(FOREIGNPOLICY) — Since last year’s start of the crisis in Ukraine, the White House repeatedly has turned down requests from Kiev for weapons. Over the last four days, American policy has shifted so dramatically that Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said late Tuesday he is certain guns are coming.
Part of the reason for the turnabout is the deteriorating security situation in eastern Ukraine, where the United Nations estimates more than 5,000 have been killed in fighting between government forces and pro-Russian rebels. But it’s also a reflection on how a series of unconnected events can change the political calculus of the Obama administration while altering the conventional wisdom in Washington.
Additionally, according to one expert, the policy shift represents a realignment of political loyalties among Beltway insiders as President Barack Obama’s second term wanes.
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