The headlines on presidential approval polls have become repetitive, with “Independent voters sour,” “Trump’s approval at 40%,” “Trump’s approval rating plummets” and “Majority disapprove of President Trump.”

But an analysis of media polling practices by McLaughlinOnline suggest the media isn’t give you the real story.

For example, the Washington Post recently reported a survey in which the paper concluded Trump is “the least popular president in modern times.”

In the second-to-last paragraph, however, the Post said the “new survey finds 46 percent saying they voted for Clinton and 43 percent for Trump, similar to her two-point national vote margin. Asked how they would vote if the election were held today, 43 say they would support Trump and 40 percent say Clinton.”

So a “Trump is unpopular” survey actually indicated he would win the presidential race all over again.

In an unscientific Internet poll by the Drudge Report, 92 percent of respondents said Trump was doing a “great” or “good” job six months into his presidency.

Chris Buskirk and Seth Leibsohn explain how the conservative elite, Washington insiders, and mainstream media were so completely out of touch with reality during the 2016 US presidential election cycle, in “American Greatness.”

wndb-Buskirk-American-Greatness-COVER-v3Another indicator of Trump’s popularity came in the special election in Georgia to replace Rep. Tom Price, who was appointed by Trump as secretary of health and human services.

Despite have spent some $32 million, the most ever in a congressional race, Democrat Jon Ossoff lost to Republican Karen Handel.

A recent survey by McLaughlin took into account the “gotcha” pitfalls in polling practices, concluding Americans have a higher view of Trump than reported and want to move away from President Obama’s agenda.

McLaughlin’s poll, taken a few weeks back, found 4 in 10 voters said America is going the right direction, a significant improvement over the past four years and “by a 5 to 4 ratio, 48 percent-41 percent, voters prefer the country change and move away from the policies of Barack Obama over continuing Obama’s policies.”

Further, the results showed more people approve of Trump’s agenda and their priorities for Congress are to create jobs and keep America secure from terror.

Also, a majority, 53 percent, believe the economy is getting better, and “in spite of Congress’ failure to act yet, the majority of voters still favor repealing and replacing Obamacare.”

And, they want smaller government.

The bias in many polls is alarming, the report contended.

“At the time of this writing the ‘unbiased’ and ‘non-partisan’ media polls are claiming that President Trump has the ‘lowest’ approval rating for any president this early in their tenure with a Real Clear Politics average of recent media polls of only 42 percent approve to 52 percent disapprove.

“However, unlike partisan candidate or party polls that are often held to more accountability and transparency to examine their internal political and demographic composition, media polls are not held to that standard and often just taken as fact in spite of very significant diversions from the actual electorate.”

In short, that means stacking the poll respondents with Democrats will produce a Democrat bias.

What do YOU think? Are most polls about President Trump accurate? Sound off in today’s WND poll!

The organization reported that during the last two congressional election years, participation by Republicans and Democrats was about even. In presidential elections, the Democrats held a six-point advantage for Obama’s last run and a three-point margin for Hillary Clinton.

Accurate polling requires weighting the demographics to reflect the reality of voters at polling stations.

However, “As we head for another midterm election many media sponsored polls for some undisclosed reason fall outside of this range,” the report said.

The result is predictable.

“This partisan bias for the Democrats could explain why their findings seem more negative toward President Trump and the Republicans,” the report said. “This becomes a very important distinction since we are in an age of hyper-partisanship where a single-point shift adds a point or deletes a point from the president’s ratings.

“For example, in our recently completed national poll, Republicans approve the job the president is doing 90 percent to 8 percent disapprove. In contrast among Democrats only 17 percent approve of the president while 80 percent disapprove. So for each point you take away from a poll’s Republican affiliation, you’re taking a point away from the president’s job approval. Conversely, when you add five points more Democrats, you’re adding four points to the president’s disapproval. It’s that simple.”

Such variables mean that methodology and sampling for polls is crucial.

“Then there is the wording of the questions in some polls which if negative to the president could cause Trump voters to disconnect or refuse to take the poll,” the organization said.

