Every time I discuss Y2K, whether it's with a neighbor or a radio
talk show host, we always get around to this question: "So, what do you
think is going to happen?" My answer to that question depends on what I
have been reading in the media, hearing from private sources, and my own
Like everyone else I have met, my emotions fluctuate wildly from day
to day. Earlier this week, I was feeling that not much is going to
happen and doing further preparation is a waste of time and money. This
morning, after reading a particularly disturbing article, I felt the
now-familiar pangs of fear and uneasiness. I began to wonder aloud to my
wife, Gail, what else we still needed to do. After all, we only have a
few days left.
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However, in those quiet moments when I am thinking clearly, I really
believe that we are going to end up somewhere in the middle. While I
hope for the best, I don't expect it. I honestly don't believe that the
government and corporate bureaucrats who are telling us to prepare for
the best expect it either. Even they aren't that stupid. It is certainly
not what they are preparing for. (See my article entitled,
"Actions Speak Louder Than
On the other hand, I am not expecting the end of the world as we know
it. I certainly acknowledge that this is a possibility, but I have a
hard time believing that we won't somehow slip by and avoid the worst.
In any case, you can't really prepare for the worst-case
scenario. The best you can do is prepare for the near-worst. This
is what I have done in the hope that I have, in fact, over-prepared.
Time will tell.
What I really expect is that things will shake out somewhere in the
middle. In other words, I anticipate that things will be worse that we
are being told but not quite as bad as we fear. If nothing much happens,
I will be delighted -- and truly surprised. (These kinds of surprises I
can handle!) But if it's worse than I expect, I will be disappointed but
prepared. How about you?