Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton at Oct. 9 presidential debate (Photo: Twitter)
Going into Election Day, Donald Trump holds a 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton, according to final Tuesday results of the IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll.
Trump leads 45 percent to Clinton’s 43 percent.
IBD/TIPP poll has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The USC/L.A. Times “Daybreak” tracking poll’s results have been about six points more favorable to Trump than the polling averages in recent months.
As of Tuesday morning, the poll’s final forecast for the election shows Trump leading by a little over three percentage points.
Trump leads 46.8 percent to Clinton’s 43.6 percent.
Perhaps significantly, the L.A. Times poll shows the gender gap now hurts Clinton.
Trump has a 11.6 percent lead among men, while she has a 4.8 percent lead among women voters. Trump trails in the Hispanic vote by 11.9 points.
The Real Clear Politics average of nine recent national polls as of early Monday morning has Clinton up by 2.2 points in a four-way race. But it was 7.1 points as recently as Oct. 17.
As national polls have tightened, Trump has closed the gap in several key states, including Florida and Ohio.
Fresh surveys in states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado suggest that they may be in reach for the GOP nominee. Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics labels traditionally Republican states Arizona and Georgia as tossups.
The critical battleground states of Florida and North Carolina are too close to call heading into Tuesday’s presidential election, according to polling released Monday by Quinnipiac University. RCP is now moving Florida to Trump as the latest Trafalgar Group poll showed the GOP nominee up by 4 points in the state.
Trump now has a slight advantage in North Carolina.
Trump has multiple paths to winning the White House. But he does need to win most of the battleground states, whereas Clinton only needs a few.