“These differences probably accounted for many media pollsters to proclaim Hillary Clinton with an ‘electoral lock’ last fall and miss the possibility that Donald Trump was about to win in the biggest anti-establishment election upset in the country’s history,” the report said.

Recent polls, however, have been biased toward Democrats simply because of the makeup of the respondents.

“Even though the last four national elections had Republicans significantly over 30 percent, only two of nine media polls did. The Washington Post/ABC poll had Republicans as low as 24 percent; the Economist and Quinnipiac even lower at 23 percent. That’s ten points lower than Election Day. Also while the largest partisan margin for the Democrats was +6 percent in 2012 and the average was +2 percent, the average margin for these polls was +7 percent Democratic and six of the nine polls gave the Democrats a partisan edge of 6-points or better.”

The report continued: “At some level when aggregated there seems to be a prevalent media polling bias for the Democrats at the president’s expense. Not only does it affect his job rating and favorable rating, it also affects the policies and issues these polls purport to measure. Maybe this is why so many Republicans, Independents and Trump voters seem to disregard media polls. It appears the media is once again sacrificing their credibility for their liberal, anti-Trump bias.”

The organization’s two principals, John and Jim McLaughlin, have extensive experience with strategy and polling.

John has worked on projects with Steve Forbes, Fred Thompson, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Jeb Bush, Benjamin Netanyahu, the Conservative Party in the U.K. and former Prime Minister Stephen Harper of Canada.

Jim has worked with more than 70 members of the House and 14 senators

The true measure of public opinion, some contend, is at the ballot box. Of the four special elections required so far to fill seats vacated by Trump appointments, the GOP has won all four.

The party also has reflected the desire of the American public by taking majorities in state legislatures, in many governor’s office, and in both the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House.

What to today’s top authors have to say about Washington? Find out at the WND Superstore in “Socialism: A Clear and Present Danger,” “Throw Them All Out,” “Inside the Beltway,” “Capitol Punishment” and many more.

WND reported earlier this year that when the establishment media claimed in January that Trump’s approval was only 40 percent, making him “the most unpopular incoming president since at least Jimmy Carter,” critics pointed out those same pollsters had predicted a Hillary victory.

Zerohedge at the time reported Trump’s comments that the results were “rigged.”

And it explained how pollsters oversample to insert a bias.

“In the month leading up to the election on November 8th, we repeatedly demonstrated how the mainstream media polls from the likes of ABC/Washington Post, CNN and Reuters repeatedly manipulated their poll samples to engineer their desired results, namely a large Hillary Clinton lead (see ‘New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook for Rigging Polls through ‘Oversamples’ and ‘ABC/Wapo Effectively Admit to Poll Tampering as Hillary’s ‘Lead’ Shrinks To 2-Points’). In fact, just 16 days prior to the election, an ABC/Wapo poll showed a 12-point lead for Hillary, a result that obviously turned out to be embarrassingly wrong for the pollsters,” the analysis revealed.

“But, proving they still got it, ABC/Washington Post and CNN are out with a pair of polls on Trump’s favorability this morning that sport some of the most egregious ‘oversamples’ we’ve seen. The ABC/Wapo poll showed an 8-point sampling margin for Democrats with only 23 percent of the results taken from Republicans … while the CNN poll showed a similar 8-point advantage for Democrats with only 24 percent respondents identifying as Republicans.”

In layman’s terms, it’s this: If you have many more Democrats responding to a poll than Republicans, especially on political issues, it’s not a surprise that the results favor Democrats.

“Of course, as we’ve repeatedly pointed out, these sampling mixes couldn’t be further from reality,” ZeroHedge said, citing a party affiliation measure that shows Republicans and Democrats in the nation within a few points.

What to today’s top authors have to say about Washington? Find out at the WND Superstore in “Socialism: A Clear and Present Danger,” “Throw Them All Out,” “Inside the Beltway,” “Capitol Punishment” and many more.


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