What happened in the special election in Pennsylvania’s Congressional District 18 Tuesday?
Seventy thousand more voters are registered as Democrats in that district than Republicans. It has been that way for decades because of the union dominance in southwest Pennsylvania. So it is expected that Democrats would dominate that district. But Donald Trump carried it in 2016 by more than 70,000 votes. As with Reagan, union workers like Trump despite the direction by union bosses to vote for Democrats.
Gerrymandering to help Republicans? Nope. Not with more than a 70,000 advantage to Democrats. In this case, those activist judges in Pennsylvania are wrong. As can be seen in District 18, there is no advantage to Republicans from gerrymandering. So why is this district being abolished by those judges? They would probably like to walk that one back now.
In this week’s special election, Conor Lamb (Democrat) received about the same number of votes as did Hillary Clinton in 2016. No change. Rick Saccone (Republican) received at least 70,000 fewer votes than Trump did in 2016. Big change. Why?
Lamb looked like a moderate Republican. Young. White. Marine. Kinda pro-life. Agreed with Trump on tariffs and tax cuts and guns and immigration – positions contrary to Nancy Pelosi and the left wing of the Democrat Party.
So was a Democrat wave responsible for the close race in this election when Trump carried the district by 20 percent? Absolutely not. Lamb did not receive any more votes than did Hillary, and he supported the red policies of Trump.
So what was responsible?
1. Saccone was a poor candidate. He did not stir the electorate. And unions opposed him. He did not even visit unions to solicit their votes and support.
2. More than 70,000 voters who voted for Trump stayed home – the same problem as in Alabama’s recent special election.
Voter apathy and complacency is the challenge for Republicans, not a Democratic “wave” as the liberal media cartel are trying to create. Complacency. Too much winning on policy issues by Trump. Not enough cheerleading by the lower level Republican politicians.
The challenge for Republicans is to recruit candidates who stir the electorate as Trump did, to campaign as Trump did and to get Republican voters to the polls as Trump did … to be populists.
If Democrats learned anything from Alabama and Pennsylvania, it’s that they need moderate candidates – moderate, male, Christian candidates – not left-wingers. No more Warrens or Pelosis or Schumers or Maxines. More Joe Manchins. The left liberal movement is dying.
There is no blue wave, certainly not a left-wing liberal wave – just a lack of Republican motivation.
One thing for sure is that the polls were wrong again. They predicted just a day before the election that Lamb would win by 6 percent (well outside of the 4-point margin of error) just like how they predicted just one day before the 2016 election, with 80 percent certainty, that Hillary would win more than 270 electoral votes. She got 206. The pollsters are trying to affect the electorate instead of polling the electorate accurately.
There is no Democratic wave, other than the one the liberal media cartel are trying to create.
