Vote for Kerry!

By Gordon Prather

If not getting nuked in your jammies is high on your priority list, then maybe your best bet is to vote for John Kerry.

Kerry has just endorsed last October’s Brit-French-German-Russian agreement with Iran, whereby they pledged to facilitate “the fullest possible exchange of equipment, materials and scientific and technological information for the peaceful uses of nuclear energy,” if Iran agreed to sign and abide by an Additional Protocol to their existing Safeguards Agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency.

But the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty already requires such transfers. Why was the Brit-French-German-Russian pledge necessary? Because for more than 20 years the United States has prevented – and still seeks to prevent – such transfers to Iran.

Even before Bush declared “victory” in Operation Iraqi Freedom, the neo-crazies had begun making the same unsubstantiated charges about illicit nukes in Iran they had so effectively made about Iraq, thereby scaring you soccer moms into endorsing the Iraq war.

Next week, the Bush administration will try to convince the International Atomic Energy Agency Board to “refer” the alleged Iranian “nuke” program to the U.N. Security Council for “action.” Bush wants a Security Council resolution – similar to the one he used as an excuse to invade Iraq – warning Iran of “serious consequences” if they are unable to convince him that they have no nuke ambitions.

However, reflecting upon what Bush did to Iraq, the IAEA Board is unlikely to “refer” the Iranian alleged “nuke” program to the Security Council. And even if they did, there is no way the Security Council would give Bush a resolution he could misuse to invade Iran.

There can be no doubt that Bush’s invasion of Iraq – allegedly to prevent nukes that never existed from landing in the hands of terrorists – has vastly increased the probability that terrorists will acquire real nukes. Kerry – in endorsing the Brit-French-German-Russian agreement with Iran – is essentially saying he realizes that a similar invasion of Iran would have similar results.

Of course, after seeing what Bush did to no-nuke Iraq, the Iranians would be crazy if they didn’t harbor nuke ambitions. But they insist they don’t and have made – as the Brit-French-German agreement required – what they claim is a complete disclosure of their “nuclear programs.”

The IAEA has been checking out that disclosure statement for months now and has found some discrepancies in it, but it has – as yet – found no “indications” of a nuke program. Iran is currently in full compliance with its existing Safeguards Agreement.

In particular, the Iranians insist they have not yet produced enriched uranium at the production or even pilot-plant stage, and have never had enriched uranium – even in the laboratory – to as much as 20 percent HEU, much less to the 90 percent HEU required for nukes.

When the IAEA took some “swipes” from equipment the Iranians had imported that indicated the presence of HEU, the neo-crazies went ballistic. The Iranians had been lying! They had been producing “weapons-grade” uranium!

Well, in the first place, the IAEA didn’t find any Iranian-produced HEU. They found microscopic “traces” of HEU on equipment the Iranians had imported. And just this week, after talking to the “exporters,” the IAEA concluded that the Iranian claim was “plausible.”

What about the advanced “P-2” centrifuges the neo-crazies claimed Iran had left off its 2003 disclosure?

Well, the IAEA has concluded the Iranians haven’t imported any P-2 centrifuges, nor have they been able to produce any of their own.

Back in 1995, the Iranians did acquire “from a foreign intermediary” the plans for a centrifuge similar to the Urenco P-2. However, they were unable to produce the maraging-steel rotors required. They did manage to produce several carbon-composite rotors and by the time the research program ended in June 2003, they had performed some mechanical tests. However, they had not done any tests with uranium-fluoride gas. Nor is there any indication that these Iranian-developed centrifuges will be produced in quantity.

What about the Iranian disclosure this week to the IAEA of their plans to convert 37 tons of uranium-oxide – yellowcake – into uranium-hexafluoride? According to the neo-crazies, that yellowcake contains enough fissile material to make one or two nukes like the one we dropped on Hiroshima.

Well, that’s a bit like charging that your neighbor’s fishpond contains enough water to drown one or two children.

So, what’s the bottom line? Well, if Bush wins, we invade no-nuke Iran and the chances of terrorists getting their hands on Korean or Pakistani nukes goes way up. But if Kerry wins? Stay tuned.