Gore leads Bush in California

By Jon Dougherty

Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore has taken the lead in a new poll of voters in the nation’s most populous state, earning back some of the deficit he has experienced overall against rival GOP nominee George W. Bush in recent weeks.

According to a new

Portrait of America
poll, released today, Gore’s popularity jumped 10 points over Bush in California, showing the vice president ahead 47 to 37 percent.

Notable, POA analysts said, because an

Aug. 9 pre-convention poll
found that Bush led Gore by 5 percent. Collectively, analysts said, Gore’s new rating represents a 15-point shift in just over a week.

However, analysts said, it was common for major party candidates to receive such polling boosts. Furthermore, it made sense that Gore’s ratings would climb so substantially in California, considering the Democratic National Convention was held in Los Angeles.

If Gore continues to hold California, he will eventually claim all 54 of the state’s electoral votes. Currently, Bush leads Gore in states with 341 electoral votes; Gore leads in states with 150, with 270 needed to win the White House.

Historically, presidential candidates have not won the national election without capturing the electoral votes of both California and New York, the number one and two states respectively, with the most electoral-college votes at stake.

Jon Dougherty

Jon E. Dougherty is a Missouri-based political science major, author, writer and columnist. Follow him on Twitter. Read more of Jon Dougherty's articles here.