WASHINGTON – The day before Americans go to the polls to choose a president for the next four years, President Bush is holding a narrow lead in most major public opinion surveys – but the race for the all-important electoral college is tighter still.
In the new Newsweek poll, Bush is leading Sen. John Kerry by 6 percentage points – 50-44. That’s a net gain by Bush over the previous week of 4 points.
The Tarrance Group survey show Bush up 46-41 with 12 percent unsure.
The TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) poll also has Bush up by 5 points – 48-43, with 7 percent undecided.
The CBS/New York Times poll has Bush leading over Kerry more narrowly – 49-46.
The Pew Research Center’s final pre-election poll also finds Bush with a 3-point edge – 48 to 45.
It gets even tighter, according to the Gallup/USA Today survey – Bush 49, Kerry 47.
But the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows a near dead heat with Bush leading by only 1 percentage point – 48-47.
Fox News, Reuters-Zogby, ARG and the ABC News/Washington Post polls are all deadlocked.
A WorldNetDaily state-by-state analysis shows Bush holding a solid lead in states contributing a total of 230 electoral votes, with Kerry holding a solid lead in states contributing 245 electoral votes. It takes. It takes 270 electoral votes to win.
That leaves the battleground states of Florida (27), Hawaii (4), Iowa (7), New Mexico (5) and Ohio (20) in decision-making roles tomorrow.
Most polls show Bush leading narrowly in Florida, Iowa, New Mexico and Ohio.
