One day before the second presidential debate, voters continue to favor
Republican George W. Bush by 5 percent over Vice President Al Gore,
according to the most recent
Portrait of America poll.
Conducted by Rasmussen Research on Sunday, Monday and yesterday, Oct. 8, 9 and 10, POA's daily tracking poll shows Bush with 45 percent and Gore with 40 percent of the support of likely voters. However, the survey does evidence a slight dip of 1 percent in voter support of Bush. The telephone survey of 2,250 likely voters has a margin of sampling error of +/- 2 percentage points.
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the POA analysis of electoral votes, Bush also comes out ahead with 207 to Gore's 158. To win, a candidate must receive 270 electoral votes. States solidly favorable to the vice president include California and New York -- the top two states in terms of electoral votes with 54 and 33, respectively. Though Bush's support in the top two vote-getting states has not broken 40 percent, the Texas governor's poll numbers are very high in many of the other states, including Georgia, Indiana and Michigan. Florida, the state with the third-largest number of votes in the Electoral College, is still considered a toss-up.
Voter.com's Battleground Poll continues to keep Bush ahead 43-41, although the lead is within the poll's margin of error of +/-3.1 percent. Gore continues to lead among single voters (49-32 percent) and women (45-38 percent), according to Battleground, while Bush leads among married voters (49-35 percent) and men (47-36 percent). Support is still split among white women, with Bush currently leading 42 to 40 percent.
The Voter.com poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake, Snell, Perry, & Associates and Republican pollster Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group.