AMES, Iowa (AP)—President Barack Obama is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, according to an Associated Press analysis a week before Election Day.
While the Democratic incumbent has the upper hand in the electoral- vote hunt, Republican Mitt Romney has pulled even, or is slightly ahead, in polling in a few pivotal states, including Florida and Virginia. The Republican challenger also appears to have the advantage in North Carolina, the most conservative of the hotly contested nine states that will determine the winner.
While in a tight race with Obama for the popular vote, Romney continues to have fewer state-by-state paths than Obama to reach 270. Without Ohio's 18 electoral votes, Romney would need last-minute victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and have to pick off key states leaning Obama's way, such as Iowa or Wisconsin.
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To be sure, anything can happen in the coming days to influence the Nov. 6 election.