For the first time all year, President Bush has moved ahead of John Kerry in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projection, just as the Republican National Convention is getting underway.

The polling company says its latest numbers show Bush leading in states with 213 electoral votes, while Kerry is ahead in states with 207. There are 118 electoral votes in the toss-up column, and the magic number to win the White House is 270.

Over this past weekend, Arkansas, Virginia and Missouri moved from toss-up to "leans Bush." Minnesota moved from "leans Kerry" to toss-up. Maine and Michigan moved in Kerry's direction – from toss-up to "leans Kerry."

Rasmussen considers any state where polls show a candidate leading by less than five percentage points to be a toss-up.

The company also reports Bush is ahead in the popular vote 48-45 percent, the first time since the Democratic National Convention that Bush has been up by more than a single point, and the first time since June 12 he's been up by three points.

Meanwhile, the America Online straw poll shows Bush with an electoral lead of 324-214 in its unscientific survey in which AOL members are allowed to cast one vote per month.

As of 11 p.m. Eastern Time with more than 147,000 total votes, Bush also leads in the AOL popular vote by 52-47 percent, with Ralph Nader collecting one percent.

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