(Los Angeles Times) In a typical year, talking about how the weighting of a poll sample works would be a good way to put people asleep. As we know, this isn’t a typical year.
On Wednesday, the New York Times published an interesting piece that looked at how the USC/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” tracking poll weights its sample. The article suggested that the weighting was the main factor in causing the Daybreak poll to be the only major survey that had showed Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton in the presidential race.
That’s not entirely the case, and here are some questions and answers about why. Note that as of Thursday, the poll has the two candidates tied, but the trend over the past week has been a steady decline of Trump’s standing and an increase for Clinton. Over the next few days, we’ll see how long that trend continues and whether Clinton takes a firm lead in the survey.
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