A new poll confirms what most Americans appear to believe naturally: Incumbent senators will most likely keep their jobs this November.
Portrait of America poll said Monday, more senators will retire this year than will likely be unseated by election year challengers.
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Incumbent senators lead challengers in 15 of 16 races polled by Portrait of America analysts. The lone exception is Virginia's Sen. Chuck Robb, a Democrat who is being challenged by former Gov. George Allen. That race is a statistical toss-up.
Five senators are retiring this year: Connie Mack of Florida, Bob Kerrey of Nebraska, Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey, Richard Bryan of Nevada, and Daniel Moynihan of New York.
"Although Portrait of America telephone surveys have not yet been conducted in individual congressional districts, the House of Representatives will almost certainly continue its tradition of re-electing virtually all incumbents," analysts said.
Included in the
analysis were Senate surveys for the states of New York, Nebraska and New Jersey. Figures for each of the 16 Senate races were also provided in the survey.