Two influential popular-vote surveys released today have Texas governor and GOP presidential nominee George W. Bush leading Democratic rival and Vice President Al Gore by a mere 1 percentage point.
Portrait of America’s Presidential Tracking Poll shows Bush leading 43 to 42 percent. The new poll has a margin of error of +/- 2 percent.
In the third-party races, Green Party nominee Ralph Nader has 3.1 percent; Reform nominee Patrick J. Buchanan has 1.4 percent; Libertarian Harry Browne has 0.5 percent; independent John Hagelin has 0.2 percent; and Constitutional Party nominee Howard Phillips registered with 0.2 percent.
Rasmussen Research conducted the telephone survey of 2,250 likely voters Sept. 25, 26 and 27. The firm said its poll has a 95 percent level of confidence.
Meanwhile, in the
Voter.com Battleground 2000 Poll, also released today, Bush leads Gore 42 to 41 percent. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 percent.
The survey is based on a rolling sample of 1,000 likely voters and is part of a series of tracking polls released each weekday between now and the Nov. 7 election. The bipartisan poll was conducted by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake, Snell, Perry, & Associates and Republican pollster Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group.
In the same poll, Gore leads with women voters 45 to 36 percent, while Bush leads with men and married voters by 13 points, 49 to 36 percent.
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