press conference on September 13th, I believe at 2:27 p.m. to be exact, when Bernie was asked about inflation and he answered with something never said before, QE could be adjusted and people REALLY started paying attention

Stocks Close the Quarter Higher Despite Disappointing Economic Data

Sun, 31 Mar 2013 16:05:00 -0400

March ETF Performance Report: S&P 500 Eyes Record High

Fri, 29 Mar 2013 06:34:37 -0400

Despite some close calls over March, especially with new rumblings out of Europe and Cyprus, the equities markets and stock exchange traded funds steered back into a bullish streak, closing the month and first quarter on historical highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a 11.6% gain over...

How the Stock Market Is Manipulated in Real Time

Tue, 26 Mar 2013 10:45:08 -0400

This morning we have a good opportunity to see how markets are manipulated in the short term using such instruments as Treasuries/Yields, VIX Futures and High Yield Credit. Here's some of the evidence from two posts from this morning, just moments ago from our member's site... Wolf on Wall Street Market Update-Levers Are Out March 26, 2013 10:00 a.m. It's too early to get

Volatility ETF Falls to New All-Time Low – Is VIX Oversold?

Tue, 26 Mar 2013 07:29:20 -0400

The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSEArca: VXX) fell to a fresh record low on Monday despite concerns over the Cyprus bailout as the country’s banks remained closed to prevent a run. The exchange traded product lost more than 1% on Monday even though the CBOE Volatility...

Cyprus bailout failure would shake stocks

Sat, 23 Mar 2013 13:04:34 -0400

Will debt-troubled Cyprus get a bailout or not? As the euro-zone country races to meet a crucial deadline, the answer to that key question could set the direction next week for U.S. equities next week as they sit near record highs.

Don’t jump back into stocks unless you will stay

Fri, 22 Mar 2013 07:03:19 -0400

People don’t buy umbrellas until it rains. They don’t buy overcoats until the thermometer plunges below freezing.

Inverse VIX ETFs: Reversal Coming After Over 100% Rally?

Fri, 22 Mar 2013 06:12:44 -0400

One of the most profitable activities in ETFs that past year has been buying funds that bet against market volatility as the VIX drops to the lowest levels since the financial crisis. For example, VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN (NYSEArca: XIV) rallied 155% in 2012 and is up and...

Another volatility-based buy signal

Wed, 20 Mar 2013 19:24:19 -0400

Volatility picked up this week after some political and financial chicanery in Cyprus threatened to upside the global financial apple cart. This increase in volatility actually paved the way for a new buy signal.

Volatility Jumps as the Dow closes Green while Small Caps Lag

Tue, 19 Mar 2013 23:37:00 -0400